Archive for April 13, 2017

Trump’s NeoCon Foreign Policy Will End Badly for USA: Apr 13, 2017

April 13, 2017 5 comments

During his presidential campaign, Trump repeatedly told potential voters that he was against empire-building by USA and spending trillions of dollars in faraway wars with little consequence for USA. However as I had predicted in previous posts, he has reneged on this campaign promise and fully embraced the neoconservative warmongering establishment in Washington DC. Whether it is conducting an ineffectual “strike” on Syrian Airforce bases in Syria, dropping a very expensive (but worthless) firecracker on an alleged network of caves in Afghanistan or trying to intimidate N. Korea by sending a carrier battle group in that area- he is doing everything that his neocon puppet masters wanted him (or HRC) to do for furthering their cause and making them richer.

Now there are any retards in flyover states who still want to believe that his actions are somehow part of “making america great again” or something along those lines. Others believe that he is playing multi-dimensional chess or is using his “skills” as a “successful businessman” to negotiate “good deals”. Other his real-life cuckold Scott Adams (read a bit about his personal life in past) who accidentally regained some fame in 2016 by pretending to predict Trump’s upset win are trying to pretend that he is “winning”. In short, many people in USA are busy deluding themselves that Trump is somehow doing the “right” thing by pursuing a set of policies which have failed in a pretty spectacular fashion for the last two decades- In Iraq, Afghanistan Libya, Syria and many other countries.

Here is why I think, and predict, that Trump’s newfound willingness to pursue a neoconservative foreign policy will end very badly for USA- especially his supporters.

1] Trump may have tried to impress and intimidate Chinese premier, Xi Jinping, by ordering that ineffectual and farcical cruise missile strike on a Syrian airbase during his visit. The only problem with that approach is that Chinese premiers, especially somebody with Xi Jinping’s history, are made of far stronger material than western leaders. To put it another way, people who rise up through the party system in China are far more cold-blooded and objective than their western counterparts. Consequently, Xi Jinping probably said all the right and polite (but ambiguous) stuff expected of somebody in his position. He may even have made some positive but meaningless gestures towards Trump.

However none of what Xi pretended to say to Trump has any bearing on what he or the rest of Chinese government will do in real life. For example- in spite of all the empty promises to reign in N. Korea, the objective reality is that China has no interest in deposing Kim Jong-Un. And why would they? Do you think they want to share a border with an american puppet state in Korea? Incidentally that is also why China intervened in the Korean War during the early 1950s and pushed the american forces back upto the 38th parallel. To make a long story short, China simply has no interest in replacing Kim Jong-Un or eliminating the N. Korean nuclear weapon program because both suit their interests.

Furthermore, Xi knows that Trump has no ability to punish China economically since most of Trump’s advisers and stooges benefit greatly from the unbalanced trade of USA with that country. All the noises Trump is still making about trade imbalances with China must be seen in the light of people hired by his administration to date. It does not take a genius to figure out that an administration full of executives from Goldman-Sachs and other financial institutions or other large corporations who have made a killing by facilitating trade with China are unlikely to cut their own proverbial throats. Even the bullshit about China buying coal from USA instead of closer and more reliable suppliers such as Australia, Indonesia, Russia and South Africa is farcical.

2] While I have briefly touched on some of the medium-term effects of Trump’s decision to bomb Syria in a previous post, there a couple of points that need to be restated and explored in a bit more detail. Firstly, the Trump dysfunction.. I mean administration.. seems to lack a clear set policy with regards to Syria. While a few in the administration want to let the conflict resolve on its own accord, as long as it is contained in that region, others want to put tens of thousands of soldiers on the ground. We all know how the later course of action turned out in Iraq. It is worthwhile to note that the american occupation of Iraq failed even though the government of Saddam Hussein had virtually no external support and was not popular in most of that country.

Contrast that with Syria where Assad has control over most populous parts of the country, the support of most people living in those regions plus the explicit support or a large nuclear power like Russia. Russia in 2017 is rather unlikely to back down from supporting Assad despite any assurances or sops from USA- largely because Russian leaders do not trust a single word coming out of mouth of american leaders. It is also obvious that threatening a country with more nukes and delivery systems than yourself plus the ability to destabilize many other parts of the world is a stupid idea. In other words, the USA is not in a position to cut a deal with or threaten Russia over Syria or any other issue of importance to Russia. I should also point that Russia will support Assad, regardless of what they pretend to say, largely because the other options are not in their best interests.

Exploding one large and expensive firecracker to allegedly damage a few little-used mountain tunnels in Afghanistan will have no impact on that war. Heck, they could explode a 100 more of them over there and they still won’t be able to cause more damage than the cost of one expensive firecracker. Extremist groups in Afghanistan now control more territory than they used to before the american invasion of that country in 2001 (15-16 years ago). The simple fact is the USA lost the Afghanistan war many year ago, in spite of pouring over a trillion USD. It is however clear to me that the establishment types in USA still do not see it that way and have chosen to willingly live in a dream world.

To summarize this post- my prediction that Trump45’s first term would make Bush43’s second term look like a relative success is slowly, but very surely, coming true. While there is always a slim possibility that Trump might successfully pull of an 180 turn, it appears highly unlikely with each passing day. On the bright side, overt failure and global humiliation of USA as it gets involved in multiple unwinnable and expensive conflicts will speed up the implosion of its global empire- or whatever is still left of it.

What do you think? Comments?