Home > Critical Thinking, Current Affairs, Dystopia, Musings, Philosophy sans Sophistry, Reason, Secular Religions, Skepticism > How the Democratic Party Could Lose in 2020 Elections and Beyond: 1

How the Democratic Party Could Lose in 2020 Elections and Beyond: 1

As regular readers know, I have written a series about why the Democratic party does not have a bright future– to put it mildly. To be clear, I am not suggesting that the Republican party is going to fare any better. It will be interesting to observe which one becomes irrelevant first. As things stand today, my money is on democrats becoming irrelevant few years before their republican compatriots suffer a similar fate. While there are many reasons behind this particular guess, one stands out because of its connection to the ongoing clown car show of presidential candidates. It seems that the democratic establishment, and almost every single candidate in the fray, has not learned any useful lessons from the 2016 debacle when their candidate lost to that orange troll.

There are those who believe that the democratic party will ultimately prevail because of changing demographics, aka “coalition of the ascendant”. I am old enough to remember this bullshit idea was floated, in its current form, over 10 years ago when democrats briefly won the house, senate and presidency. Of course, as we all know, things did not quite work out that way. Between 2008 and 2017, democrats lost multiple governorships, over a thousand seats in state legislatures, the house, senate and finally the presidency. I am sure some of you (MikeCA?) will try to portray the slight majority in house won by democrats in 2018 as a harbinger of further electoral victories. I for one, am not sure that this will be the case and here are the reasons.

The electoral victories of democrats in 2018 had far more to do with the incredibly inept handling of “healthcare reform” by Trump and republicans at state as well as national levels. The level of tone-deafness exhibited by orange man and his fellow republicans towards the concerns of tens of millions of voters about their healthcare coverage was the deciding factor in them losing the house and numerous governorship and seats in state legislatures to democrats. I am sure that there are more than a few partisan democrat voters who believe that the Mueller sideshow or newer disclosures about Trump’s extramarital liaisons had an effect. But who are we kidding? The popular image of Trump as a lecherous conman with mediocre business instincts hasn’t changed since 2015. Everyone who voted for him did so in spite of all his public shortcomings.

The real question we should be asking ourselves is: why did so many voters in many states either vote for a orange troll or, more importantly, not vote for HRC. And let us clear about something else, the number of non-voters in USA has exceeded those of the winning presidential candidate for many decades. Indeed, in at least 3 of the last 8 elections, the number of non-voters came real close to being larger than all candidates combined. The percentage of people who vote in USA, especially at national level, has historically been lower than other democracies. But why? Well.. there are many reasons, but most can be summarized in one sentence- majority of voters correctly believe that voting has no real positive impact on their lives. But, once again, why is that so? What makes the USA a Potemkin democracy as opposed to a real one?

To understand what I am talking about and how it relates to the subject of this post, let me ask you another question. Why is the democratic party today unable to win elections in many states which used to be its strongholds in the recent past. The conventional explanation invoked by idiots aka “political pundits” involves something about post-1965 (voting rights act related) political realignment. And there is a sliver of truth in that explanation. The democratic party did pay a considerable electoral price for all the civil rights related laws passed in 1960s. However the damage was largely restricted to ex-slave owning states in the deep south. Democrats actually gained seats in the house in 1968, 1976 and 1988. They also held the house in 1972, 1980, 1984 and 1992. Heck, democrats were competitive in states such as Texas, West Virginia, Kansas etc into the late-1980s.

My point is that while passage of civil rights laws damaged democratic party prospects in deep south, things were pretty OK for them in rest of country for over twenty years. In other words, sorry state of democratic part in the post-1994 era has little to do with legislation passed in the mid-1960s. So what caused voters in many states, especially non-coastal ones, to abandon the democratic party? In a post from about two years ago, I pointed out that ascendancy of issues such as ‘gun control’ in democratic party started at around the same time as its leadership and upper echelons were increasingly populated by the credentialed professional class who tends to be concentrated in large coastal cities. While there are, once again, many reasons why this shift occurred, it resulted in the needs of working class (especially white) being ignored. Consequently, these voters either started voting republican or simply stopped voting altogether.

But why would many white voting class voters start voting republican, even though doing so was not in their own interests? Well.. we can blame a small part of this on sheer stupidity. But a much larger reason was that there wasn’t much difference between the two, politically speaking. Both parties were controlled by the same big corporations and super-rich who wanted to impoverish the working class and suck them dry. Even today, establishment democrats cannot stop talking about ‘bipartisanship’ aka passing laws and rules to fuck over everybody other than their rich campaign donors. But this still does not explain why people who seemingly gain nothing from voting republican continue to vote them into office.

In my opinion, it comes down to how each party treats the majority of its voters. The republican party, while busy fucking over their voters, provides lip service to ‘social issues’ (abortion, church, guns etc). More importantly, they don’t treat most of their voter base with the disdain with which democratic party treats its own. Confused.. see, unless you are a member of the credentialed professional class, you are a deplorable nobody to the democratic party. It does not matter if you voted for them or not, being anyone other than a member of the credentialed class makes you an object of contempt, derision and neglect. That is why they have kept focusing on ‘gun control’ since the 1980s, even though it has been electorally disastrous since early 1990s.

To put it another way, they see people who are not credentialed professionals as nothing more than undeserving retards whose beliefs don’t matter. Democratic politician and candidates, in turn, remind most voters of the shitty middle managers who make their working lives miserable and the HR harpies who fire them. To summarize, many working class voters in flyover states vote republican because it does not insult their beliefs while fucking them over. The democratic party, in contrast, believes that it has a god-given right to harangue and insult it voters while also fucking them over. In the upcoming part, I shall go into the many reasons why the much hyped “coalition of the ascendant” has turned out to be a damp squib and will likely remain so for the future. We shall also talk about how democratic party positions on issues such as “anthropogenic climate change”, “gun control” and “LGBTQ issues” are insulting to most voters.

What do you think? Comments?

  1. Yusef
    September 1, 2019 at 11:23 am

    “To summarize, many working class voters in flyover states vote republican because it does not insult their beliefs while fucking them over.”

    Just the other day I was reading someone else who said much the same thing. Their version was: 1) the voters didn’t trust any of the mainstream politicians anymore; 2) They didn’t exactly trust, but went along with the nonmainstream politician promising them anything and everything under the sun; 3) once that politician was elected, his promises didn’t matter.

    The plutocracy struggles to maintain global hegemony, but their domestic dominance is entirely airtight. This is a big part of equation: this isn’t a democracy and in certain ways voter responses are governed by this knowledge, which means an absurd response at the polls is the same as an agonizingly well-reasoned one.

  2. MikeCA
    September 2, 2019 at 10:46 am

    “What do you think?”

    I think this is straight up Russian propaganda designed to suppress Democratic turn out.

    If only.. then I could finally write for a living.

    Care to answer the points I made in this post? https://dissention.wordpress.com/2018/11/25/establishment-democrats-covertly-love-suppression-of-their-voter-base

    also read this book.. https://www.amazon.com/Dignity-Seeking-Respect-Back-America/dp/0525534733

    “It comes down to how each party treats the majority of its voters. The republican party, while busy fucking over their voters, provides lip service to ‘social issues’ (abortion, church, guns etc).”

    You left out the most important one, racism. Since Nixon’s Southern strategy the Republican party has been using wink, wink, nudge, nudge “we’re racists” dog whistles. Trump doesn’t do dog whistles. He just comes right out and says it.

    And nobody is pretending that is not the case. The real question is: why was the democratic party doing well at the national and state level for over 20 years after various civil rights acts were passed. Is two decades not long enough for racist people to change their voting patterns? Or are you sugggesting that white people in the 60s-80s were less racist than after 1992?

  3. MikeCA
    September 2, 2019 at 3:28 pm

    “The real question is: why was the democratic party doing well at the national and state level for over 20 years after various civil rights acts were passed. Is two decades not long enough for racist people to change their voting patterns? Or are you sugggesting that white people in the 60s-80s were less racist than after 1992?”

    Party loyalty is usually established in the late teens and 20s. After that is takes some big event to change one’s party.

    In 1965 the Democratic and Republican parties were very different than what they are today. The South was solidly Democratic. This was a legacy of the Civil War. Abraham Lincoln was a Republican so the South voted solidly Democratic. Democrats from the North and Midwest were liberal and pro-union. The Republican party had many moderate members from the North East and more conservative members from the West. In 1965 both parties had conservative and liberal members. The Civil Rights and Voting Rights acts of the mid 1960s had bi-partisan support and bi-partisan opposition.

    In the 20 to 30 years after the passage of the Civil Rights acts, Southern Democrats moved to the Republican party. Some like Strom Thurmond actually changed from the Democratic to Republican party. Many others were defeated or replaced by Republicans. The moderate Republicans from the North East have mostly been defeated and replaced by Democrats.

    Today it is hard to get the kind of bi-partisan coalitions that passed the civil rights acts because the parties are so different. It took 20 or 30 years for some of the states to flip because switching party loyalty does not come easily. The key point is the Southern Democrats of the 1960s were nothing like the modern Democratic party. They were white, pro-segregation, pro-small government, and anti-union. Some Southerns continued to support these old conservative Democrats for a long time, but eventually they were replaced by Republicans.

    • September 3, 2019 at 4:02 pm

      As a now-63-year-old, born in 1956, who was precocious enough to be aware of social and political events in 1966, I can confirm MIKECA’s account of the character and positions of the Southern Democrats of the 1960s, and of how that bloc gradually disintegrated.

      That shift marked even Northern Democrats, though for some different reasons. I was born and lived until age 32 in central Massachusetts (not Boston, which is to MA as NYC is to upstate NY, lol). During the Kennedy/Johnson era, my dad voted 100% Democratic. But, beginning with the Reagan era, he shifted to Republican.

  4. Jon
    September 2, 2019 at 11:31 pm

    I hope that your next post will also include how much a scam the whole Democratic Socialist of America movement is. If you haven’t watched the viral video, I suggest you watch it on YouTube of the recent Democratic Socialist of America convention in Atlanta this year. Furthermore, do you think the likes of AOC or Ilhan Omar care about the plights of the “deplorables”? Wouldn’t you agree they hope all the deplorables die out one day? Then their whole push to open borders? Some how, this whole open borders push is directly in conflict of their move to “raise wages” for the average American. Are they really inept in Economics to not realize that you can’t have a welfare state, or higher wages if you push for open borders?

    I am removing your other duplicate comment.

    AOC is just another social climber using her identity to speed up that process.

  5. Gern Blanderson
    September 3, 2019 at 5:05 am

    “To summarize, many working class voters in flyover states vote republican because it does not insult their beliefs while fucking them over.”

    Michael Moore was saying similar things like this before the election on why he thought Trump would win. His main point was that voting for Trump was an outlet for the working class voters to give the “middle finger” to the elites in Washington. Trump openly ridiculed the elites and the Washington insiders and told the truth about how incompetent they really are. He even admitted that he gave money to all of them!

    The Trump victory was a game changer for me and shook me to the core to realize that I was out-of-touch with middle America. I used to read all of the Washington/New York conservative columnists, but the victory exposed all of them for what they are, con artists who have an open contempt and ridicule for working class people. I have over hauled my daily news consumption and reading to other providers and have blocked out all corporate media.

  6. doldrom
    September 3, 2019 at 8:55 am

    Nobody loves the working class. C’mon. That was so funny in the sixties/seventies with the counter culture … hoping that as the avant garde they could galvanize working class resistance. The working class hated them (think Archie Bunker). The left has never loved the working class, they just like to pretend being on the right side of history with the victims and the oppressed. The “deplorables” was a case of a Freudian lapse.

    I remember a brother of mine who quit college and went hitch-hiking and working at various factory, construction, lumber jobs. Upon return, one of my father’s friends asked him if he had learned anything. “Yeah”, he said, “I don’t want to be part of the working class”. He got his engineering degree prompto.

  7. Yusef
    September 3, 2019 at 11:34 am

    There is some truth in saying the kind of people you are talking about here are not working class. They are something new, I believe, something created out of the working class starting possibly as early as the 1960s.

    The working class as such constituted a threat to the oligarchy because the working class was disciplined, had a tough work ethic, was physically more toughened than the “toughs” employed by the oligarchy, and no serious person believed the workers were any less intelligent and shrewd than the “brains” employed by the oligarchy. (There was a lively concern in the working class itself about the quality of public education, so that part of the inferiority of the working class had a validity.) The working class very well could have challenged the oligarchy and won.

    In support of this I offer the number of strikes, including wildcat strikes, right into the middle and late ’70s. There’s a nice graph of strikes per year about mid-page on the following link:


    The number of strikes per year post-WWII falls to nearly none around 1980 or so.

    The rise of the degraded lifestyle and the emotional/psychological/behavioral manifestations of feelings of powerlessness coincide with actual powerlessness, and the actual powerlessness didn’t just happen for no reason or no plan in mind. The problem, as I see it, is reversing the manifestations of powerlessness and summoning these people to their inherent or at least potential political power. It isn’t an easy problem, and it gets worse because time is against it. They’re weak and getting weaker.

  8. Jack Donovan
    September 3, 2019 at 3:45 pm

    y’know there is an ole saying:

    “The Republican Party loves to bend you over and rape ya up the ass w/o any lube.

    The Democratic Party loves to bend you over and fuck you up the ass without any lube. Then when they are done, they want you to kiss them on the lips and tell them how good it was.”

    We got this workaround at the Wolves of Vineland. It was actually invented by your good friend Matt Horney. Eat lots of taco bell and get really liquored up. Then when you are having the meat shits (diarrhea for all you lame-o normies) it is time for thevulvas of vineland anal extraction. Man with all the fecal matter flying’ through the air, we all resembled a bunch of hindu muffins. Not quite black face, but brown face if ya get my drift.

  9. Noseberg Shekelstien
    September 5, 2019 at 10:07 am

    liberals are sharing a petition on facebook to ban a spoof game where caricatures of trump, Hitler and jesus shoot democrats lol worst part is it has over 60,000 signatures https://www.change.org/p/jesusstrikesback-com-ban-jesus-strikes-back-judgement-day-video-game-3  

  1. September 4, 2019 at 6:03 pm

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