Violent Revolutions Require Belief in a Better Future

As I have written on numerous occasions in the past- we live in a world that is, for the lack of a better word, dystopic. While we can always argue about whether the world was more or less fucked up in previous eras, doing so does not change the basic fact. Having said that, people cope with the general suckiness of a meaningless existence in a number of ways.

One of them involves believing in the possibility of a better future.

Deteriorating socio-economic conditions almost always result in violent uprising, revolts and revolutions because people believe that a better system is possible. Predictions of unrest based on bad socio-economic conditions are therefore based on the unmentioned belief that people believe that a change for the better is possible.

But what happens if people believe that a change for the better is not possible?

While there always have been pessimists, their numbers as a percentage of the population have been relatively small. While there are many reasons for that, the single most important reason for an endless supply of optimists throughout human history has been high birth rates.

Every birth provides the sociopaths in civilization another person whose enthusiasm and naivety can be used to scam, abuse and exploit them.

The very small percentage of people who benefit from the scam known as civilization have used this fact and historically poor means of interpersonal communication to keep things going. While betrayal of the young has often caused extremely destructive revolutions, wars and uprisings- the underlying scam has not been destroyed.

However the last 40 years have seen two changes that fundamentally change the situation in ways never seen before in the history of human civilization. Effective and widely available contraception has caused birth rates to plummet all over the world. Even conservative Muslim countries (such as Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Iran) now have fertility rates that are close to western countries. The world just doesn’t produce any surplus boiler fuel anymore. Then there is the effect of the internet on patterns of human communication, belief and association.

So how does all of that affect the nature of public reaction to deteriorating socio-economic conditions?

I believe that low fertility rates combined with vastly improved and accessible communication technology creates a far more cynical society. It changes the general tone of society from one of optimism and belief in a better future to widespread cynicism and misanthropism. People increasingly have no interest in the stability or future of a system that is obviously deceiving and exploiting them. While they many not come out and openly revolt against a system, they so something far worse.

They disconnect from the system in non-obvious ways.

Such behavior takes many forms such as people not interested in marrying and having kids or working hard for an employer. People increasingly, and rightfully, distrust various social and economic institutions- from schools, universities, the health-care system to democratically elected governments. While the “elites” in such societies might see that as evidence of their control it is anything but that.

What they see as subjugation is actually disengagement to an extent without any precedent in human history.

Unlike violent revolutions, it appears benign and seldom creates headlines. Disengagement manifests itself as decay and progressive breakdowns that make the system increasingly fragile and susceptible to small disruptions. In the end one or a series of otherwise unremarkable disruptions will take it down and almost nobody will care.

After things fall apart, even fewer will have the optimism or belief necessary to rebuild it.

What do you think? Comments?

  1. webe
    September 29, 2012 at 4:11 pm

    One of the aspects that makes present civilization profoundly dysfunctional (wasteful) is that nobody reckons in terms of a “common” cause, but there are millions of organizations that calculate it as a benefit if they can save a penny even if it costs others a dollar — for the organization it is an externality. If this behaviour gains the upper hand, the whole system will no longer be viable.
    There is no chance under present circumstances that people will rediscover some awareness of common cause and mutual benefits/costs. The only thing that tempers matters now is importing talent from poor regions of the world who fill in for disaffected poorly performing native sons, but their energy cannot revive the common mindset.
    The system will devolve as it cannot adapt to lower levels of comfort and inputs. No one will be sacrificing to fix things where they all apart. How far things devolve before some type of tribal instinct reasserts itself and how things will then look is impossible to imagine.

  2. P Ray
    September 29, 2012 at 7:55 pm

    One of them involves believing in the possibility of a better future.
    And also, that the people that replace those in leadership in the current system, have more integrity.
    … given the fact that “opposition” political leaders were usually on board for the exploitation of the people as long as they weren’t adversely affected, more people notice that in this media-rich environment (or maybe the lack of media interest was also a gambit to show them as colluding with the ruling party?), and understand that it’s just replacing one robber with another.

    Even conservative Muslim countries (such as Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Iran) now have fertility rates that are close to western countries.
    Some MRA’s think that Islam will stop feminism. Some people still believe in Santa Claus. I heartily laugh at that simplistic notion.

    • P Ray
      September 29, 2012 at 11:37 pm

      Violent Revolutions Require Belief in a Better Future
      Or you could also hire people to demonstrate and get violent.
      It’s hard to say whether some discontent is true or “manufactured” for corporate/political interests.
      There’s always a buck to be made in good times or bad.

    • September 30, 2012 at 6:20 pm

      So even Muslim countries will have to legalize euthanasia.

      • P Ray
        October 1, 2012 at 5:01 am

        As it is, many Muslim/Asian countries don’t even publish suicide statistics.
        It’s always an “accident” or “mishap”.

      • October 1, 2012 at 6:37 am

        So there is already euthanasia, you mean?

      • P Ray
        October 1, 2012 at 10:09 am

        Probably, but it’s not mentioned as such.
        And by that I mean a doctor can choose to withhold care, or the family may give the doctor an incentive to hasten the death (either by being able to pay, or not).
        No hospitals publish their death rates per year, and doctors get their salary whether or not treatment is successful. And neither can you shop for the best prices, ebay-style.

      • October 1, 2012 at 12:01 pm

        But wouldn’t that undermine the present gerontocracy?

      • P Ray
        October 1, 2012 at 6:07 pm

        There are lots of people in those countries who believe a better future is possible just as long as they have someone else to screw over…

      • October 1, 2012 at 6:17 pm

        Details? And killing elderly isn’t screwing over?

      • P Ray
        October 1, 2012 at 7:30 pm

        Try to remember the sympathetic psychopathic mindset:
        How are you screwing over someone who wants a better life for their children, but isn’t likely to revive anytime soon?
        And … don’t people want a life free of pain? There’s a lot of convenient rationalisation.

  3. September 29, 2012 at 11:15 pm

    hahaha this sounds like MGTOW on a larger scale…..

    • P Ray
      September 29, 2012 at 11:39 pm

      The man who isn’t spending money, attention or his presence around women (without being compensated),
      has a much smaller chance of being out of pocket, being head-gamed or getting a false rape accusation.
      You can’t put a price freedom, but you can certainly sense not having it.

      • Sandi
        November 4, 2012 at 9:08 am

        You sound like a priest.

      • P Ray
        November 4, 2012 at 6:06 pm

        @Sandi:
        I don’t know what I want … but I definitely know what I DON’T want.
        Getting an STD, becoming an instant father or paying for someone elses’ mental health bill (for an existing condition) …
        in other words, being someone else’s fall guy …
        is definitely what I DON’T want.

  4. Sandi
    November 4, 2012 at 9:14 am

    You may be onto something. Maybe unconsciously we all think the world is going to shit and are sabotaging ourselves in the process in order to not progress the human race…

    OR

    Evil aliens are trying to infiltrate and take over the world by trying to exterminate humans in their entirety. By targeting the fertility of our race and trying to control creation.

    Either or. Take your pick!

    • P Ray
      June 19, 2016 at 5:32 am

      Those evil aliens might be women.
      Make no sense, and when men interact with them, it is the “wrong man” or “I have a headache”.

  1. June 19, 2013 at 4:12 pm

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