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Why Hillary Clinton is Losing in Polls to Donald Trump: 3

October 6, 2016 10 comments

In the second post of this series, I put forth the idea that a significant part of popular support for Trump’s candidacy is a reaction to the almost unanimous support of HRC by establishment elites and their upper-middle class enablers. It is no secret that a rapidly growing majority of the population has lost faith in the competence and ability of establishment elites and their flunkies (aka “credentialed experts and Professionals”) to keep the system from imploding on itself. As some of you might know, this issue has been the subject of many posts on this blog- including some of the first ones I wrote in 2010.

It is also no secret that the establishment media and “objective credentialed experts” are trying very hard to persuade people to not vote for Trump.. and it is not working. But why is that the case? Why are most people ignoring the constant stream of distortions, lies and scams put forth by the mainstream media, “celebrities” and “credentialed experts”? Why did people appear to trust and believe them in the past but now ignore them? What makes people today so much less likely to believe in what “opinion leaders”, “celebrities” and “public intellectuals” say? While I have covered some of the interlocking reasons for the now irreversible decline in public opinion about them in previous posts, there are a few issues especially relevant to the rise of Trump that could use some more illumination.

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About 2-3 weeks ago, an angry HRC asked “Why am I not 50 points ahead?” during a televised interview. While that rhetorical question has since become a subject of much amusement to people throughout the country, I believe that an honest answer to that question highlights one of the major problems facing establishment elite in the USA- and indeed throughout the west. As many of you probably know, the mainstream media and “public intellectuals” blame everything from sexism to her multi-decade presence in national politics for her unpopularity. However the surprise and frustration expressed by HRC in that interview has far deeper roots than mere unpopularity. The question she is really asking is as follows- Why are so people willing to trust a political novice like Trump over a “credentialed expert” like her?

The answer to that question goes something like this.. “credentials” and “experience” are, at best, proxy markers for real-life ability and competence.

Let me illustrate that point with a couple of examples. Consider a population which believes that their health-care system is the “best” in the world because it looks, sounds and feels impressive and “professional”. Most readers will immediately realize that the way a system looks, sounds and feels has no real link to it being excellent or even good. But let us imagine that the population of said country is delusional or stupid enough to buy such associations and lacks an external frame of reference to suspect otherwise. Now ask yourself- How long can this charade continue without the population openly losing faith in the system and its “credentialed professionals”? Based on my observations about the healthcare system in USA, repeated negative experiences with the system are the single biggest contributor to loss of faith in it. While external reference frames and decentralized flow of information definitely speed up the process, personal experiences are by far the largest and most powerful drivers for loss of faith in any given system.

Another example of this phenomenon can be seen in the generally negative perception of corporations capitalism among the under-40 age group in USA. Many “public intellectuals” believe that such perceptions in that age group has to do with them being entitled or spoiled. But as we know, it is the “public intellectuals” who are full of shit. Baby boomers (and older generations) have a more positive perception of corporations and capitalism largely because both appeared to largely deliver on their promises at some point in their lives (mostly between 1950s-1970s). In contrast to that- neither of the two have delivered anything about stagnation, misery and precariousness to anyone born after the very early 1970s. Consequently propaganda, regardless of scale or extent, is incapable of making most non-retarded people born after 1970 see corporations and capitalism in positive terms.

The willingness to vote for a political novice like Trump over a “credentialed” system insider like HRC in 2016 is, therefore, largely a consequence of many tens of millions of people having had multiple and sustained negative experiences with voting for the political status quo. To put it another way, no amount of hand wringing and scare mongering by the elites and their enablers will change the actual levels of popular support for Trump’s presidential campaign.

What do you think? Comments?