Archive for November 13, 2021

The Diminishing Contact of Western Liberals with Physical Reality: 5

November 13, 2021 7 comments

In the previous part of this series, I wrote about how the detachment of liberals from physical reality manifests itself in ways that are often hard to believe for a rational person. We recently saw how democratic party reacted to it losing a state governorship and barely retaining other after an almost 15% vote swing in both states from 2020. Rather than trying to understand what factors were behind such a huge and rapid swing in VA and NJ (in addition to more local elections in other states) they immediately blamed it on “white supremacy” and “racist dog-whistles” by republicans. Which is comic, if you think about it.. as more than a few of those who voted republican in 2021 had voted for democrats in 2020.

Then again, reason has never been a strong point of liberals- especially in past two decades. In the previous post I also made the point that the lack of connection with physical reality in combination with the need to constantly display certain “fashionable” behaviors and opinions is a bad combination. One of the places where you see this in an especially comic way, is the way liberals talk about “climate change”. As some of you also know, I find that whole business of “manmade climate change” especially laughable since even a passing knowledge of geology and paleontology will show you that the climate has changed a lot over even the past 20,000 years- without any measurable human intervention. Did you, for example, know that the sea level was about 300-350 feet lower during the peak of last ice age?

Yes.. areas such as the entire Persian gulf, most of the shallow seas between large islands in Indonesia and Malaysia, a decent part of the North Sea between Europe and UK were above water during most of the last ice age? Also Florida and parts of Western and Southern India stretched much further into the water than they do at present. And these changes have kept occurring over multiple glacial cycles for at least the past 2-3 million years. So, why am I mentioning all of this? Well.. let us say that all the remaining ice on earth (almost all of it in Antarctica) melted over next few thousand years.. yes, it will take that long. Even then the global sea levels would rise by only a further 60-80 meters. I think we could easily relocate all major coastal cities over such a long period of time.

But why focus on such esoteric events when we find smaller but very noticeable shifts in the past 2-3 thousand years. Did you know that during the heyday of Roman Empire, the global climate was warmer than today? And we can say that because Romans could easily grow grape vines in Southern England during that era. In fact the fall of Roman Empire and many others around 4-5th century AD coincided with an episode of prolonged global cooling made worse by a couple of especially nasty volcanic eruptions which caused a few years of extreme cold and widespread crop failures. And then the climate again became warmer between 9th to the 13th century, became colder from 14th to 18th century and then became warmer since the 19th century. My point is that there is clear evidence of global climate cycles of varying durations in a period as small as the past 2-3 thousand years.

So.. what does any of this have to do with the disconnect of western liberals from reality? For starters, any person with even undergrad level knowledge of geology and paleontology will tell you that the earth has seen both incredibly large changes in climate and many types of long- and short- term cycles over the past 500-600 million years, to say nothing of the other four billion. It is therefore laughable to even suggest that human influence on long and short term trends of global climate are larger than a person taking a piss in an Olympic size swimming pool. And yet you will find no shortage of liberals clamoring about the dangers of “manmade climate change”. Furthermore, anybody who refuses to believe in this bullshit is “denier” (aka heretic) which is an odd choice of words for a group which claims to “follow the science”. Then again, all religions, ideologies and cults behave in the same manner regardless of which “good book” they follow or “god” they claim to worship.

Now let us talk about how this bullshit ideology manifests itself among western liberals. Have you noticed that tons of liberals with no background in the hard sciences or engineering (software engineering is not engineering) mindlessly repeat claims about how easy or trivial it would be to “decarbonize” the economy? These same idiots tell us that it is trivial to power everything by solar panels and windmills when any electrical engineer who is not totally nuts will tell you that running a electrical grid based on unstable sources of energy is incredibly stupid and dangerous. The idiots who confidently repeat talking points about windmills and solar panels lack even the most understanding of concepts such as the effect of maximum/ minimum output ratios on the viability of an energy source to produce electricity.

The very short version is that minimum output of windmills can be as low as 4% of their peak output over areas as large as a medium-sized European country. For solar panels, it changes by over 95% from sunrise to midday and then sunset, and battery farms which store billions of electricity units are both expensive to build and maintain as well as being fire hazards. Even a crash program to build hundreds new of nuclear power plants would take 2-3 decades to reach levels of electricity production to replace a good fraction of fuels used in automobiles. My point is that regardless of what you believe, “decarbonizing” the economy is not possible in western countries. To make matters more interesting, the rest of the world (specifically large and populous countries such as China, Indian, Indonesia, Malaysia, Japan, South Korea, Vietnam and Philippines have no interest or willingness in going down that route. Neither do Russia, most East-European countries or the Middle-East. The same is true for South and Central American countries and rest of world.

In other words, only the dying and withering countries of Western Europe and a few other inconsequential ones such as parts of Canada and New Zealand have any interest in cutting their own throats. Did I mention that, unlike in past decades, non-white countries no longer look up to these decrepit and increasingly irrelevant countries. In the next part I will go further into how the liberal belief in “manmade climate change” provides more evidence of their almost total disconnect from physical reality.

What do you think? Comments?