Home > Critical Thinking, Current Affairs, Dystopia, Musings, Philosophy sans Sophistry, Reason, Secular Religions, Skepticism > Damage Due to COVID-19 Restrictions Will Cause a Huge Backlash- 1

Damage Due to COVID-19 Restrictions Will Cause a Huge Backlash- 1

For the past few weeks, I have been considering writing a post (or two) listing my predictions for 2021. Since I have some spare time right now, let me start by making an obvious series of predictions about the upcoming year. And yes.. I have tackled this topic in a previous series and other older posts. I have also written about the ineffectiveness of conventional face masks and likely issues with widespread use of any potential vaccine. Thus far, every aspect of the response in western countries to COVID-19 from damaging widespread lockdowns that have no worthwhile effects on caseloads, ineffectual facemasks policies, hamhanded and delusional vaccination policies are creating a lot of fuel for huge public backlashes in 2021.

1] The most important determinant of long-term public support for all governmental policies concerning any war, restrictions or other deprivations comes down to the simple question- how much does it inconvenience or hurt the median person? Let me remind you that american public support for Vietnam war was very high in the beginning, but declined sharply once conscription became widespread and increasing number of recruits came back in body bags or as cripples. Similarly, the Iraq War was popular towards in the beginning when many stupid muricans believed they could win it at very little personal cost. Once it became obvious that the war was creating an endless stream of brain-damaged and crippled veterans, it became far less popular. The inability to move freely in Iraq years after that failed occupation, due to multiple ongoing insurgencies, did not help its popularity either.

So how does this knowledge help us predict the now inevitable backlash against botched response to COVID-19 by western countries, especially USA. For starters, we now have tons of data from both adjacent countries and states that brain-dead measures such as lockdowns, public making, closing restaurants and other small business etc have almost no effect on the rise and fall of case numbers. While some of you might not have heard about this because of spending too much time watching CNN and MSNBC- it is now increasingly common knowledge that many measures such as public masking pushed by public health “scientists” and faceless bureaucrats are nothing more than public theater while others such as closing restaurants, small businesses and physical retail are actively harmful. In the first 2-3 months people went along with the bullshit because they were afraid of the unknown, but now too many know somebody who tested positive for COVID-19 and had an uneventful spontaneous recovery.

My point is that the number of people who know somebody who contracted COVID-19 and recovered without complications is many fold more than those who know somebody who died. And for good reason! Mortality due to that infection in the under-50 population is somewhere between 1 in 5,000- 10,000. In fact, it crosses the 1 in 1,000 figure only for people above 60 and healthy non-institutionalized old people between 70-80 have a mortality rate of about 2-3%. But why does this matter? Well.. to put it bluntly, western societies don’t care much about lives of very old and institutionalized. While they may pretend to care about such people to show others around them that they are “good people”, they cannot keep up the charade for long if it is causing them to lose lots of money. By continuously lying to people that COVID-19 is far more dangerous than it is, the public health establishment in West is is serious risk of losing any residual public credibility which it might still have.

Which brings us to the second set of reasons why things are going to go ballistic in many countries aka this shitshow has been going on for almost 9 months now.

2] As you know, most human beings are conformist cowards who will go along any stupid belief system for a short time. The real problems start once the ridiculous crap continues past a few months. At that point, people will start reevaluating their previous beliefs- especially if they think that those beliefs are causing them financial or other loss. This is why most people either don’t join cults or slowly drop out of them as things get more extreme. While west European countries have a significantly better social safety net than USA, even they cannot keep the economy going for more than a few months. Things are even worse in countries with more fragile service-based economies + low job and career security + almost non-existent social safety net such as USA. Note that the shutdowns and restrictions are causing far more unemployment and financial damage to people under 40 and 50 than those over 65-70.

The problem with public health “scientists” and politicians trying to push their ineffectual ideas about indefinite lockdowns is that in addition to exaggerating the threat of COVID-19 they have not adequately compensated the people whose businesses and livelihoods have been affected. Even European countries which have far more generous wage replacement schemes than USA have not been able to make up the income loss to affected workers, not to mention uncertainty about future of affected business. The simple fact is that there many times more people who are being deliberately pushed into poverty by lying and incompetent governments in Western countries than there are people above 80. Things are even bleaker in USA where wage support is basically nonexistent for most laid-off and furloughed workers. Did I mention that most affected small businesses in USA are fucked.

To make matters worse, in almost every single Western country including USA the center-left part and its vocal minority PMC-class supporters are in favor of indefinite lockdowns without any hope or compensation. These sinecured assholes have lost all touch with the daily reality of a much larger group in their country. I predict, with complete certainty, that this will lead to the sort of backlash which will make Brexit vote and Trump’s election in 2016 look quaint. For example- the results of 2022 election in USA, barring some miracle or extreme incompetence by Republicans, will make the previous defeats suffered by Democratic party look comically small by comparison. I also predict similar electoral carnage for many other ruling parties in Western Europe in next two years- along with significant improvements in public support for right-wing parties. History might not repeat, but it often rhymes.

3] Many of you might have also heard that many social media companies and internet monopolies in the “free” West are trying to censor “unofficial” information about COVID-19, vaccine side-effects etc. I predict that such behavior by these corporations will have two main effects. Firstly, it will greatly increase public support behind those attempting to break up and regulate those corporations. But more importantly, it will amplify the very messages and distrust in “credentialed” authority which they are trying to suppress. If you don’t believe ask anybody for pre-1989 Eastern European countries if they believed official news about their own country. And yes.. it also feeds back into the anti-establishment dynamic which I talked about in the previous paragraph. The next two years will be most interesting.

The already moribund public health establishment in Western countries will be among the biggest loser in aftermath of this backlash. For starters, they have they lost any residual public goodwill during the past 9 months due to their inability to control COVID-19. But far worse was their poorly thought decisions (not based in scientific facts) which have caused massive damage to lives of thousands of times more people than those who died from COVID-19. Their pathetic attempts to pretend that COVID-19 vaccinations are safer than natural infection in younger age-groups is almost guaranteed to start some backlash in the next few weeks. Then again, public health in the past 40 years has been largely an exercise in bullshit mathematical models and SJW beliefs with no basis in reality. Will write about the effect of backlash on public perception of schools, universities, PMCs and politicians in upcoming part.

What do you think? Comments?

  1. ...this blog has goen down in quality as of late...
    December 19, 2020 at 10:33 pm

    Yer boi Newsom is gonna get recalled….

    Still, you don’t wan to get covid if you can avoid it, there are long haulers who have health issues after having it.

    This “vaccine” was rushed out, let the elites try it first and if it causes issues, they can fucking have it. If not, wait til that beloved herd immunity happens or just avoid travel by plane…

  2. Rooshbag
    December 19, 2020 at 11:07 pm
  3. RooshBag
    December 19, 2020 at 11:17 pm
  4. NickSwift
    December 20, 2020 at 2:55 pm

    When I ponder t events of this past year, I still can’t believe that all of this actually happened. I guess I’m not REALLY surprised, but you just don’t expect such blatant and almost farcical materializations of your worst fears.

    Since my own predictions were nearly perfect this year, I’ll throw in another one since you did, yourself, and it seems to be a good time for that sort of fun anyway; I predict that the COVID-19 vaccine will be proven in about a year’s time, or perhaps a bit longer, to be virtually useless and utterly ineffective…worse than useless, actually, because there will surely be considerable adverse reactions which will be noticed by plenty of observers, even if CNN and NBC try to pretend they aren’t happening.

    I expect very little to actually change in the coming months and years; America is locked firmly in the death-spiral, and there is no force in this universe that can arrest its plunge into the abyss. However, there may very well be fortunes to be made for those who are prepared and well-positioned for what will be coming. One door closes, another opens…

    As for your 2022 midterm prediction, I think you will be proven wrong again. The Democrats, in the best case scenario, would have a chance to hold on to (but probably not expand) their House majority and to win another two Senate seats. But, even in the worst case scenario, the electoral losses would be marginal and would be easily reversed in 2024 with the right candidate. Since Hillary and the Clinton mafia are gone, the Democrats might be able to make real changes for the first time in 40 years, and they are in a good position to capitalize on discrete, critical successes…if they don’t fuck it up, which is a BIG if.

    Your error is in overestimating the scale of the “backlash”. As far as I can tell, it peaked with Trump and Brexit and I still now going to peter out in a slow, agonizing burnoff. The instability is driven by the “Whites”, whose numbers will dwindle by the end of the decade. Their time is up, and they won’t be much of a factor in the world very soon.

    Just a few more years.

    • doldrom
      December 20, 2020 at 10:11 pm

      My expectation: Everything will revolve around vaccination records and registration in 2021

      As for the backlash, hard to tell. If 11 million households are evicted, there’s no telling where it would lead, although I tend to think Americans are too politically aware to every make any kind of a fist that is not immediately absorbed and repurposed by the establishment.

      • NickSwift
        December 21, 2020 at 7:43 am

        I certainly hope it won’t be as bad as that, but it’s possible.

        Of course, you’re correct that America will never in a million years muster any kind of meaningful “resistance” to any of this insanity. You can always count on Americans to go down the worst possible path–WITHOUT FAIL.

  5. NickSwift
    December 20, 2020 at 2:56 pm

    *and it’s now going to peter out

  6. Kirk
    December 20, 2020 at 3:29 pm

    I have tested positive for the Kung flu and I have no symptoms. Also have been slamming vitamins which always win over most of these sicknesses. Being mindful around the family though as I don’t want them to get it. Funny how it’s classified as “tested positive” or “tested negative” like those who are positive have some sort of an STD or something lol. Here’s to hoping and praying that Newsome will get recalled and or resign….

    • doldrom
      December 20, 2020 at 9:50 pm

      Worse than STD, where you need a consenting (?) partner to contract.
      You are a bioSecurity hazard.
      This is the new improved model of political control, 10× better than the Global War on Terrorism (911 edition).

      • Kirk
        December 21, 2020 at 12:18 am

        What you just said does that mean I was targeted because of my beliefs and/or affiliations

      • doldrom
        December 21, 2020 at 11:04 pm

        No. But you will be if you don’t get vaccinated even though you have already had it. And then comes the ultimate compliance test, carrying on with the charade of proof of Health/vaccination/bioSecurity status.

  7. hiveguys
    December 21, 2020 at 11:15 am

    It’s the same deal with mass shootings. There is a definite point of diminishing returns in terms of public outcry and demand for “greater measures” from these events.

    Columbine shook the nation, had the chattering classes up in arms calling for gun control, banning violent video games, keeping a closer eye on hate groups. The various agencies and their beneficiaries had a mandate to compromise liberties, and more importantly to dip into the public coffers to “deal” with the issue.

    Same deal with Virginia Tech, Norway, the Joker, Sandy Hook, Elliot Rodger.

    Then, around about Vegas and onward, any shooting would get a brief “isn’t it awful” and then promptly forgotten about. Impotent media attempting to egg on outrage would just fade into background noise – everything published after the initial details was just repetition. People began to realize that despite these events being terrible tragedies, life still went on much the same. Hence, not so much public support for more intervention and raiding of public funds.

    So they needed something new – the very aptly named novel coronavirus. Sickness is a very hot button emotional issue for a lot of people. What we saw was a mass amygdala hijacking. When certain people get triggered on this level, all bets are off. Of course locking everyone in their homes and shutting down all businesses is reasonable. Censor and shout down anybody that says “hang on a minute”. Snitch on people for the awful crime of taking their kids to the park. East Germany had it right. Use any public funds necessary – drain the treasuries dry to stop the bad thing.

    However, just like with the shootings, there will be, and already is, a point of diminishing returns in terms of “triggerability”. The fourth, fifth and sixth waves will come, and people will find yet again that life goes on. The media will cry that the nth wave “could be the deadliest yet”, but it will be forgotten about by morning tea. And, hence, not a lot of public sympathy for the Stasi or for throwing taxpayer money around.

    • doldrom
      December 21, 2020 at 11:08 pm

      Yes, but by then they will have institutionalized much of the program, just as did the GWOT and the TSA and all the infringements on privacy and rampant spying.

      The new version will make your body belong to the public health authority (to keep you healthy with vaccinations) and life without digital bioSecurity status will be next to impossible.

      • hiveguys
        December 22, 2020 at 4:26 pm

        They are definitely putting their feelers out to test public reaction to the possibility of health passports and mandatory vaccinations.

        The main thing to remember is that the elites are not all in lockstep. They’re not all going to profit from selling vaccines and apparatus for setting up a biosecurity infrastructure. Some will lose big from an impoverished middle class that has restricted freedom of movement, e.g. Elon Musk gave us a whiff of this sentiment when the Tesla plant was shut down.

        Therefore I think there’s going to be quite a bit of top down resistance to vaccine passports and biosecurity.

  8. Edward Sabatine
    December 21, 2020 at 11:48 am

    Generally agree with DA, but I think if any elections happen in the 2020s, they will be rigged. And this applies to “developed” countries in general, not just the USA.

  9. someDude
    December 22, 2020 at 6:09 am

    Your predictions about a trump victory went KAPUT

    The last time I mentioned that Trump was favorite to win election was on June 22, 2020. After that I said, repeatedly, that election would be too close to call.

    I even wrote multiple posts in past few months (after June 22) where I speculated about very close and contested results in swing states.

    Perhaps you should have read a bit more before making that comment.

    • AD is a cuck
      December 23, 2020 at 8:28 am

      AD is well known for bad advice…

      Just saying…

      Maybe you should read posts before making comments? I wrote multiple posts between July and November where I explicitly talked about electoral results in swing states being really close, Trump leveling accusations of fraud and if counts went against him and half the country believing his version.

      • someDude
        December 23, 2020 at 10:11 am

        Prediction is a very difficult business. That being said, it is also a test of one’s understanding. AD is right in that the mainstream credentialed “experts” studiously avoid making any clear predictions at all. Mostly it is vague. And on the rare occasions that it is clear, it turns out to be wrong, in which case the credential expert claims that it happened exactly as he had predicted it. I know it is a very low bar to set, but AD is way better and way more honest than the credentialed experts we see on TV and the media.

    • someDude
      December 24, 2020 at 8:20 am

      My Bad! What changed around June 22? Covid Handling? But you blamed the democrats for that and said the backlash would be against them.

  1. December 26, 2020 at 12:24 pm

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