MSM stories about ongoing uprisings in the Middle-East keep harping about the ‘crucial role of social media’. While social media sites have contributed to these developments, MSM morons can’t seem to understand the real enabling technologies and factors.
1. Cell phones with the ability to send, receive and view MMS messages are cheap and widespread in the Middle-East. A 100$ mid-range Nokia cellphone is, by a very large margin, the most important enabling technology behind these uprisings.
2. It is internet access, not social media, which has formented dissent in that region. Wikipedia, Google, gmail, Yahoo, YouTube, bulletin boards, chat sites and other free online stuff have damaged the very foundations of elite credibility.
3. Inexpensive air travel have exposed people in these regions to the limitations and deficiencies of whites. They no longer believe that whites are better than them, consequently they cannot be manipulated by external praise or threats.
Other enabling factors:
4. Demography is a bitch.. ain’t it? Most countries in that region have a large number of literate, but unemployed, men in their teens to early 30s. Unlike the dickless losers in Japan, they protest and use violence to get their way.
5. Almost nobody in those countries believes in the ‘intrinsic goodness’ of government or corporations, unlike whites. It is far easier to revolt when your world-view is not colored by ideological bullshit.
6. Did I mention that most of them understand that they have nothing to lose by protesting and breaking tyrannical laws.
How can a dictator know that his time is over. Let me help..
1. Protesters trash your party headquarters.
There are reports that the headquarters of the ruling National Democratic Party have been set on fire in Cairo as protestors stay out on the streets despite a curfew. Witnesses have reported tanks on the streets of the capital as the military have been deployed to help the police deal with the protestors.
When people in a dictatorship have lost fear of their “glorious leader” and his security apparatus to a level where they find it fun to trash the ruling part HQ, it is essentially over for the regime.
2. People do not care about your posturing or words.
Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak refused on Saturday to bow demands that he resign, after ordering troops and tanks into cities in an attempt to quell an explosion of street protest against his 30-year rule.
Evidently Cairo, and other Egyptian cities, are under curfew. However protesters and mobs seem to have missed the notice.
3. Every major group hates you, more than they hate each other.
The Egyptian protesters are from many backgrounds but they all seek the same goal, the fall of a despotic regime
The widespread protests that began against the regime of President Hosni Mubarak have spread in the last few days to encompass almost an entire people. It now includes not only the stone-throwing youths who huddled in the fog of teargas below the underpasses near the centre of Cairo, or charged police on the Nile bridges, but Egyptians from all walks of life
It seem that a very large percentage of Egyptians- muslims and copts, young and middle-aged, employed and unemployed harbor deep resentment towards Mubarak’s regime. It is one thing to piss off a few groups at a time, but pissing off almost everyone is not a good idea.
4. The army does not openly stand behind you, but your goons do.
Even as armored military vehicles deployed around important Egyptian government institutions on Friday for the first time in decades, it remained difficult to predict what role the armed forces might play in either quelling the disturbances or easing President Hosni Mubarak from power.
A dictator is only as strong as the people who will enforce his edicts. Under ‘normal’ situations the armed forces are the most important source of coercive power available to a leader. If their support is nebulous or conditional, the guy is screwed.
5. Everything done by the leader to assert his power seems to backfire.
Dictators reach a point where everything they do has the contrary effect. It appears that everything Mubabrak is doing, from shutting off broadband internet to using goons to intimidate protesters seems to be having the opposite effect.
Now it is only a matter of time (hours to months) when he will:
-have to flee
-be imprisoned and tried
I was digging up some of my older material today and came across an idea that I heard somewhere. Compare the noose and a necktie..
Why are they so similar? and why do people put the tie around their neck voluntarily?
I believe that one particular action by the current Egyptian regime has effectively sealed its fate.
SAN FRANCISCO (AP) — About a half-hour past midnight Friday morning in Egypt, the Internet went dead. Almost simultaneously, the handful of companies that pipe the Internet into and out of Egypt went dark as protesters were gearing up for a fresh round of demonstrations calling for the end of President Hosni Mubarak’s nearly 30-year rule, experts said.
Many western morons are pondering about the ‘philosophical’ implications of this desperate act. Let me help..
You see no country that wants to function in the modern world, even China, dares to do anything another than block certain websites, spy on its citizens or censor some of their search results. Why don’t they go any further?
1. You cannot run any country of significance for more than a few days without communication, which is now internet based. Analog based networks are no longer viable for anything other than emergencies.
2. You do not want to piss the more well off and educated members of your population. In many developing countries, it is the kids of the elites and well off who are the heaviest users of IP-based services. Pissing in your own food is never a good idea.
3. If you have to do something this drastic, it better be a short-term emergency. Cutting communication during anything beyond a natural emergency or war signals that your regime is on its last legs.
4. Doing so also makes your own people believe that you are on your last legs. Many of the lesser elite in Egypt are probably making plans to become part of the newer regime as we speak.
The game is effectively over for the old regime. Hopefully the USA and other lesser anglo-saxon countries who supported the old regime have a plan B, because supporting the dying and unpopular regime is not in the best interests- though they may believe otherwise.
It is now only a matter of time.. days, weeks or months- take your pick.