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Preliminary Thoughts on the Current COVID-19 Situation in India

Many readers might have recently heard something along the lines of how “the second wave of COVID-19 in India has caused the healthcare system in that country to collapse” or some other example of wishful thinking by aging western ‘liberal’ whites trying to desperately get a hardon by lapping up any news about possible mass death of non-whites in “those” countries. Of course, aging and demographically doomed white liberals lack the balls to say that it out aloud. With that in mind, let me help you understand about how things actually work in India and why western media is always especially misinformed about news from countries outside their own. What I am going to write here also applies to how western media reports on many other Asian countries, including China (even in 2021).

1] You might have noticed that almost every single source quoted by western MSM when reporting about India is either a English language media outlet or a journalist who works in those outlets. But why is this relevant? To understand what I am talking about, let us revisit a bit of history. The first generation of elites in post-independence India were almost exclusively educated in pre-independence missionary run schools, went to British universities and were uncritical worshipers of anybody who had a lighter skin color than them. In other words, they had a massive racial-inferiority complex. So how did they compensate for their shitty self-image? Well.. by constantly criticizing and belittling other Indians in the hope of gaining a few crumbs of approval from white people- typical massey sahib behavior.

The English language media in India was an extension of this pathetic belief system, with other self-hating and missionary-educated Indians being its main audience. Western news outlets were, at best, a distant second. Notably, they had no interest in engaging the vast majority of Indians- even those who are were literate in English. In the first two (or three) decades after independence, this bunch of missionary-educated self-hating media types had some real power, but by the 1980s- they had lost almost all of it. Their unwillingness to change the way the saw the world also ensured that neither Indians educated in secular English schools or those who predominately used Indian languages would see them as anything but sadly comic white ass-kissers.

But what is the relevance of this explanation to the topic of post? Well.. as it turn out, after 1991 these news outlets and journalists found a much-reduced second life as publishers of western propaganda and interfering in local politics by coordinating with western NGOs. Of course, they had no real influence on the vast majority (over 97%) of Indians- including those in power, but it didn’t matter as they were increasingly financed from.. external sources. In the context of COVID-19 pandemic, these “news” outlets have done nothing but belittling and berating Indians while exaggerating the toll of illness in that country. This might not be obvious to most of you, since you cannot compare how news about the same incident is presented in Indian English-Language Media (ELM) vs outlets in local languages. But I can!

2] Consequently a lot of what is presented by Indian ELM about news stories in that country is exaggerated and (increasingly) bullshit or outright lies. Did you know, for example, that they were also pushing the idea that casualties were 10-100x higher than official numbers during first wave? Turns out, they were not- but these “news” outlets never apologized for their persistent “mistakes”. So how high were the ‘real’ causalities compared to official numbers during first COVID-19 wave in India. The best guesses, made from talking to a lot of people + going through local language media, suggest a number about 1.5x (50%) higher than the official estimates. But more importantly, the first wave left about 20% of India (over 50% in major cities) immune to that virus. And yes.. those figures are based on multiple serological studies performed at the beginning of this year.

About 150-200k people died in exchange for 250-300 million infections. The mathematically inclined among you might have noticed that this translates into a death rate of a bit less than 1 in 1,000. Which brings us to the ongoing second wave. While the first wave affected mostly poor people living in slums, chawls and crowded apartments in big and medium sized cities, this one is affecting the more well-off in cities as well as smaller towns and everyone in rest of country. So how will it play out? Well.. we know that poor people in India (even the elderly) have an unusually low risk of developing serious complications or dying from COVID-19. I expect that trend to continue. The urban middle-class and upper-middle class are a different story. Too many in this demographic have obesity and diabetes from eating high-carb food (among other reasons).

I therefore expect more excess mortality among this group (per capita) compared to, say, poor people who perform physical labor for a living. However this group accounts for a small percentage of the population on that country. Moreover, we already know that the second wave, though more intense than the first one, seems to be a significantly shorter duration. FYI- this conclusion is based on how the second wave is playing out in the most affected state aka Maharashtra- where its has already peaked. If you still want predictions about final death numbers, I am guessing that it will be about 500-600k (same as USA but in a country with over 4 times more people). I also predict that this will occur before even 50% of population is vaccinated. It is an unfortunate loss of life, but totally acceptable for vast majority of people in that country. Very few are going to miss that 1 in 2,000 or even 1 in 1,000 person (urban areas) who passed away due to COVID-19- especially if he or she was old.

3] Now let us talk about all that hyperbole about the “medical system in India collapsing due to COVID-19”. First of all, India does not have a medical system as people in west (including USA) understand that concept. There is basically zero centralized coordination of patient history, standards of treatment or even payment. The medical system in that country is really hundreds of thousands of small clinics, large clinics and hospitals of varying sizes and resources offering medical care according to the ability of patients to pay for them. Of course, you can still get excellent medical care if you have even a half-decent amount of money. But back to all that bullshit talk about the “system collapsing”.. see, there isn’t a system to collapse, just smaller and bigger nodes which will be temporarily overwhelmed.

To be clear, I am not saying that certain hospitals in some Indian cities are not overwhelmed at this moment- but you know what, they will get back to normal- either when enough sick patients die or they find new resources to take care of patients- likely both. This might sound heartless- but let us be real about something.. most governments in that country (federal and state level) have never displayed any real interest in properly funding essential public utilities such as clean drinking water, proper sewage treatment, electricity production and distribution, decent schools or enough hospitals and clinics. So don’t blame me for pointing out the logical consequences of consistently bad decisions made by elected governments over many decades in that country. It is what it is..

Now let us talk about availability of Oxygen. As it turns out, India makes a lot of liquid and compressed oxygen for industrial purposes. While the big plants for extracting it from air are concentrated in certain parts of country, moving the product to other parts by rail or road is trivial. Also, hospitals usually consume only about 1-2% of total industrial oxygen production in India. In other words, the current shortage of oxygen in some cities has everything to do with bad logistics, price gouging and poor decision-making by purchase departments in hospitals. I expect this problem to sort itself out in next 2-3 weeks. But there is one more thing I want to talk about..

While all of this is going on, the vast majority of people in that country (over 95%) don’t really care about COVID-19- because they know it is fairly harmless for them. They have much more pressing issues in their lives than a disease than almost exclusively kills a few old or fat people. They have survived far worse and have a very different view on relative risks than some aging baby boomer in an affluent west coast suburb.

What do you think? Comments?

  1. someDude
    May 1, 2021 at 11:00 pm

    Hahahahahahaha, You showed them whats what, Adivishwas Deb-Baruah. You left them standing mouth agape.

    The part about India not having a system to collapse was priceless.

    As for the convent edumacated pathetic ass kissers, are you referring to a Mr. Raj-Dip-shit Sardesai

  2. Pee Spray
    May 2, 2021 at 1:56 pm

    I finally found a white woman, she only charges $900 an hour…

    https://www.cassiescatstore.com/en/store/all/new/g/feline-angel/p/1/

  3. doldrom
    May 2, 2021 at 2:59 pm

    When you live somewhere near a news event, it is generally disconcerting to see how slanted or just incorrect international reporting is of local events. Often the whole story is pressed into the service of something ideological, even when that is tangential or completely irrelevant.
    In terms of India and Covid, no effort will be spared to portray anything Covid in the starkest most exaggerated forms. Where I live they have been talking about how the medical system is being pressed to its limits, the nurses and doctors are on the verge of burn-outs, if things do not improve they will have to triage (code ‘Black’) who will be helped and who will die. And I live in a country that finishes at or near the top in all kinds of surveys about happiness, health, wealth, education, business conditions, etc.

  4. RYU
    May 2, 2021 at 11:10 pm

    alright, our secret aryan messaging system is showing up non the public comments. I need one of you dined muffin I.T. guys to fix this ASAP:

    https://eradica.wordpress.com/2021/04/03/gun-sales-and-the-second-amendment-are-irrelevant/#comment-76890

  5. HIGH STATUS MALE
    May 4, 2021 at 5:44 am

    • Plaque Doctor
      May 9, 2021 at 7:54 pm

      oh, lala, glad you posted that hunk of steroids and “free range” testosterone. Let’s simps like AD have the white women and their kales and crappy attitudes. Nationalist men know where it’s at…

      • Ape Mind
        May 10, 2021 at 12:28 am

      • Plaque Doctor
        May 10, 2021 at 8:44 am

        (r)Ape Mind,

        You are a great value to the aryan race! I love how sciencey your misinformation charts look! But what you didn’t really show is that us huwites are most productive because we choose the homo sex and don’t make those filthy babies! If you can’t switch your mind to be filled with lust for Milo’s herpes whole, you ain’t white!

        See ya at the bathhouse!

  6. Jay
    May 7, 2021 at 9:20 pm

    Quite possibly the worst written piece I’ve ever seen on this blog. Because your “COVID is only a West problem” narrative failed once news broke out of how India’s situation has worsened than any Western country’s, you have concocted a lot of this “White caste BS” nonsense to find some excuse.

    No one was reading Western media to get their news. Indians from India were tweeting the stories live of what was happening. It doesn’t get any truthful than that. Let me guess, you’re going to accuse them of being White washed.

    • Dr. Evil
      May 7, 2021 at 10:15 pm

      It’s only worsened for low IQ people who cannot do basic arithmetic:

      https://charltonteaching.blogspot.com/2021/05/two-hundred-thousand-people-dr-evil.html

      • doldrom
        May 8, 2021 at 4:23 am

        Amen

      • doldrom
        May 8, 2021 at 4:26 am

        People are even dying in their cars and ambulances!
        Say people who do not realize which people travel in cars and where. Only fattened people are at high risk, not those who had to walk back to their village. They are at much more risk from a lockdown than from a passing Corona virus.

    • Analaingus Diapercrapacoli
      May 10, 2021 at 11:08 am

      AD has his little WFH make work job. He is safely sitting out COVID and depressed that his precious escorts are charging him higher rates rather than the low rates he expected. He is also but ass hurt they make him keep his mask on. That’s why he spouts “populist” right wing views. Even though those right wingers would tell him to “go back to your own country.”

      He claims to hate Richard Spencer and the alt right yet he and Pee Spray let members of said group slander other commenters. Is he a “mossy saheeb?” or is he merely “arguing” in bad faith?

      Nonetheless, it is quite enjoyable reading these comments and this blog lest one forget what sewage the human race is. Ironically, AD and his commenters have so little self awareness that they perceive themselves better than “the average person.” hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahhahhahaha

    • bonzo
      May 12, 2021 at 12:55 am

      The only numbers that matter are excess deaths, because actual deaths are hard to miscount, whereas cause of death is easy to miscount.

      As for panic, Indians have never been famous for cool-headedness, skeptical mindedness, preference for rational statistics versus emotional rhetoric, etc. A few exceptions, but not the culture as a whole.

      • Indian Supremacist
        May 12, 2021 at 3:12 am

  7. Indian Supremacist
    May 21, 2021 at 3:17 am

    The Spam filter sucks!!!!

  1. May 28, 2021 at 12:00 pm

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