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Inept Western Response to COVID-19 Will Result in Public Backlash: 4

In the previous post of this series, I made the point that all of the dumbshit “democratic” western countries and their sad imitators (India etc) have not thought through the full consequences of shutting down most of their economies in response to the SARS-2 pandemic. Because, if they had performed any due diligence, it would be obvious that stopping the collection of all types of rents and bills had to be done before shutting down other things. It is also no secret that some large countries (USA and India) lack both the bureaucratic and financial infrastructure to deliver timely and sufficient money to most of their people who have lost income because of this shutdown. Even those who have done a far better job in this regard (Denmark, Canada, UK etc) are still half-assing it by not covering all their people and cancelling economic rents. Bad as these things are, these are not their biggest failures- so far.

In my opinon, the single biggest failure (thus far) has been the complete lack of any exit plan- something which Kim Iversen alluded to in one of her many videos. Any politician, bureaucrat or “credentialed epidemiologist” who cannot present a definitive and feasible exit strategy from this thoughtless lockdown is not living in the real world. While there will be ample opportunity to dunk on politicians and bureaucrats later on this post (or series), let me start by exposing the utter incompetence of all those “credentialed epidemiologists” who staff the public health departments of western countries. You know who they remind me of.. WW1 generals. If you have read a significant amount of history, you will be aware that the vast majority of generals in WW1 on both sides were epic disasters and clusterfucks whose decisions caused far more casualties than if they hadn’t been born. But why were they such massive disasters? Well it has to do with how they ended up in their positions and careers prior to 1914.

See.. for almost 50 years prior to WW1, there was no large scale warfare in western Europe. The only real action most soldiers and generals in that part of world saw from end of Franco-Prussian War in 1871 to the start of WW1 in 1914 was restricted to putting down rebellions in colonies and a few small skirmishes in the Balkans. Therefore, an entire generation of western generals had never faced anything beyond dark-skinned tribals with spears and a few old firearms. To put it another way, the upper military ranks of western countries were filled with shysters and dummies who had reached their position via family connections, patronage and bribes, flattery and good social manners etc. Sure.. many of them had attended “prestigious” schools and universities and were capable of accurately reciting back whatever they had learned in them. To put it another way, they were incompetent posers who could nevertheless give the appearance of competence. But reality cannot be fooled and WW1 exposed them in a most unflattering manner.

The current crop of “credentialed epidemiologists” in USA and other western countries are, in many ways, similar to WW1 generals. Here is why.. firstly, neither has actually faced a large scale challenge of this magnitude in their entire careers. Sure, there have been bad influenza seasons and occasional outbreaks of some exotic diseases in Africa or East Asia- but dealing with routine or small-scale problems does not prepare one for making decisions during large scale meltdowns. Secondly, just like their military counterparts a century ago, the bulk of these “credentialed epidemiologists” went to “prestigious” universities where they learned to regurgitate the alleged “wisdom” of those who had fought past wars while also building up their social networks. Most importantly, their training and experience leaves them particularly unequipped to think outside the box of “conventional wisdom” and “established norms”. You know.. in some ways, they remind me of the current democratic party establishment.

But why does any of this matter? The brief answer is as follows: any strategy or plan is always subject to the constraints of the system it operates within and available resources. Sure.. you can always find new ways to unlock resources that were previously unavailable or partially bypass existing constraints, but in the end the feasibility of any given plan is dictated by what exists and is available at that time. Let me explain that concept with a couple of examples- the stalemate of trench warfare in WW1 was ultimately broken by using shock-troop tactics by Germans and combined arms operations by the other side- but both approaches, though new, were extensions of what was feasible at that time. Similarly, in WW2- the development of jet aircraft made it possible to fly faster, V1 and V2 demonstrated that cruise and ballistic missiles were not pipe dreams. However, once again, they were extensions of what was feasible at that time.

My point is that physical, logistical and technological feasibility of any strategy or plan of action is central to success- whether you are waging war or trying to control a pandemic. With that in mind, let us talk about something almost every commentator in mainstream media seems to have missed. Ever wonder how you can motivate people to follow a plan of action which might be painful in short-term, but potentially rewarding in long run? The more delusional of you might think that fear would work. However any close reading of history shows that fear by itself, at best, can only buy you a short time (weeks to months). So what else can? The answer is hope.. specifically hope for a better future. In other words, a leader with a reasonably feasible plan to overcome whatever adversity they are facing will always motivate people to go along for a far longer time than somebody who is using only fear. Hope trumps fear. With that in mind, let us go through their stupidities, not necessarily in order of importance.

1] ‘Social distancing’ and shutting down most of economy is unworkable over any period longer than a few weeks. Even countries which provide far more generous direct monetary support to their population than USA have been either unable/unwilling to provide full income replacement. Consequently, any shutdown that goes on for more than a few weeks will definitely have very nasty downstream and knock-on economic effects. But why does this matter? Well.. here is why. SARS-2 aka COVID-19 has a maximum fatality rate of about 1.5% in populations which conduct extensive testing + factoring in asymptomatic or very mildly symptomatic patients who recovered (not counted in official positive numbers). Compare this to massive and inevitable job loss in the service sector due to ‘social distancing’ guidelines and the inevitable closure of many small business.Long story short, shutting down economy for more than a few weeks gives results in unemployment rates reaching 30% and beyond. Note that this will be on top of all the other problems caused by many people being unable to pay rent and other bills.

To put it bluntly, the number of severely pissed off people who are unemployed and in poverty will exceed the potential number of who might die by a minimum of over 20 times. Continuing the bullshit charade of ‘social distancing’ and shutdowns until we develop an effective vaccine a year or more from now is not a viable option, regardless of what dumbfucks such as Faucci or Bill Gates want to to believe. We are already seeing lineups of thousands (who own cars) in many american cities to use food banks- and this is just the beginning. Let me remind you that similar combinations of unemployment and non-existent safety nets have, in the past, led to the rise of people such as Mussolini and Hitler. Unless the “credentialed epidemiologists” come up with a viable plan to reopen the economy real soon, things will develop a momentum and direction of their own- in ways that are not controllable.

2] ‘Social distancing’ and ‘flattening the curve’ loses its utility after a few weeks. Slowing the spread of a highly contagious but not-especially-lethal disease (in the absence of effective treatments or vaccines) for more than a couple of months merely prolongs the outbreak. While such measures can buy us a few weeks (at the beginning) to get things in order, find a better protocol for treatment or develop better measures to protect the most vulnerable groups etc- it cannot stop the inevitable. This becomes much more relevant once you understand that excess deaths due to ignoring other diseases and conditions, because of a misguided focus on SARS-2, will keep on increasing and quickly eclipse the extra mortality due to the later. People don’t stop having heart attacks, strokes, needing anti-cancer therapy, requiring elective surgery or receiving treatment for other acute and chronic conditions because there is a moderate pandemic of some sort. Anything which takes resources away from other medical issues will increase total mortality.

To make matters more interesting, most people above 80 who require incubation due to severe presentations of SARS-2 don’t make it- at least with currently used therapeutic interventions. This groups also makes up the majority of deaths due to that disease. At some stage, people will start asking whether intensive therapeutic interventions in severely ill people over a certain age is desirable given that it takes those resources away from people with far more treatable disease conditions. In wretched countries such as USA and India, the loss of income in a system without a decent safety net will cause additional problems such as many people being unable to purchase medications, seek medical help or even buy food. Do not, even for a minute, believe the idiots who are trying to tell you that such deprivations won’t cause widespread and violet social unrest.

Since this post is already close to 1700 words, I will stop now. In the next part we will talk about why legal enforcement of ‘social distancing’ and shutdowns are going to cause far more problems than you realize- especially after next two weeks. Will also go into why the fear of looking bad due to covid-19 deaths after shutdown is lifted might cause decision paralysis among the “credentialed” leading to further collateral damage. Might also go into the scientific and clinical evidence behind using Chloroquine and Hydroxychloroquine to treat SARS-2 in early stages of disease. Here is a quick spoiler, there is considerable evidence that both drugs are very effective at reducing the number of those who require hospitalization and ICU care, but only if given within first few days of initial symptoms- and this actually supports their known mode of action.

What do you think? Comments?

  1. Rum
    April 13, 2020 at 4:56 pm

    I read medical records for a living, these days. It is a semi-retirement gig after a long and fun career in various kinds of emergency medicine.
    Hint: Every COVID case I have seen has been put on HCQ & ZPAK. No one is treating the test; they are treating the CXR. The tests are all crap. They should get better.

    That is what they did in China after a couple of weeks. Ground glass pattern on CXR or Chest CT + Leukopenia was a better (and much faster) indicator of disease than any PCR based test.

    In the near future, evidence of COVID antibodies will be REQUIRED in order to provide healthcare. A vaccine would be nice, but evidence of prior exposure is now the default option. Let that sink in — regarding the value of “bending the curve.”
    This should help folks understand what the Medics really think.

  2. P Ray
    April 13, 2020 at 8:28 pm

    To put it bluntly, the number of severely pissed off people who are unemployed and in poverty will exceed the potential number of who might die by a minimum of over 20 times.

    On the flip side, sex for rent is certain to increase
    AND
    lots of companies will go bust
    AND
    you can be a vulture and pick up a cash-producing asset for cheap, since most people won’t have the cash (and if you have already been “socially-distanced” by others previously due to racism, classism or looksism … you can save quite a bit due to not being in the same places or trying to keep up with them)

    In related news, Burger King New Zealand has entered receivership – https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=12324626
    The parent company of Burger King in New Zealand has been placed into receivership.

    Grant Graham and Brendon Gibson of KordaMentha were appointed receivers for the business, which operates 83 stores around the country and employs more than 2,600 staff.

    Looks like many students there (regardless of genders) can try sex work instead …

    And suddenly, New Zealand will become “less racist” (though they really want your money) towards Asian guys.

    • P Ray
      April 18, 2020 at 5:24 am

      Does anyone find it a great coincidence, that the Misandry Bubble – which was said to pop in 2020 – and Corona-chan have met up?

      It’s great that all the you-go-girl feminism is slowly crumbling, true to the principle: “Women will only change their behaviour when they can’t afford a house on their own.”
      Of course, the men need to know that women only change their behaviour … when they can’t attract the men they want and those same women need to sponge off regular guys.

      This is also another reason why marrying in a country where marital rape is illegal, is stupid.
      You have to earn the money to keep her lifestyle stable …
      but she doesn’t have to honour her vows and give the sex you are owed.
      AND if you cheat, she gets half …
      AND if she cheats, she gets half.

      No wonder women love getting married, they’re the ones who benefit the most from a divorce!

  3. GAY NIGGERS FROM OUTER SPACE
    April 14, 2020 at 7:03 am

  4. Yusef
    April 14, 2020 at 7:41 am

    “Unless the “credentialed epidemiologists” come up with a viable plan to reopen the economy real soon, things will develop a momentum and direction of their own- in ways that are not controllable.”

    My hunch has always been the existence of a viable plan held in waiting for the precisely proper moment for release and enactment. In other words, this is a planned-demic and that means, among other things, there is also an exit plan.

    It is all under control. Even the chaos is under control. There is strategic chaos and even strategic stupidity.

    Your continued child-like belief in the competence of “elites” is charming.

    This thing is brilliantly engineered. There’s not going to be any bobbling of the ball now when everything has gone down like dominoes in a row. ( Maybe you remember the scene in V is for Vendetta when a beautifully-arrayed “action painting” of dominoes is set off by the touch of one domino. I’m talking about something like that– that masterfully orchestrated from start to finish.)

    I always have agreed with you about the “credentialed experts” but I believe these comprise merely a thin layer of bamboozlement (the bamboozlers are themselves bamboozled) between the real sharks and the general bamboozled public.

    There used to be a lot of fear and conspiracy theory–especially in the 90’s– about what FEMA was about…Haven’t heard this sort of talk in a long time, have we?

    Has anyone else heard the “womenz” (male and female) who say there is a good reason there are so few fatalities after all and that’s because the government response was effective? In order to maintain their opinion, they’re going to have to give credit to Donald Trump, but that’s probably less painful for them than admitting what they’ve done. Imagine the angry unemployed being told to accept their poverty because “at least you’re alive”! We’ll hear this. We’ll also hear how great it was that in the moment of our dire distress we successfully pulled together “as a team.”

    • Yusef
      April 14, 2020 at 4:07 pm

      “Your continued child-like belief in the competence of “elites” is charming.

      Great!

      Glad to know I’m appreciated.

      I’m not sure I have a belief in the competence of the elites, but if you mean relative to the competence of “the masses”, yeah, I guess I do. If “the masses” would win a round or two here or there, maybe I wouldn’t be confident the elites will pull this off.

      Right now, though, in the fifteen round fight since WWII I score it 15 to the elites, 0 to “the masses.” Or maybe it was a knock out in the first seconds of the opening round– yeah, that’s more what it was.

    • plus d'un cafard
      April 18, 2020 at 12:40 pm

      Poor Yusef. You’ve got the support of a fellow conspiratard for what it’s worth.

      Speaking of the competence of elites, then, AD, what do you think Gates is trying to do? He’s obviously not sitting this one out, there must be some result he wants. He seems decently smart from his early IT work and was described as rather devious by early colleagues, so he seems capable to me.

      Also, he does not come from any random family. Just like one of the founder of Netflix being related to Edward Bernays (THAT one), this raises flags in my mind.

  5. doldrom
    April 14, 2020 at 7:09 pm

    “To put it bluntly, the number of severely pissed off people who are unemployed and in poverty will exceed the potential number of who might die by a minimum of over 20 times”

    This is way way way to conservative. There are now about 1000 people out of a job or income for every death (if we include casual cash-based labor in the informal economy, illegals, etc). We would first have to estimate the number of deaths avoided by having enough ventilators at hand. Most people do not survive intubation; most cases do not require it, and many nursing home victims are already to fragile to start it; and most hospitalizations do not prevent death. (As a side note, virtually all the deaths are people who would die within a day if they had to tag along with a band of nomads following game on the steppe). None of these numbers will ever be definitive, but the number saved by staggering ventilator use is very small, a few hundred tops.
    Some would argue that it is less than small, b/c (1) R₀ rolled over before the lock downs everywhere; (2) stretching the curve increases the length of time in which the vulnerable can be exposed because there is no herd immunity; (3) increases risk of infection waves during flu season when victims will get a double whammy. Don’t forget, barring a vaccine (an unlikely bet), everyone will be exposed to this sooner or later — everybody is now acting as if we can contain this thing and avoid exposure. Barring advances in technology, everybody who would die by contracting covid will die anyways, with the exception of a thin slice who are saved by intubation above peak intubation availability.
    Heading into a global recession, it is probably safe to say that the extra mortality from loss of access to healthcare (by not having medical insurance anymore) alone will exceed not only the number of life years saved (very few, in view of the average ages of victims) but will likely exceed the entire Coronavirus mortality even without correcting for remaining life expectancy. On top of that comes the hundreds of millions of the most vulnerable globally, who will be starving if the price of food rises. Interruptions of global supply chains, collapses in EM markets, grinding poverty, etc., will easily take the excess mortality in the subsequent decades to thousands (nationally) if not millions (globally) of years of life lost.

    • Yusef
      April 15, 2020 at 9:16 pm

      “This is way way way to conservative. There are now about 1000 people out of a job or income for every death (if we include casual cash-based labor in the informal economy, illegals, etc). “

      There’s a great deal he is underestimating.

      The most ruthless, heartless, psychopathic people in world history now have “the masses” right where they want them, and anyone who doesn’t clearly understand the predicament is hellish has a “a child-like belief” in (who knows what?) This is naive beyond belief.

      Shit just hasn’t hit the fan just yet. That’s all.

      We’re all being conservative at this point because we are assuming the plutocrats will innocently cause death and suffering due to unintended consequences of their “response to the virus.” We are assuming there is merely a miscalculation on their part. They are benevolent and meanwhile, just a bit “incompetent.”

      No, these are ruthless psychopathic killers who have just had ample confirmation “we” are entirely passive, obedient, herd animals. We’ve been pushed into going down that old stockyard chute leading to the cattle prod to the forehead and the butcher in the slaughter house.

      “As flies to wanton boys are we to the plutocrats; They kill us for their sport.” We’ve watched them slaughter so damned many people in so damned many places over the last twenty years. It’s our turn now. We’re fucked.

      • Jack Donovan
        April 15, 2020 at 9:30 pm

        Oh la la, you are making my mangina moist with all the talk of collapse porn. (Or, uh, maybe it’s that taco bell burrito seepage, yeppers, my butt is loose…)

        When we get our stimulus checks, well lets get some liquor and you can stimulate my prostate…

        I can tell you are one of the good goys, a fellow Steve Sailer fan…

      • GAY NIGGERS FROM OUTER SPACE
        April 16, 2020 at 5:11 am

        Behold the brilliant and in-depth political analysis of the stimulus from the gay nigger community. Locke’s Two Treatises of Government are nothing by comparison.

      • Yusef
        April 16, 2020 at 8:55 am

        American exceptionalism is a powerful force……”It can’t happen here!” Thing is, though, it is impossible to run the numbers without seeing many, many people are going to be seriously injured. It can happen here and is happening here, now.

        I thought we might see an across the board 50% cut in our standard of living, along with medical martial law. Terrible, but we’d still eat and live.

        I wasn’t taking into account the malice of Americans, even though I have watched them Apache helicopter slaughter, drone assassinate, depleted uranium poison millions. I have watched Americans destabilize entire regions, for no reason create epic problems which didn’t need to exist and can’t be easily solved, I’ve watched a sham and charade of democracy acted out year after year and accepted as freedom and glory.

        We’re sunk. I never thought America would get away without consequences. Here they are.

        It kinda makes sense it is happening in 2020, too. I think the plutocrats really are into numerology. I won’t be the slightest surprised if they are Satanists, too. Not at all. So,yes, I am now in whactedie whackoville to stay.

        I read a few of Steve Sailor’s posts near the start. He’s an idiot. An absolute idiot.

      • Jack Donovan
        April 16, 2020 at 12:10 pm

        Oh no Yusef,

        You just called the brightest mind of the white race an idiot !!!

        How can anyone call the father of race realism an idiot !!!

        I am soo hurt, we can still rub elbows (and a whole lott more) if ya get my drift…

        As far as Satanism, yes, I was a member of the satanic order of white nationalists. In fact the wolves of vineland kill innocent animals not to eat them but to watch them die for satan because we are real men and we love white men.

        Yusef, join us and stop leaving bad reviews of my book.

  6. doldrom
    April 14, 2020 at 7:14 pm

    Putting doctors at the helm of state was an absolute travesty. Doctors less than any other group are trained not to think in terms of costs/benefits. How can anyone think that doctors would be resourceful in figuring out how to retain significant benefits while reducing costs by orders of magnitude. Doctors think that any margin of hope, no matter how unlikely, regardless the costs, should be acted on. Anybody with congenital problems that might live to 42 if there were only that individualized special drug costing 80 million over the course of that life, who are we to decide who lives and dies?

  7. doldrom
    April 16, 2020 at 11:54 am

    I’m am having difficulty understanding the zinc+hydroxychloroquine thing. This drug has been around for 80 years, is prescribed routinely for malaria, is used by lupus and rheuma patients for years on end with no significant monitoring or caveats, and everybody is just so concerned that we do not know if it is harmful. More harmful than landing up in the ICU with Corona and intubation? Where is the concern about the harm of sedation + intubation (orders of magnitude worse than zinc+chloroquine to not get there). The Chinese and South Koreans included it in their standard therapy guidelines months ago. It is being used all over. Billions being spend on the thin and unlikely hope for a vaccine, a lot of talk about clinical trials, but nothing coming out. Where is the statistcal data on harm and C19 prophylaxis among lupus/rheuma patients already using it?

    It seems as incomprehensible as the Russian interference ghost.

    • Yusef
      April 16, 2020 at 3:04 pm

      I don’t see why that is not another example, from among many, showing reason, science, and intelligence are not driving policy decisions.

      There’s good evidence they want to gin up the morbidity numbers as much as they can to justify their drastic measures. If there are treatments available to reduce the morbidity and the total death count, then of course they don’t want that.

      “Billions being spend on the thin and unlikely hope for a vaccine”

      Not such a bad thing if you are heavily invested in vaccine development and manufacture.

      The zinc+hydroxychloroquine medicine is potentially very inexpensive, right?

      • GAY NIGGERS FROM OUTER SPACE
        April 18, 2020 at 4:04 pm

        Yusef,

        My fellow alt-rite american, I present you the Gr8est artiste of our time…

  8. Gay Niggers From Outer Space
    April 17, 2020 at 12:43 pm

    someone is slandering our guy, Jordan Peterson!!!

    https://www.currentaffairs.org/2018/03/the-intellectual-we-deserve

    I demand we attack, attack, attack !!!!

  9. Jack Donovan
    April 18, 2020 at 9:11 am

    Oh look: the Gay Nigress Doktor Kizzmekia Korbett (left), the senior research fellow and scientific lead for coronavirus vaccine research tweets about her mangina: her Twitter biography reads: “Virology. Vaccinology. Vagina-ology. Vino-ology. My tweets are my own. My science is the world’s.”

    • Yusef
      April 18, 2020 at 9:31 am

      The doctors are wearing white lab coats and the politicians don’t. Why? I guess Fauci will need all the respectability he can get. What a total bunch of crap.

      • Jack Donovan
        April 18, 2020 at 11:18 am

        Oh hai yusef,

        you “strategically” reply to posts I didn’t write while you resist my advances…

        *sigh*

        Is it because you saw this…

        I promise, I will not dalhmerize you buddy…

      • Yusef
        April 19, 2020 at 11:06 am

        I watched it. I don’t take any of it as “inside the mind of J.Daulhmer, though. He is lucid and articulate, but he’s also mad. He probably has about zero insight into himself. I don’t think you should send him any wedding proposals.

      • Jack Donovan
        April 19, 2020 at 1:22 pm

        “I don’t think you should send him any wedding proposals.”

        Oh, poor Yusef,

        You are usually soooo smartypants in your replies but good ‘ole boy Jeffery is dead, get it DEAD…

        While some necorophilia may be fun, it is not aryan men celebrating the beauty of the white man. I need to send you those wedding proposals as you are a dissident white guy, wink wink…

      • Yusef
        April 19, 2020 at 2:03 pm

        Wow. I did not know that. 26 years ago, too. I’m not up on my Dahmer.

      • Jack Donovan
        April 19, 2020 at 9:02 pm

        Oh yusuf,

        You should not be up on you Jeffrey, but up on your Jackie…

        Boom Chicka Wa Wa

  1. May 31, 2020 at 10:35 am

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