Prescience of My Older Posts: Egyptian Revolution

Unless have been living under a rock, you must have heard that:

Egypt protests topple Mubarak after 18 days

(Reuters) – A furious wave of protest swept Egypt’s President Hosni Mubarak from power on Friday after 30 years of one-man rule, sparking jubilation on the streets and sending a warning to autocrats across the Arab world and beyond.

Mubarak, the second Arab leader to be overthrown by a popular uprising in a month, handed power to the army after 18 days of relentless rallies against poverty, corruption and repression caused support from the armed forces to evaporate. Mubarak, 82, had flown with his family from Cairo to the Red Sea resort of Sharm el-Sheikh, a ruling party official said.

Looking back, some of my older posts were prescient.

Here is a short list of such posts, with the context.

We were repeatedly told by ‘experts’, over many years, that such an outcome was unlikely. So what happened? The predictions of “brilliant”, “respectable” and “renowned” white men have a tendency to implode because they try to extrapolate the future from a jaundiced reconstruction of the past.

Of course, a thinking person would have realized that conservative societies are stagnant mainly because CONservatives believe that the best way to solve new problems is through the use of old methods. We all know how that worked in Egypt.. don’t we?

Many CONservative morons also believe that empires fall because they get soft. So how did the brutality of mubarak’s thugs work out for him?

Many whites believed, and still believe, that “those non-whites” could not use technology to get what they wanted. How did that work out? It seems that information revolutions precede social revolutions and technology change information feedback and outcomes.

Many also believed that the brutality of internal security agencies was a positive indicator of regime stability. How did that work out?

And, I wrote on January 28th, 2011.. only 2-3 days into the Egyptian Revolution- the Mubarak Regime was unsalvageable. At that time, the MSM and many CONservative blogs still thought that it would “all go away” and things would “return back to normal under that guy”.

As you can see, I was able to connect the dots in a manner that none of the so-called credentialed ‘experts’ and ‘elite’ from famous universities and pedigrees could.


  1. February 12, 2011 at 7:25 am

    Besides, this is the first time the Nasserite empire/regime in Egypt has received a blow since its rise in the 1950s but from the interior this time. That one person was replaced doesn’t mean that the empire was replaced by another empire.

    True, but a return to the old ways is very unlikely. The new system might have some features of the older one, but it will be a different beast.

    One common misconception in the West is associating a certain regime with one person. The reality is that a regime continues under the successors of the founders of the regime.

    On the other hand, in Tunisia, the empire of Bourguiba fell.

    • February 12, 2011 at 10:06 am

      When I say empire or regime I mean the persons who govern, the governors, not the system or regime of government. I’m talking about who not how. Mubarak was just the head of the governors. He came to the top by the will of the governors, and now he left by the will of the same governors.

      The system of rule may change even if the rulers stay the same. On the other hand, the system of rule may stay the same even if the rulers change.

      What happened in the 1950s was a change of rulers. What happened now is a change in part of the system of government caused by an old-new factor (people’s revolt) caused itself by new factors inexistant in a previous age.

      When Abdel Nasser came to power after eliminating the old Mehmed-Alite Empire, he founded a new empire composed of him, his close associates and his army. His successors are part of his empire, they would not exist without him. Mubarak wouldn’t be president had Faruk stayed in government.

      There are certain popular misconceptions about regimes. Mainly, the popular mind does not distinguish between those who govern and how they govern. Common people and the Mass Media seem to think that regimes are embodied by single persons. They don’t know that even if Mubarak stayed as the head of government, the system of government could have been changed to a more fair system. Now, this is a trap that people are going to fall in in the coming future.

      I’m writing further about this.

  2. almost 40 yoV
    February 12, 2011 at 5:47 pm

    Algier´s Bouteflika is shitting his pants right now.
    The Hashimite throne in Jordan is thinking it´s gona get away too.

    The Saud islamist monsters and western elites BESTEST friends in Saudi Arabia are chewing their nails and have their secret poLice working overtime probably.

    Great times.

    Though to be honest, I suspect that VERY much of this IS instigated by our so called “powers that be”. So desperately craving that new world order.
    Remember their open credo: Order out of Chaos

    But I suspect even they are underestimating the sheer levelheadedness of those “unwashed” Arab Men-masses.

  3. JulianusII
    February 13, 2011 at 12:46 pm

    While reading this AD I was reminded of what you’ve been writing on the topic. – unless I’m reading you ( or AC) incorrectly you are both saying much the same thing.

  1. February 13, 2011 at 3:12 am

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