Archive for February 11, 2021

Long-Term Effects of Mismanaging COVID-19 Pandemic in West : 1

February 11, 2021 25 comments

As some of you might recall, I have written multiple posts (such as link 1, link 2) on the short-term effects of western countries mismanaging the COVID-19 pandemic. It is gratifying to see that many of my predictions have come to pass and the rest look inevitable with each passing day. You might have heard that most people in large countries such as India and Brazil have largely stopped using face-masks and “social distancing” for past few months now and life in those countries has pretty much gone back to normal- at least for the majority whose sense of self doesn’t depend on need from approval by old white people. The same is true for almost every country in Africa and most of South-East and South Asia. Rest of world has seen that virus was nowhere as bad as incompetent “credentialed” old white people were pretending.

This is not to say that the virus is harmless, but something as bad as 1957 and 1968 Influenza pandemics is not something worth closing your economy over- doubly so if there is no clear exit strategy. As mentioned in the previous paragraph, still ongoing and politically-motivated school closings in many american states have already pissed off a significant percentage of their populations. You can also be very sure that the ill-will generated by these stupid stunts (along with revenue shortfalls) will have some nasty medium-term consequences for future funding of K-12 education in this country. Same is true for any future business or employment prospects for post-secondary educational institutions- especially in Anglo countries.

It goes without saying that the incompetent and “credentialed” leadershit + bureaucracy of these countries is going about their lives as if their stupid actions aren’t going to bite them in the ass later. You might have seen the sad farce of ‘Impeachment 2’ being played out in the capital of this nation, while the urgent needs of tens of millions for monetary compensation and assistance are ignored and belittled. And guess what.. Trump won’t be impeached by the necessary 2/3rd majority of Senate, once again. Then again, it has clear for over the past two decades that american political system has lost whatever touch it once had it with the lives of the majority. I am sure that all of this will end well for everyone concerned *sarcasm*.

So let us move to the longer-term effects of mismanaging the COVID-19 pandemic by most western countries, but especially USA. As you will see, there are going to be some major and somewhat unexpected consequences of all the shit that has gone down over past year.

1] Many of you might have noticed that a lot of the bad, stupid and disastrous decisions were driven by mathematical models of infection spread and mortality. While such models have historically been useless and a complete shitshow, this was the first time that many people believed in the worthless predictions of these incomplete and unrealistic models. You might remember that many prominent epidemiologists (especially from UK) claiming that Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) of COVID-19 was 3-13%, when in reality it is close to zero (less than 1 in 1,000 for age-groups younger than 70. You might also remember these same dumbfucks claiming that COVID-19 would kill tens of millions in the ‘global south’ while those regions turned out to be the most resistant to death from that infection. FYI, the population-wide IFR is closer to 0.2 or 0.3, even in aging developed countries.

Turns out that many average people have also noticed the almost total lack of connection of these models and their predictions to real-world outcomes. Now think of another popular type of models used to predict changes in reality. Yes, I am talking about “anthropogenic climate change” models. You can bet a lot of money that the utter failure of mathematical models from “prestigious institutions” peopled by “credential experts” to predict the real world course of COVID-19 pandemic will have massive effects of the willingness of people to believe in the predictions made by priests of that other secular religion aka environmentalism. This will be doubly so because implementing the suggestions made by the first set of morons has been so disastrous for the lives of majority. Expect a large increase in the number of people who will question the secular religion of ‘anthropogenic climate change’ and support for parties and leaders who don’t care about all that bullshit.

2] It goes without saying that the public-facing and administrative part of medical profession has not risen up to the occasion. From their unwillingess to even entertain the possibility that COVID-19 virus was an accidental leak from a Chinese research lab to their constant abrupt changes on issues ranging from the efficacy of face-masks to various therapeutic modalities for treating the infection and its complications- it is fair to say to say that the profession (especially its public-facing administrative side) has clearly demonstrated their deficiencies in the very topics they they claim expertise. And people have, once again, noticed this lack of competence. To make matters worse, many administrative types from this profession have facilitated the poor and disastrous decisions taken by political leaders and bureaucrats. These include pretending that all hospitals are overwhelmed with COVID-19 patients when such occurrences were rare and no more common than in a bad influenza season.

To make matters worse, they have provided legitimacy to some of the worst decisions made during this pandemic- from closing small business, restaurants etc while letting large ones remain open to supporting the ill-advised school closures in many states run by democratic party. It does not help that many have actively obstructed or ignored trials of drugs which reduce mortality and morbidity from that disease. Their mindless promotion of mRNA vaccines for mass use in populations who are not at high risk of death from COVID-19, despite a rapidly increasing incidence of serious and deadly side-effects in addition to their less that stellar efficacy is unlikely to help their public image. While the degree of trust in medical profession has been on the decline for at least two decades, it is almost guaranteed that their bungling of the response to COVID-19 is going to accelerate that trend.

But it will be worse, as they are also the public face for another class of very bad decisions. Have you wondered how many people in nursing homes and assisted living facilities died alone and lonely of causes other than COVID-19 over past year? This is important because over 50% of those who enter such facilities don’t survive for over two years. Do you see what I am saying? And then there is the issue of all those who died of suicide, drug overdoses and late diagnosis of otherwise treatable conditions. In many countries, the number of under-50s who have died of suicides and overdoses is many times the number who have died from COVID-19. And let us be realistic, 80-somethings in nursing homes and assisted living don’t have much longer left on this earth unlike those under 50. If you think that all of this is not going to have any effect on their already worsening public image.. I have a bridge to sell. And yes.. there will be consequences, especially in this bad economy and widespread despair.

In the next part, I will go into how the liberal and leftist calls for even severe restrictions and shutdowns will doom them to political irrelevance in the foreseeable future. Will also go into how the role of internet monopolies in attempting to squash any dissenters who don’t profess faith in the “official truth” will have some incredibly bad and long-term consequences for the former’s future. 2021 might prove to be interesting than 2020.

What do you think? Comments?