Home > Critical Thinking, Current Affairs, Dystopia, Musings, Philosophy sans Sophistry, Reason, Secular Religions, Skepticism > Do Democrats Have a Contingency Plan if Trump Cancels 2020 Election?

Do Democrats Have a Contingency Plan if Trump Cancels 2020 Election?

As many of you know, I have a tendency to think about scenarios which initially appear unlikely but often come to pass later. Today, I am going to talk about the possibility of Trump cancelling the 2020 election or otherwise rigging it in a very blatant manner. I also have a feeling that our resident partisan democrat aka MikeCA is going to have something to say about this in comment section. FYI- I first explicitly considered this possibility in Mid-April but have kept quiet about it until now because, unlike corporate media presstitues, I prefer to make speculations which are solidly grounded in reality rather than wild fantasy.

So here are a few, and not mutually exclusive, scenarios in which Trump either cancels the 2010 election on blatantly rigs it..

1] Trump cancelling the 2020 election is the most dramatic scenario. While anything is possible in 2020, I would consider this to be the least likely one. For starters, Trump is too full of himself and stupid to be any good at subverting democratic processes, a fact that MikeCA still hasn’t grasped. But if he were to do it, this is how he would do it.. Imagine a second or third wave of COVID-19 and Influenza in the fall causes another round of shutdowns. A combination of massive increase in unemployment rates and stingy financial assistance by government forments widespread social unrest. BLM type protests intensify into street battles all across the country between leftists and right-wingers leading to many people start expressing concerns about their safety on election day. And yes.. everything I have mentioned here could occur by late-September.

Under these circumstances, Trump could make a plausible case that the 2020 election has to be postponed for a few months. Some of you might mumble something about the constitution, but face it.. if the situation mentioned above came to pass it would be very hard to make the counter case- namely that free and fair ejection can be held on “the Tuesday next after the first Monday in the month of November” or “the first Tuesday after November 1”. While democrats have demonstrated that they can organize a million-woman ‘pussy hat’ march, they have also shown themselves to be incapable (or unwilling) to wield any real power. In other words, Trump has seen them repeatedly fold like a cheap suit under the slightest pressure and his supporters have guns while LIEbrals don’t. So.. ya, he could get away with it.

2] A second possibility is that Trump and the republicans could use such a scenario to truncate the electoral process. This one is much more likely because republicans have already shown themselves to be capable of doing it on smaller scale. I am sure some of you might have heard about the various shenanigans being pulled by Republicans in southern states after key parts of the voting rights acts were invalidated by the Supreme Court in 2013. You might also be aware of attempts to suppress votes by requiring complex ID requirements in Wisconsin, a couple other mid-western States (and also Texas?). There is also the issue of republicans legislating to reduce the number of days and places for early voting, challenging mail-in ballots and a host of other “legalistic tricks” to suppress the vote. It is perfectly rational to assume that these tactics will go into overdrive and reach unprecedented levels during the 2020 election.

I could write a lot more on this particular sub-topic, but I do not want to bore you and lets be realistic- this is almost certain to occur. Keep you eye on how states handle the issue of mail-in ballots accessibility subsequent to the COVID-19 crisis and the almost inevitable and prolonged legal challenges. So, let us move on to the 3rd scenario- which is a sequel to the 2nd one.

3] Trump could contest the electoral results after the election is over. If more than the usual number of people vote by mail-in ballots, it is inevitable that any concrete results (especially in battleground states) could take at least 2-3 weeks to be finalized with any degree of confidence. Meanwhile Trump could declare victory on election night or the day after and create a popular narrative that he had won the electoral college. MikeCA might say.. but, 50% of country won’t believe him. My response is the other 50% will, and that is the problem. The closest we came to such a scenario was in 2000, where Al Gore won popular vote and almost certainly the electoral college but was unable to find the popular support to force his case. MikeCA might say that the Supreme Court stole the election. Here is my reply.. if there were even a hundred thousand people burning down parts of DC in support of Al Gore, the Supreme Court would have chosen differently- if only to ensure their own safety.

The thing is.. given the number of CONservative judges appointed by Trump since assuming office, it might be an even harder task to litigate this matter in a speedy and satisfactory manner. We then end up in a nightmare scenario where Trump wins the electoral college by initial vote count (first 2-3 days), declares victory, subsequent counting of mail-in ballots show a Biden win leading to Trump and republicans contesting validity of mail-in ballots at various levels. This leads to prolonged litigation and fiascoes that make the ‘hanging chad’ controversy of 2000 seem almost quaint by comparison. Then Trump asks his supporters to demonstrate in Washington DC and other cities across country, causing clashes and riots with antifa types, leading to even more civil unrest- especially if real unemployment rates remain above 20-25% at that time. It does not take a rocket scientist to figure out whoever emerges from his confrontation will not be seen as legitimate by one half of the country. It will be an epic shitshow to round up an epic year.

So here is my question to MikeCA and other comfortable coastal partisan democrats- Do you, or your party, for have a feasible contingency plan (or two) to prevent or mitigate these scenarios. And don’t tell that this will be dealt through the legal system etc.. because we know, based on past occurrences, that the legal system is not behind people such as yourself. So what are your plans? Another few ineffectual million-women ‘pussy hat’ marches? More toothless protests on highways? More scolding articles in the NYT, WP or on NPR? More chest beating by Chris Cuomo and Rachel Maddow? More snarky late-night jokes by Stephen Colbert? Any ideas about how confrontations between Trump supporting hicks with guns and anti-gun leftists will end? Also, how many people will actually fight for Dementia Joe to assume office in the aftermath of a contested election? These are serious questions about very consequential events whose impact will last much longer than four years of either clown- Trump or Biden.

What do you think? Comments?

  1. blaquer
    June 26, 2020 at 9:27 pm

    I think the second and third scenarios are inevitable tbh. I have been thinking about this a LOT lately. Trump plans to throw money at the markets and the American public in a bid to gain voting support, and it is OBVIOUS that mail in voting will not be allowed as it needs to be. He’s already speaking about how “rigged” it is. He’s also “joked” about having more than two terms on multiple occasions. I am reading fools on the left who think he will bow out before the election! Fucking MORONS! The left is so delusional it is really sad. My only question is what is the military going to do in the midst of a shit show like this?? Seems like half of them are racist fks and the other either ambivalent to him or more so focused on the Constitution. I can almost see various states attempting to secede or something, but that just brings out even more question on how the fuck that would work. Maybe things get crazy and left leaning states form quasi alliances with China for funding or some insane shit, who knows.

  2. ...this blog has gone down in quality as of late..
    June 27, 2020 at 5:13 pm

    Do you think Trump da chump pushed so hard for fast re-opening because he thought it would cause a surge and help create conditions where he could suspend the election?

  3. doldrom
    June 27, 2020 at 6:09 pm

    Here’s another question:

    Do Democrats Have a Contingency Plan if Biden Wins 2020 Election?

    LOL.. you know the answer to that, don’t you.

  4. doldrom
    June 27, 2020 at 6:12 pm

    [1] and [2] seem to me unlikely, especially as the president has few legal powers to influence decisions made by States about mail-in voting.

    [3] seems to be a kind of default option for American elections.

    Why can’t the USA learn from countries such as Bolivia and Venezuela, where they held elections with electronic and paper audit trails, high degrees of control and monitoring. The quality control on American elections are much worse than in countries such as Syria or the DRC.

  5. MikeCA
    June 27, 2020 at 6:37 pm

    1) The president has no authority to re-schedule the election. The only way he could re-schedule the election would be to declare nation wide martial law. Following the attack on Perl Harbor, the Territory (not yet state) of Hawaii was placed under martial law for several years I believe, but that was done at the request of the governor of Hawaii. Martial law has been used following natural disasters, but usually declared by Governors. The Insurrection Act of 1807 allows the president to declare martial law in the event of civil disorder, insurrection or rebellion. If Trump could find a way of provoking massive civil disorder across the country, perhaps he could declare martial law nation wide. Then it would depend on what the military was actually willing to do.

    Note that the Insurrection Act was modified in 2006 to essentially allow the president to declare martial law and federalize the national guard under very broad and vaguely defined conditions. This was done by provisions slipped into the defense appropriation bill. In 2008 these changes were completely repealed. No one could even explain how those provisions got into the 2006 appropriations bill.

    I am explicitly considering the possibility of widespread civil unrest- fanned by some combination of widespread unemployment, financial problems for many people, confrontations between leftists and right-wingers and Trump somehow making all of this much worse.

    2) You know Republicans are going to do everything they can to make it hard for Democrats to vote in the states they control.

    3) It really depends on how close the election is. Remember in the USA the elections are run by the states. Election results would need to be challenged first in states and every state has different laws about how the election results can be challenged. If the results are close, generally you can ask for a recount. I would not doubt that Trump could declare himself the winner even if the counted election results made it look like he has lost in a landslide. It is possible that federal courts might get involved, but the 2000 Supreme court intervention was very abnormal.

    Unless something miraculous occurs between now and Nov 3, the election will be much closer than democrats want to believe. In other words, the scenario of Trump arguing about the results post-facto is almost inevitable.

    The electoral votes are counted in a joint session of the newly elected Congress in January. If one Senator and one House member object to a states votes, then the House and Senate must separately consider the objection. If both the House and Senate vote to approve the objection, all the electoral votes for a state can be thrown out and not counted. In the 19th century some states electoral votes were rejected. In 2000 there was an attempt to object to the Florida votes, but no Senator would sign on to the objection. In 2004 there was an objection signed by members of both houses, but it was quickly defeated in both the House and Senate. It would certainly be possible for Republicans to try to use objections to get votes by states won by Biden thrown out, but unless Republicans win control of the House in 2020, it seems unlikely this would work.

    • low status dudebroe
      June 28, 2020 at 9:22 am

      here’s what MikeCaCa and the other rich white people who “got theirs” did this weekend…

      None of you covidiots are wearing masks, but you all cry like a Karen when the Amazon delivery guy has his mask around his neck whilst running to make a delivery….

      • MikeCA
        June 28, 2020 at 10:04 am

        I believe this was last weekend not this weekend, since there are signs saying happy birthday to Trump which was June 14th.

        Still these people are really dumb on both sides. It is outside, which is better than an indoor rally, but still really, really dumb.

        This is apparently the video Trump retweeted where one of his supporters is heard screaming white power. Tim Scott, the lone black Republican in the Senate, describe this video as “indefensible”.

        Trump seems to be losing it. I think he doesn’t want to be president, he just wants to play president and give speeches to huge cheering crowds. If he can’t hold big rallies any more because of COVID, then he just isn’t interested.

        If you are silly enough to think I go out to events like this, you are crazy. I’m hiding in my house from the plague.

      • low status dudebroe
        June 28, 2020 at 10:42 am

        well, here is something to entertain you whilst you sit at home, unlike AD’s PG-13 pictures…

      • low status dudebroe
        June 28, 2020 at 10:46 am

        and maybe when it is trashy rich white people, instead of us disposable “essential workers” getting sick, all you liberals will finally get “triggered”.

        Here is an interesting article I came across on the intertubes..

        https://americanaffairsjournal.org/2020/05/losing-the-narrative-the-genre-fiction-of-the-professional-class/

      • dru mcd
        June 28, 2020 at 10:09 pm

        …Here is an interesting article I came across on the intertubes..

        https://americanaffairsjournal.org/2020/05/losing-the-narrative-the-genre-fiction-of-the-professional-class/

        That was an interesting read, AD. in particular, you should be reflecting on this quote from it:

        “Absolute pessimism is almost always a sign of a lazy narcissist, and narratives of inevitable decline are used by those who want to absolve themselves of the obligation to act.”

      • ...a gay man with a chocolate tan...
        June 29, 2020 at 9:35 am

        If you can tolerate sucking a dick or taking one in the ass, being gay brings a huge range of social, political and economic benefits. It’s a logical choice for many men for becoming high status.

      • low status dudebroe
        June 29, 2020 at 12:00 pm

        “If you can tolerate sucking a dick or taking one in the ass, being gay brings a huge range of social, political and economic benefits. It’s a logical choice for many men for becoming high status.”

        Not to offend the altreichtards who frequent this place, I gotta say I wholeheartedly agree. Jack Donovan and Milo Y are evidence of this.

  6. eD
    June 28, 2020 at 2:09 pm

    OK, I’ll play.

    In the United States, elections are run by state governments. The FEC oversees just the financing. If a state holds a regularly schedule election, the only way the federal government can stop it would be to send the federal army into the state, arrest the relevant state officials, and take over the state government. Something like this process has happened in the past, but its always been a big deal.

    A state government could cancel an election within the state. Presumably the governor could do this under the same “emergency powers” they used this year to ban all commerce. The normal remedy for this is the impeachment and removal provisions of the state constitution, but we have learned that all the governor needs is to keep the support of one third of the state legislature (potentially this a a big problem with American government) and he or she can do anything he or she wants. However, a single state government trying to do this would run into the federal response I outlined in the first paragraph, probably after the various courts rule on the inevitable lawsuits. A bunch of state governments trying to do this would find themselves at odds with any state governments with a different approach, regardless of where the federal government stood.

    The lockdown happened because forty plus state governors all locked down at once, and the federal government co-operated.

  7. low status dudebroe
    June 30, 2020 at 3:03 pm

    something more accurate than “polling.” When crooked Hillary lost, all the white people cried about miss ogg-oh-knee…

    …now, all the white people cry about how oppressedessed they are because masks and WFH is sooo-tough ™

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/30/masks-slow-spread-coronavirus-experts-cultural-shift

    So, by that metric (and the fact that like Mike CaCa, they care about no one but themselves)

    I figure Trump the Chump will win against Joe “touchy feely” Biden….

  8. Just A Programmer
    July 2, 2020 at 10:08 am

    Not really about this post but Cisco in San Jose sued for allowing Caste based discrimination. A Dalit was outed by high-caste managers, complained to HR which decided it wasn’t illegal so the employee was stuck.

    https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/01/tech/cisco-lawsuit-caste-discrimination/index.html

  9. MikeCA
    July 3, 2020 at 9:27 pm

    Watched Trump’s 4th of July Mt.Rushmore speech. God, this was the worse Trump speech I have every listened too. He looked like he was sweating profusely, although I think it was just his orange bronzer and the lighting. It made him look like he was sick. Trump was low energy and just phoning in the speech, except for the few parts where he was attacking cultural issues, Democrats and leftists. I mean seriously, Trump thinks leftish cancel culture is the greatest threat to our democracy. Maybe Trump should ask Colin Kaepernick about that.

    He knows who he is appealing to.. and ya, his opponent has obvious senile dementia. But isn’t it odd that the political party duopoly in this country could not find better candidates from a potential pool of over 300 million people.

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