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Public Health “Experts” Have Fucked up Official COVID-19 Messaging

February 23, 2021 10 comments

As many of you have realized by now, the official messaging about (and recommendations by) COVID-19 by most public health “experts” has been incredibly bad- and it would still be a big understatement. While some of you might think that their disastrously bad messaging and policies will only cause short-term damage to public trust in medicine, I think otherwise. As you will see in rest of this post, many of the incredibly stupid recommendations and policies which are vociferously promoted by most public health “experts” are going to have some truly awful long-term consequences. Here is just a preliminary list..

1] I am sure that in the past few weeks, most of you have read many articles quoting public health “experts”, including leaky faucet, repeating the same bullshit- namely, that widespread vaccination won’t change their policy recommendations about ineffectual face-mask wearing, useless “social distancing” or other stuff such as reopening schools or public gatherings and events such as indoor restaurants, drinking establishments, music concerts, sporting events etc. And this raises an important question- what is the motivation for most people under 50 to get vaccinated (especially with untested mRNA-based vaccines) if nothing is going to change in the foreseeable future. It is is now common knowledge that COVID-19 infection in people under 50 has an extremely low mortality rate (about 1 in a few thousand).

To make matters worse, this position makes people wonder if other vaccines are effective. By claiming that COVID-19 vaccines are not effective enough to let western societies go back to the way they were before March 2020, these dumbfucks are providing an amazing amount of free ammunition for anti-vaxxers. Think about it.. if the vaccines that are claimed to be 95% effective (which they are not) cannot stop the spread of an infection to the satisfaction of these morons, what is the point of taking any other vaccine? I predict that we will see a huge increase in public skepticism towards vaccination, in general, in aftermath of this pandemic. It does not help that many diseases controlled by widespread childhood vaccination such as measles, chickenpox, rubella, mumps etc are quite rare nowadays and not dangerous to well-nourished children who are under 12 and living in developed countries.

2] Now let us talk about the side-effect profile of vaccines- specifically those based on mRNA (Pfizer/BioNTech and Moderna). As I have written in previous posts, the 2nd dose of both vaccines causes moderately severe side-effects resembling influenza which last 2-3 days in about 20-30% of those who take it. While this side-effect profile is acceptable in those above 70, it is not clear how most people under 50 (who are not brainwashed or addicted to virtue display) will accept vaccines if it causes a more severe illness in a higher percentage of them than the infection itself. And it keeps on getting interesting..

Not content to pretend that vaccines won’t change their ineffectual and moronic policies, the idiots have also spend a lot of time pretending that COVID-19 vaccines (specifically mRNA based) are free of serious side-effects. However even a cursory look at data from the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS) of USA and Europe says otherwise. While the rates of vaccine-related death in older people is probably somewhere between 1 in few thousand, it is real and about 100x the rate for other common vaccines such as those for Influenza. They also demonstrate a noticeable tendency to cause otherwise rare side-effects such as idiopathic thrombocytopenia and 3rd trimester miscarriage in otherwise healthy pregnant women. Reports of moderate side effects such as disturbed menstruation patterns, pronged swollen axillary lymph nodes, transient peripheral neuropathy etc are far more common.

3] All this talk about vaccines brings us the issues of “mutants” or “new strains” of COVID-19 whose detection is breathlessly reported every day by the MSM. The morons aka public health “experts” want you to believe that these are unprecedented and will somehow render existing vaccines useless. Of course, as before these idiots betray their lack of understanding of viruses and the human immune system. So let me restate the obvious- the genetic material in all viruses, and living creatures in general, constantly mutates. While this process is slower in significantly faster in RNA-based viruses such as Coronaviruses than organisms which use DNA to store their genetic information (like human beings), it occurs nonetheless.

But here is the funny thing.. Coronaviruses have among the smallest rate of mutations for any major family of RNA viruses. Nor as they have segmented genomes capable of large-scale recombination like Influenza viruses. But what does any of this mean? Well.. for starters, the immune system of all vertebrates has evolved a number of tricks to deal with very similar viruses. These range from producing a mixture of antibodies to a single viral antigen which bind at overlapping sites to immune cell activation directed at multiple overlapping sequences (epitopes) from that antigen. Did I mention that all viruses contain more than one type of antigen.This is why it is possible to develop efficacious vaccines against RNA viruses such as those which cause Polio, Yellow Fever, Measles and many others even though they are more prone to mutations than COVID-19. But you won’t hear this from public health “experts”.

4] We should also talk about how the COVID-19 response has polarized people by politics and ideology. It is no secret that what people believe about the validity of official response to this pandemic is highly dependent on their political leanings and ideology. Currently promoted public health measures seem to have no effect on cumulative rates of hospitalization and death due to COVID-19. If you don’t believe me, just compare Florida with California or Sweden and UK. To make matters more interesting, countries in East, South-East, South Asia and Africa have far lower (20-100 times) rates of hospitalization and death than what one might predict based on their population characteristics. And yes.. this effect is very obvious even after aggressively adjusting for age structure of their populations.

So what is going on? If you asked me.. I would say that those populations very likely have partial cross-immunity (mostly cell-based) from previous infections by other Coronaviruses. And let us clear about something, in countries such as India more than 50% of the urban population now exhibit serological evidence of previous infection by COVID-19 compared to rates of a few percent about 5-6 months ago. The point I am trying to make is all of the much vaunted and promoted public health measures have no worthwhile effect on the spread of COVID-19. But try telling any of this to the credentialed losers and “expert”-worshipers. You know.. the same types of people who have made a secular cult out of mindlessly repeating the rancid farts emanating from the mouths of all these ineffectual “experts”.

It is this cult of worshiping morons that is being everything from their resistance to reopening schools and universities, restaurants and bars etc. These are also the same idiots who pretend that international travel is dangerous in spite of western countries being the most heavily infected in world. We are already seeing a significant minority of this group defecting to the pro-open/normalization side because they are now being personally inconvenienced. Expect a severe electoral backlash against those seen as supporting ineffectual but highly damaging lockdowns and expert-worshipers (aka Democrats) in 2022 and likely 2024.

What do you think? Comments?

Delaying Functional Adulthood is Biggest Societal Mistake of Our Era

February 18, 2021 25 comments

Almost a decade ago, I read an article which bemoaned that the average age for getting your first research grant as a principal investigator in american universities was now 42 and rising. A couple years later, I read another article about how female academics delaying childbearing till their late-30s to early-40s resulted in a lot of heartbreak due to the inevitable miscarriages and fertility problems. Some of you might have also read how Gen Xers, Millennials etc have a small fraction of the wealth their parent’s generation had accumulated at the same age. All of this got me thinking whether deliberately obstructing functional adulthood, now the default in every western country in past couple of decades, was the biggest societal mistake of this era with massive downstream negative consequences.

I am sure many of you, especially those from coastal areas, have heard tons of stories about guys in their 40s with decent jobs but unable to afford their own apartment or houses. And it is not just men, since the low rate of women in long-term relationships in such areas results in many of them living with roommates or their relatives. Now I am certainly not suggesting that being part of a nuclear family in a suburban house surrounded by a white picket fence should be the default. Indeed, many countries and cultures (outside the west) have significantly more communitarian living arrangements. But there is a major difference between people living in multi-generational households in Spain, Italy, India, China etc. In those countries, society is structured around such living arrangements.

In contrast to that, societies in west European countries and north America are built around the assumption that almost everybody will live in some sort of nuclear family. These societies are structured around the assumption that people will pair up, marry or cohabitate, pop out 2-3 kids and so on in a certain sequence and at a specific pace. This set of assumptions affects everything from the design and growth of suburbs, projection of automobile sales, tax receipts for schools and infrastructure, funding assumptions for universities and other post-secondary institutions etc. To put it another way, the continuity of a large part of money flow in western societies is dependent on most people living the status quo lifestyle.

But the adverse effects of societies creating circumstances that delay functional adulthood go far beyond than disrupting established patterns of money flow. For starters, these societies are built around the myth that a certain type of lifestyle (individualistic, nuclear family etc) is the only way to be perceived as successful by your peers. Contrast this to places such Spain, Italy, Mexico, India, China etc where there are many almost equally acceptable pathways to be seen as successful and “normal”. While the preferred lifestyle in western countries was realistically achievable for a majority as late as the 1990s, it hasn’t been so for about two decades- especially if you live in larger metros- coastal or not.

An ever bigger problem stemming from this profound mismatch between reality and theory is that the inability of most people to achieve a supposedly “normal” lifestyle causes them to lose faith in those societies and their institutions. That is why, for example, people above 30 who have never married or been in long-term relationships seldom do so later. It is also why a majority of people have zero trust in anything coming out the mouth of “experts” or other “credentialed” people. Such people are also not connected to the society they live in and have little to zero interest in its continuation past their own death. In other words, you end up with many highly alienated people who could care less if the system burned down in front of them.

A further consequence of societies intentionally delaying functional adulthood is that little to no progress occurs because most people are too busy chasing scarce financial opportunities or fickle social status. Therefore very few, if any, devote their livers or careers to doing anything aimed at improving the dying status quo. There is a reason why scientific advances went down over past 40 years but especially in past two decades. There is a reason why soya boys without any real abilities beyond pretending to understand, being culturally relevant etc seem to be the most common type you see in younger age groups. In summary, societies putting obstacles in the path of people becoming functional adults are doomed to slow collapse and growing irrelevance. This isn’t going to end well- is it?

What do you think? Comments?

Long-Term Effects of Mismanaging COVID-19 Pandemic in West : 1

February 11, 2021 25 comments

As some of you might recall, I have written multiple posts (such as link 1, link 2) on the short-term effects of western countries mismanaging the COVID-19 pandemic. It is gratifying to see that many of my predictions have come to pass and the rest look inevitable with each passing day. You might have heard that most people in large countries such as India and Brazil have largely stopped using face-masks and “social distancing” for past few months now and life in those countries has pretty much gone back to normal- at least for the majority whose sense of self doesn’t depend on need from approval by old white people. The same is true for almost every country in Africa and most of South-East and South Asia. Rest of world has seen that virus was nowhere as bad as incompetent “credentialed” old white people were pretending.

This is not to say that the virus is harmless, but something as bad as 1957 and 1968 Influenza pandemics is not something worth closing your economy over- doubly so if there is no clear exit strategy. As mentioned in the previous paragraph, still ongoing and politically-motivated school closings in many american states have already pissed off a significant percentage of their populations. You can also be very sure that the ill-will generated by these stupid stunts (along with revenue shortfalls) will have some nasty medium-term consequences for future funding of K-12 education in this country. Same is true for any future business or employment prospects for post-secondary educational institutions- especially in Anglo countries.

It goes without saying that the incompetent and “credentialed” leadershit + bureaucracy of these countries is going about their lives as if their stupid actions aren’t going to bite them in the ass later. You might have seen the sad farce of ‘Impeachment 2’ being played out in the capital of this nation, while the urgent needs of tens of millions for monetary compensation and assistance are ignored and belittled. And guess what.. Trump won’t be impeached by the necessary 2/3rd majority of Senate, once again. Then again, it has clear for over the past two decades that american political system has lost whatever touch it once had it with the lives of the majority. I am sure that all of this will end well for everyone concerned *sarcasm*.

So let us move to the longer-term effects of mismanaging the COVID-19 pandemic by most western countries, but especially USA. As you will see, there are going to be some major and somewhat unexpected consequences of all the shit that has gone down over past year.

1] Many of you might have noticed that a lot of the bad, stupid and disastrous decisions were driven by mathematical models of infection spread and mortality. While such models have historically been useless and a complete shitshow, this was the first time that many people believed in the worthless predictions of these incomplete and unrealistic models. You might remember that many prominent epidemiologists (especially from UK) claiming that Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) of COVID-19 was 3-13%, when in reality it is close to zero (less than 1 in 1,000 for age-groups younger than 70. You might also remember these same dumbfucks claiming that COVID-19 would kill tens of millions in the ‘global south’ while those regions turned out to be the most resistant to death from that infection. FYI, the population-wide IFR is closer to 0.2 or 0.3, even in aging developed countries.

Turns out that many average people have also noticed the almost total lack of connection of these models and their predictions to real-world outcomes. Now think of another popular type of models used to predict changes in reality. Yes, I am talking about “anthropogenic climate change” models. You can bet a lot of money that the utter failure of mathematical models from “prestigious institutions” peopled by “credential experts” to predict the real world course of COVID-19 pandemic will have massive effects of the willingness of people to believe in the predictions made by priests of that other secular religion aka environmentalism. This will be doubly so because implementing the suggestions made by the first set of morons has been so disastrous for the lives of majority. Expect a large increase in the number of people who will question the secular religion of ‘anthropogenic climate change’ and support for parties and leaders who don’t care about all that bullshit.

2] It goes without saying that the public-facing and administrative part of medical profession has not risen up to the occasion. From their unwillingess to even entertain the possibility that COVID-19 virus was an accidental leak from a Chinese research lab to their constant abrupt changes on issues ranging from the efficacy of face-masks to various therapeutic modalities for treating the infection and its complications- it is fair to say to say that the profession (especially its public-facing administrative side) has clearly demonstrated their deficiencies in the very topics they they claim expertise. And people have, once again, noticed this lack of competence. To make matters worse, many administrative types from this profession have facilitated the poor and disastrous decisions taken by political leaders and bureaucrats. These include pretending that all hospitals are overwhelmed with COVID-19 patients when such occurrences were rare and no more common than in a bad influenza season.

To make matters worse, they have provided legitimacy to some of the worst decisions made during this pandemic- from closing small business, restaurants etc while letting large ones remain open to supporting the ill-advised school closures in many states run by democratic party. It does not help that many have actively obstructed or ignored trials of drugs which reduce mortality and morbidity from that disease. Their mindless promotion of mRNA vaccines for mass use in populations who are not at high risk of death from COVID-19, despite a rapidly increasing incidence of serious and deadly side-effects in addition to their less that stellar efficacy is unlikely to help their public image. While the degree of trust in medical profession has been on the decline for at least two decades, it is almost guaranteed that their bungling of the response to COVID-19 is going to accelerate that trend.

But it will be worse, as they are also the public face for another class of very bad decisions. Have you wondered how many people in nursing homes and assisted living facilities died alone and lonely of causes other than COVID-19 over past year? This is important because over 50% of those who enter such facilities don’t survive for over two years. Do you see what I am saying? And then there is the issue of all those who died of suicide, drug overdoses and late diagnosis of otherwise treatable conditions. In many countries, the number of under-50s who have died of suicides and overdoses is many times the number who have died from COVID-19. And let us be realistic, 80-somethings in nursing homes and assisted living don’t have much longer left on this earth unlike those under 50. If you think that all of this is not going to have any effect on their already worsening public image.. I have a bridge to sell. And yes.. there will be consequences, especially in this bad economy and widespread despair.

In the next part, I will go into how the liberal and leftist calls for even severe restrictions and shutdowns will doom them to political irrelevance in the foreseeable future. Will also go into how the role of internet monopolies in attempting to squash any dissenters who don’t profess faith in the “official truth” will have some incredibly bad and long-term consequences for the former’s future. 2021 might prove to be interesting than 2020.

What do you think? Comments?

LIEbrals Lack Mental Capability to Interpret or Understand Science: 1

February 3, 2021 32 comments

In previous posts (link 1, link 2, link 3), I wrote about how the seriously botched response to COVID-19 pandemic had exposed the profound intellectual bankruptcy exhibited by liberals. While working on another post on that topic, I realized that this dysfunctional response was similar to others displayed by them in response to a variety of other topics and issues, from belief in anthropogenic climate change to mindless cheerleading of SpaceX and Tesla. After a bit more reflection, it became obvious that one common thread ran through all these topics, namely an almost complete inability to understand science, specifically in the manner which somebody involved in hard science as a life-long vocation would.

But don’t liberals constantly profess to “believing in science”? Well.. that is just the first part of this problem! Anyone who actually does science as a vocation will tell you that it is not a system of uncritical belief in a series of “facts” or “experts”. Science is about observation and measurement of stuff and phenomena to derive hypotheses and theories which make further predictions that are validated or disproved by more observations or measurements. This is why scientific theories, unlike religious beliefs, will change a lot over time. Sometimes newer theories, such as quantum mechanics and general relativity, providing a better explanation for physical phenomena than classical physics. On other occasions, dominant scientific theories of past end up as historical footnotes after a better theory comes along. A good example of the later is how most older theories of geological change were discarded once the evidence for plate tectonics became overwhelming after the early 1960s.

Therefore, anybody who claims to “believe in science”, “science is settled”, “experts agree..” is talking about their faith, not science. To make matters more interesting, science is a very human enterprise littered with many examples of outright scams and half-truths peddled for reasons ranging from personal ego to monetary considerations. For example, prior to end of WW2 eugenics was a fashionable idea within the scientific establishment of western countries. Similarly, beliefs about the connection between “intelligence” and race were once considered to be settled scientific “consensus”. I could go on about many more such long-lived frauds as the manufactured connection between risk of atherosclerotic heart disease and dietary fat intake or the poor real-life efficacy of anti-depressant drugs for treating most common forms of depression etc. Let’s just say that the full list of such frauds is uncomfortably long.

My point is that uncritical belief by liberals in “science” and its “experts” is no different from that displayed by conservatives in “religion” and its “priests”. But the full implications of the statement might not be readily obvious to most of you. So let me explain.. Organized religion has, throughout human history, been used to justify everything from wars, slavery, genocide, widespread poverty and all sorts of unnecessary suffering on a massive scale. I would go far as to say that organized religion (of any type) has no redeeming feature sufficient to even vaguely balance a single major category of problems caused by it. And I am not just talking about traditional religions, because even allegedly secular ideologies such as capitalism, fascism, environmentalism, neoliberalism etc are religions in all but name. And yes.. I have theories about why most people are still attracted to shitty traditional and secular religions.

Anyway, coming back to the topic at hand- let me list a few easy to observe examples of how liberals lack the mental capacity to interpret and understand science. As you will see this results in them believing in another secular religion aka ‘scientism’.

1] One of the reasons I even considered writing this post was how western liberals have been beclowning themselves during the past year over the COVID-19 pandemic. While nobody is claiming that the pandemic is not real, its real life impact hasn’t been any worse than the 1957 and 1968 influenza pandemics- once you adjust for population and demographic profiles. And guess what.. the world didn’t shut down during those two pandemics. Furthermore, coronaviruses cause about 10-20% of upper respiratory infections in human beings- so they aren’t an unknown quantity like retroviruses such as HIV were in the 1980s. Thus far, there is nothing to suggest that the residual effects of COVID-19 infections are any worse than people recovering a moderate case of another common upper-respiratory infection.

But don’t tell that to the morons.. I mean liberals.. who are constantly getting their panties in a twist over the latest exaggerations about that virus- ranging from “new viral mutations” to “long COVID” and many other bullshit claims which fall apart once you start looking at the data and evidence behind these reports. The thing is, viruses like all other living organisms constantly mutate and some mutations get selected by evolution. The far more important question is whether these new mutations can cause a large increase in severity of disease. If they don’t- the rest is irrelevant. Also, coronaviruses mutate far more slowly than almost any other type of RNA viruses. But won’t these “mutations” affect the efficacy of vaccinations? Well.. unless your vaccine uses a very small part of the spike protein as the antigen, specific and non-specific cell-based immunity generated by the vaccine is more than capable of dealing with such small mutations.

In fact, vaccines against a number of other RNA viruses from polio, measles, rubella work just fine in spite of their causative agents having higher rates of mutations than coronaviruses. Of course, the moronic behavior by liberals does not stop there.. You might have heard about their insistence that people wear cloth or surgical facemasks to prevent COVID-19 infection. In the past few days, some of these idiots are even calling for people to wear two such masks. Now tell me something.. what proof do we have that such non-specialized facemasks work? We have known for over two decades that such facemasks cannot stop people from catching viral respiratory infections caused by viruses with the same general dimensions as COVID-19 virions. And it gets worse..

These idiots also have no interest in using repurposed drugs shown to be effective in other countries such Hydroxychloroquine + Bromohexine/ Ambroxol, Indomethacin, Ivermectin, Fluvoxamine etc. Note that all of these drugs have been shown decent efficacy in preventing hospitalizations and death in vulnerable individuals when used at normal therapeutic doses. These same losers are unwilling to face the fact that other repurposed drugs such as low-dose Colchicine reduce rates of death in hospitalized patients despite considerable evidence for such an effect. So what drives these dumbfucks to ignore multiple clinical trials showing varying but definitive levels of therapeutic activity for repurposed drugs against COVID-19.

Well.. in some cases it is simple racial prejudice because those clinical trials were conducted in non-west European countries. But in most cases, liberals don’t want to believe because the “priests” of their religion (talking heads on TV, mainstream presstitutes) have told them to not believe anything which is not “approved” by them. In case you haven’t figured it by now, this is the type of behavior seen in ardent followers of cults and religions.

Since this post is now over 1,200 words, I will stop now. In the next part of this short series, I will go into how liberal belief in “scientism” is the main reason they fall for other scams such as man-made climate change, viability of “green energy”, electric cars and the pathetic worship of Elon Musk who pushes scams such as interplanetary travel with chemical rockets and niche technologies such as StarLink satellites. And ya.. my views on the limited viability of extra-heavy lift rockets (over 50 tons launch capacity to low earth orbit) has not changed.

What do you think? Comments?

Initial Thoughts on Real Significance of GameStop Short-Sell Squeeze

January 28, 2021 19 comments

In the past few days the intertubes have been full of news and opinion about the GameStop short-sell squeeze. The very short version is that a lot of normal people who spend too much time on the internet have decided to buy shares of that corporation to raise its price thereby squeezing a couple of large hedge funds who were shorting that particular stock. While this series of events would, as late as 2014, might not have had any long-term significance- we live in 2021. As I have mentioned in more than one of my previous posts, the context and background of events matters far more than the event itself.

Consider the fact that there were many attempts at political assassinations of royals in late 19th century Europe, with more than a few being successful. However only one, in the early 20th century, set off WW1. The key to understanding why all those other royal assassinations did not start a world war while that one did is to appreciate that the later occurred against the background of a peculiar set and mixture of social, economic, political, ideological, geopolitical and technological conditions which did not exist for all those other ones. Or think about how all of numerous revolts within east-European countries in the late- 1940s, 50s and 60s were easily put down by USSR but they were unable to do so in the late-1980s.

My point is that the background against which seemingly a insignificant event plays out make all the difference if it turns out to be a proverbial flash in the pan or presages something much larger. AS many of you know, I have long held the opinion that GFC of 2008 was the official beginning of the end for West. To quickly recap, that event destroyed the faith of people in meritocracy and competence of western ‘elites’ as well as making it impossible for them to return back to their pre-2008 view of how the world worked. The immediate aftermath of that event also marked the point when China’s economy (in real terms) finally surpassed USA.

It is no exaggeration to say that many events which have occurred all over the world since then, including Brexit vote of 2015 and Trump’s election in 2016, would not have occurred without the background of GFC and its persistent second and third order effects. But what does any of this have to do with people on social media banding together to short-squeeze hedge funds trying to make money by shorting shares of GameStop? For starters, consider the background against which this event is occurring and the reaction by ‘elites’ thus far. As most of you know, the background for this event is even darker than the GFC of 2008.

Over the past ten, or so, months a ever-expanding series of very inappropriate reactions by western governments and ‘elites’ to the COVID-19 pandemic have caused unprecedented levels of job and livelihood loss in addition to massive social disruption without any worthwhile effect on the spread of that disease. I would go so far as to say that overreaction and mal-reaction to this pandemic has caused many times the damage caused by it. An increasing percentage of the population of many Western countries has lost all residual trust in the governments that which rule those countries and, far more importantly, the institutions which support them. In this country, there is the additional issue of the 2020 presidential election.

It is no secret than only a minority of republican voters believe the “official” results of 2020 election- and for good reason. Not only did the MSM manufacture an endless parade of fake scandals to damage Trump from the moment he was elected in 2016 but it is now clear that the deep state and large corporations went out of their way to sabotage Trump- even when he tried to do stuff that was actually good. The way internet monopolies conspired with each other to de-platform Trump after January 6 have not helped either and let us not forget that he received almost 75 million votes in 2020. Between that and the government’s extremely ineffectual and disjointed response to the pandemic, it is no surprise that any residual legitimacy of institutions has taken a even larger hit in USA than other western countries.

And let us not even go into how the obvious lies and bullshit peddled by ‘liberal’ institutions from the FDA, CDC, MSM to teacher unions and democrat-led local governments in many states have screwed up things much more than Trump. Long story short, there is a massive and rapidly growing trust deficit among the majority of people in this country towards pretty much every single major institution and all of this is occurring against the background of depression-like economic conditions. Which brings us to the performance of stock market over the past 10 months in contrast to the rest of economy.

As you all know, the trillions of dollars pumped by government into the financial sector and large corporations over past 10 months has caused a massive increase in both their stock prices and wealth. It does not help that this is occurring at same time as the unwillingness of government to do anything worthwhile to help most people. In a previous post, I wrote about how financialization is the cause of brick-and-mortar retail in this country. Now put all of this together and you will understand why hedge-funds trying to short the shares of GameStop, a company which represented the old way of doing business, elicited the response it did. It is not a coincidence that the internet mob went after hedge-funds trying to short shares of AMC- another business representing the older way of doing things.

In my opinion, what we are seeing right now (everything from Brexit 2015 and Trump 2016 to ongoing anti-lockdown protests and riots in many countries +internet driven short-squeezing of hedge funds) represent steps towards a final and irreversible collapse of public belief in, and legitimacy of, institutions in Western countries. All of this is very reminiscent of what happened within east-European countries in the 1970s and 1980s. Think about it.. this country now has a visibly senile leader leading a bunch of equally senile people supported by small army of careerist apparatchiks who have no talent beyond being parasites and hiding their incompetence behind a facade of bullshit wordiness.

What do you think? Comments?

Two Funny and Very Topical YouTube Comedy Skits from Ryan Long

January 21, 2021 2 comments

A few months ago, I posted a link to a funny YouTube clip about all the similarities between ‘woke’ losers and plain old racists. Here are a couple more clips from the same channel.

The first clip, from about 5 months ago, is about how liberal internet personalities (such as pro-establishment bloggers, podcasters, influencers etc) will struggle to make content about anything else once in the aftermath of a Trump defeat. This one proved to be prophetic.

The second one is about how most corporations, but especially in Silicon Valley, promote superficial and meaninglessness “diversity” which is actually a form of conformism. Says a lot about the current state of corporations involved in producing entertainment that they cannot even match output quality of moderately well-known YouTube channels.

Enjoy! Comments?

Impeaching Trump, for the Second Time, is an Even Stupider Idea

January 17, 2021 18 comments

In my previous post, I listed the major reasons why banning Trump from Twitter (and other american-owned social media platforms) was an incredibly stupid and short-sighted idea. In this one, I will go into the many reasons why trying to impeach Trump for the second time is an even stupider idea. Having said that.. I am not surprised that the delusional losers aka democrats would come up with such a brain fart. Just look at what they have been doing for the past thirty years, but especially the past five. Anyway, here are the reasons..

1] Trump received over 74 million votes in 2020 (8 million more than 2016) in spite of a huge and sustained propaganda effort by MSM over past four years which included making up many dozens of nonexistent “scandals” in addition to his highly incompetent managing of response to COVID-19 pandemic. Even after he “officially” lost the election, Trump had no problems getting tens of thousands of enthusiastic supporters to attend his rallies. Anyone who believes that this guy does not have a massive base or that his supporters will desert him in aftermath of that over-hyped January 6 riot in DC is highly delusional aka a democrat.

As I also mentioned in my previous post, it is worth noting that Trump has a far larger base of support among people who work in (or have worked in) the armed services, police and other paramilitary services. If you think that trying to impeach him a second time won’t further piss off and rile up those sorts of people, I have a bridge to sell you. When (not if) push comes to shove, I would bet on the trained guys with guns prevailing over lanyard wearing pencil-dick aspie dweebs from Northern California. Banning him from american-owned social media outlets has only helped Trump further by making him look like a martyr. Don’t be surprised if parts of this post seem similar to the previous one, because the stuff they are talking about are being driven by very similar underlying factors.

It does not help that democratic party and its associated public personalities such as MSM presstitutes, incompetent but credentialed “experts” etc have vociferously supported useless ‘lockdowns’ and school closures which have ruined the lives of many millions of younger people. Does anybody thinks that this will somehow increase the vote-share of democrats in 2022 and 2024 elections? Far more likely, democrats are going to get wiped out in 2022 elections to levels that are unthinkable to most people right now. Trying to impeach Trump, a second time, is only going to make him more popular than he is right now. And the guy who comes after Orange Man is going to be far more competent and systematic than him.

2] Trying to impeach Trump, for a second time, shows how incompetent, desperate and scared the democratic party has become. It is no secret that attempts at presidential impeachment have lost their power due to their frequent use in recent decades. Remember when they tried to impeach Clinton in late 1990s.. how did that turn out? Did it crimp his ability to make money or hurt his popularity after leaving office in early-2001? And did the first attempt to impeach Trump hurt his ability to get the republican nomination or receive a record number of votes in 2020 elections? Why would any sane person think that a second attempt at impeachment would achieve more? And it is not different this time around..

The socio-economic conditions which caused the rise of Trump have become more dominant in past four years. Trump was, if anything, a trailer for the sort of person who is going to rise to power in the next few years. If you think that more ineffectual impeachments and attempts to harass Trump by starting bogus investigations via the NY state attorney’s office is going to stop a future american Caesar, you are probably a democrat moron. Yes.. you read that right. The person who will inherit Trump’s coalition and use it to successfully grab power is not going to play by the rules of credentialed sissy-boys aka democrats. More ineffectual exercises of their imaginary powers will only speed up the appearance of an american Caesar.

To make matters worse, if that is possible, democrats have no plan or desire to address the socio-economic factors which caused the rise of Trump. Instead they are focusing on identity politic issues and virtue display bullshit which will results in them antagonizing even more voters in non-coastal states. They are just like the decrepit European royal families which were destroyed in aftermath of WW1. Also, trying to prevent Trump from running for election again will have no effect on the now almost inevitable rise of an american Caesar. In fact, Trump was accidentally the best chance of blocking an american Caesar because though he was a incompetent moron Trump had enough popular support to compete with and stop the rise of a competent fascist. Funny how these things work..

3] In the aftermath of that January 6 riot in DC, the dumbfucks (aka democrats) are trying to start another ‘War on Terror 2.0’ combined with a Patriot Act 2.0- which is darkly comic since this country lost the ‘War on Terror 1.0’. If you think otherwise, just look at how the occupation of Iraq and Afghanistan turned into a spectacular and costly defeat. The same “geniuses” who cheerlead the failed ‘war on Terror 1.0’ in middle-eastern countries are now clamoring for a domestic ‘War and Terror 2.0’. Given that they seem hell-bent on persecuting over 40% of the people in this country (and over 95% of those with military experience and guns), this cannot end well for democrats. It is almost like these delusional dummies aka establishment democrats are trying to accidentally kickstart a second civil war, but one which takes the form of a decentralized insurgency. This cannot end well..

If democrats had any brains, they would have treated the January 6 riot in DC as if it was just another poorly organized riot by a bunch of incompetent bozos- which is exactly what it was! But the dumbfucks think that pretending this poorly organized riot was some serious threat to the republic will allow them to seize power, spite Trump and persecute his supporters. The numbnuts are doing this despite the fact that a majority of republicans did not see that riot as unjustified or a “threat to democracy”. As I mentioned earlier in this post, over 74 million people voted for Trump barely two months ago and they did that in spite of a 5-year long MSM campaign against him. If the dummies in democrat party think that persecuting his supporters (aka majority of registered republican voters) does not carry the inevitable risk 0f serious blowback, they are hallucinating.

It should also be pointed that trying to impeach Trump for a second time and/or trying to persecute him through spurious legal cases filed by prosecutors in democrat-run states such as NY will almost inevitably destroy whatever little credibility those institutions have in rest of country. To put it bluntly, any path taken by democrats other than ignoring Orange Man AND addressing the broader socio-economic factors behind his rise will result in a very large-scale backlash which that decrepit party and its stooges won’t be able to handle. Based on the way things are going, it is obvious that the dumbfucks have made their choice. The next four years might be even more ‘interesting’ than the past four.

What do you think? Comments?

Banning Trump from Twitter is a Very Stupid and Short-Sighted Idea

January 9, 2021 26 comments

As all of you know by now, Trump being banned from multiple american corporate-owned social-media networks such as Twatter, FakeBook, ThotGram etc. You must also be aware that many LIEbral retards are celebrating this short-sighted decision. In any case, here is a post, written without flowery language and obscure analogies, to show you why this was an very stupid and dangerous decision with huge potential for ‘unintended consequences’.

1] Trump got almost 75 million votes in 2020 election in spite of a four-year long campaign of demonization by the MSM, Liberals and despite his inept handling of the COVID-19 pandemic. That is a pretty significant number of voters in this country and going somebody who could get than many votes in a presidential election at a time of massive political polarization is a really bad idea, because you have just created enemies out of tens of millions who did not have to pissed off any more than they already are. And let us be realistic.. Trump is, and has been, an entertaining clown or troll without the balls or mental ability to put together even a simple Munich beer-hall putsch. He almost exclusively implemented milquetoast republican policies (endless tax cuts, appointing conservative judges, trying to cut medicare/medicaid and supporting “law enforcement”) than anything which was even vaguely radical.

Banning this entertaining clown from Twitter and other american-owned social media networks makes him appear far more capable and important than he is in reality. Also, banning him provides support very strong support for his opt-repeated contention that he was the victim of a systemic deep-state and corporate LIEbral conspiracy. In my opinion, the incestous and incompetent LIEBral idiots in deep-state should have just ignored him or treated him like the entertaining troll he was. But now they have provided extensive conformation and validation to many of his more outlandish claims. Do you really think that Trump will have less credibility if you ban him from american-owned social media sites? If you do think like that, read some history and have your head examined. These actions achieve the exact opposite of the goal.

2] Trump’s followers and supporters are heavily represented in the military and law enforcement, both as ex- or current members. They are also heavily represented in people who work with their hands rather than the effeminnate keyboard jockeys, impotent code-writers in Bay Area, suburban white moms working office jobs and other diphits who don’t posses the means, background, experience or physical ability to perpetrate real violence. There is a reason why all successful revolutions in human history have been backed by men who knew how to use weapons and were not shy about killing. To put it blunty, the vast majority of people capable and willing to commit actual violence do-er types are not on the side of Democrats and LIEbrals. And this not the 1990s or early-2000s when most white conservatives believed that the government was on their side.

To make matters worse, the systemic socio-economic factors which led to rise of Trump have not gone way. In fact, the conditions of many have gotten worse, largely due to thoughtless lockdowns and school closures led by LIEbral politicians and democratic party associated unions and PMCs. In other words, things are about to get a whole lot crazier because the movement which catapulted Trump to presidency in 2016 is still there and in many ways stronger than it was in the past. Now combine that with the the fact that this group has a virtual monopoly on capability and ability for real violence. While Trump does not have the brain or balls to use his popular support and current situation, a future american Caesar will almost certainly do that very effectively and with zero qualms.

3] I have said, above and, in more than one previous post- the next person to use Trump’s coalition to seize power won’t be as stupid and incompetent as Trump. And there is a history for this dynamic throughout human history where the first attempts to overthrow a dying regime are often headed by incompetent people who fail but then they get replaced by smart and competent people who actually know how to use strategy and violence. Caesar was not the first roman consul with vision of becoming an emperor or who tried to become one. Napoleon was not the first french military general with visions of becoming emperor in aftermath of French Revolution. Mussolini and Hitler failed more than once before succeeding. I predict the next few years will see the rise a competent american Caesar- and it won’t be pretty. And make no mistake, a significant minority of american population (who have the majority of weapons and weapon training) are going to rally behind such a guy. The current democratic coalition of old black people and credentialed white paper-pushers living in a few urban and suburban areas have no real chance of prevailing against a competent american Caesar who commands the loyalty of his armed followers.

4] One of the most clever scenes from an early season of TV adaptation of “Game of Thrones” goes as follows: the much-hated juvenile idiot king aka Joffrey Lannister is shouting “I am the King” towards his uncle. At this point his grandfather (the true power behind throne) calmly tells him that “any man who must say I am the king is no true king”. The point is that anyone who has to justify their power by invoking external factors such as credentials, lineage, job-title etc has no real power. Similarly any person or entity who has to justify their power by appeals to external factors or the status-quo rather than actual control has only an illusory and tenuous grasp on power. It is no secret that current status of LIEbrals and Professional Managerial Class (PMCs) owes everything to others willing to go along with the charade.

Let me explain how this applies to the topic of our discussion. When the Chinese government censors people, ideas or opinions it does not like- it simply does it. That is possible because, unlike the corporate class in the west, it has real power and wields it appropriately. But that is only part of the story. The real reason why they have both this power and support from its population is that unlike their western counterparts, the Chinese government has been able to deliver almost magical improvements in the quality of life for its citizens in past four decades. In compassion, the past few decades in western countries (especially USA) have been marked by economic stagnation and reversal of fortunes for over 90% of their populations. To put it another way, people go along with some high-handedness only as long as the system can deliver a good lifestyle and hope of a better future.

The Chinese system also has far more internal accountability and constant fine-tuning than the american corporatist system. There is a reason why so many people have come to hate Amazon, FaceBook, Google and other software-based tech companies (Uber, Lyft, DoorDash, Yelp etc) over the past decade. While the reason for their hatred varies from loss of their small business, loss of stable jobs, high-handed behavior etc, it does not take a genius to figure out that any rising Caesar will use the growing hatred of average people for these tech monopolies and oligopolies to either nationalize them or break them up- and we are already seeing early signs of this trend on the republican side among younger legislators. Ironically, the Chinese government pursues corporate anti-monopoly practices to prevent this outcome than their impotent and corrupted western counterparts.

5] It is also worth pointing out that the poorly though lockdowns and shutdown in response to COVOD-19 pandemic have caused large long-term job losses in addition to massive damage to small- and medium- sized business. Given that these lockdowns and shutdowns were mostly championed by Democrats, LIEbrals, certain unions and the PMCs- you can bet that the rapidly building public anger will cause a lot of damage to Democratic part’s electoral prospects in 2022. If you don’t believe, just read a bit about how Democrats went from their 2008 win to an almost total complete rout in 2010. Inability to deliver on needs of voters is not a winning strategy regardless of how many non-white and female faces you put on the ballot. Trump lost in 2020 because he could not deliver on his 2016 promises and Obama barely scraped through in 2012 because the Republicans managed to nominate someone (Romney) who was even more repulsive than him.

Given the inability of Democrats to learn from history, You can bet that they will try to push highly unpopular polices ranging from criminalizing domestic dissent, new gun control laws, climate change scams, shoring up the wreck known as Obamacare and a lot of other stuff which will piss off too many people. Those idiots will also push their “diversity” and “trans-rights” bullshit scaring off even more white voters living in non-coastal areas. And they will try to do all of this without providing any serious economic relief or compensation to the tens of millions whose entire lives have been destroyed by their stupid and bad policies they had championed. If you think that non-white and non-black voters are a captive democratic constituency, you are about to have a rude awakening. You do know that the vast majority of Hispanics in this country do not see themselves as People of Color (POC).. right?

To summarize, the LIEBral corporatist establishments idea to ban Trump from major social media outlets (especially before his term ran out) was an incredibly stupid and short-sighted decision which transforms that troll clown into a legitimate political martyr who was the victim of a conspiracy to steal the election from him. These idiots have thus given Trump what he, by himself, could never have achieved- real legitimacy for his claims. In addition to this , they have accidentally cleared the pathway for the rise of a real and competent american Caesar who will end up crushing their proverbial necks when he gains power. Way to go.. dumbfucks!

What do you think? Comments?

ShitShow of Jan 6th in Washington, D.C. was Entertaining.. Wasn’t it?

January 6, 2021 16 comments

As many of you know, today’s pro-Trump protests in DC took some rather interesting turns, both literally and metaphorically. Here is a quick montage of the more infamous photographs from the shitshow floating on various social media sites. While these protests caused little real physical damage, the reputational damage to LIEbral scam promoted by this country in rest of world is considerable. These protests are also a teaser trailer of the sort of stuff we will see in 2021, because of the consequences of COVID-19 related shutdowns such as persistent high unemployment,small-business closures and bankruptcies etc.

What do you think? Comments?

Damage Due to COVID-19 Restrictions Will Cause a Huge Backlash- 2

December 26, 2020 10 comments

In previous part of this series, I wrote about how the hugely botched response to COVID-19 pandemic by Western governments and public health “experts” is almost certain to cause an unimaginably large backlash in 2021. What makes this incredibly incompetent response even more remarkable is that things have gotten worse with every passing month. Don’t believe me? Well.. have a look at the late Autumn spike in “diagnosed” cases which occurred all over the western world irrespective of whether the leader of that country was Trump or somebody else. At the time of writing this post, the per capita incidence in almost every West-european country (at peak) is either close to, or more than, USA. In fact, the rates in many supposedly “responsible” countries such as Germany have now surpassed USA.

But why does this matter and what is it’s connection to the topic of this post? As some of you might remember, a lot of the public health measures floated by “experts” and enthusiastically promoted by politicians, main stream media and social media monopolies were supposed to prevent this exact outcome. Except that they did nothing of that sort! Feel free to compare the per capita incidence of PCR-positive cases in states that have implemented tons of society- and business- killing restrictions to neighboring states which didn’t implement them. It is as if all this bullshit about everybody wearing masks in public places, not re-opening schools and universities, closing restaurants and other small businesses or all that social-distancing lies had zero effect on the autumn rise in number of positive tests. In other words, all of that personal sacrifice (performed by those ‘little’ people) was in vain.

Do you really think that most people haven’t noticed that all of their largely uncompensated personal sacrifice had zero effect on the autumn wave of this disease? Maybe.. some losers with sinecured or otherwise stable jobs don’t mind the disruption to their lives, but a much larger percentage and number of people are now both very angry and in dire poverty due to those disruptions. Needless to say, they will find scapegoats among politicians, public health “experts”, MSM cocksuckers and SJWs in social media companies. But their hunt won’t stop with these obvious targets. It is no secret that many other sections of Western society have beclowned themselves during the botched response to this pandemic. Let us start by talking about how schools and universities have handled themselves.

1] As some of you might now, the death rate for COVID-19 infection in those younger than 25 is less than 1, in 10,000 and if you eliminate deaths in those who were already quite ill, it is likely less than 1 in 100,000. In spite of these figures being very consistent across many states and countries for past few months, a large percentage of schools in USA are still closed for in-person learning. While we can go into the reasons behind the decision of many teaching unions to beclown themselves, which include offering token #resistance to Trump, it goes without saying that even a scenario where every person below 25 in USA gets COVID-19, the excess mortality would be in the few hundreds or low thousands. Moreover most of this mortality could be avoided by keeping those susceptible to severe outcomes (cancer survivors, severely ill kids) at home for a few months. But what about the teachers, you might say.

Well..for starters, most teachers in USA and many other Western countries are women and under 50 and also have a really low death rate from to this disease. To put it bluntly, it was perfectly possible to reopen schools and run them like normal by having the chronically ill children and teachers over 50 stay at home. Even a 100% infection rate among teachers and students would result in no more than a couple thousand extra deaths in USA. You might not like what I am saying, but it is hard to argue with my reasoning. However this is only a small part of why backlash against teachers and their unions will be especially severe in USA. The first major reason comes down to the fact that public schooling in West is glorified babysitting which allows both parents to work 9-to-5 jobs. Keeping schools closed hurts the working class far more than numerically much smaller upper-middle class.

To make matters worse, a large percentage of the working class sees teachers as pampered, overpaid, incompetent and elitist assholes who owe their cushy jobs to unions- something that is not possible for most people in USA. Let me remind you that most working class people had to keep working during the pandemic at same time when all these teachers were sitting on their collective behinds at home while still receiving full pay. I predict that the backlash will take form of voters supporting right-wing politicians who want to cut school funding- either directly or indirectly. And given the significant shortfall in tax revenues for local and state governments in aftermath of this crisis, this outcome is almost inevitable. And to be honest, most teachers deserve it for how they have handled themselves during this crisis.

2] If you thought that teachers and schools had shot themselves badly in the foot by refusing to reopen during COVID-19 pandemic or did so with bizarre pre-conditions, think again.. because universities have outdone them by a mile. But before we go there, let us talk about the single biggest difference between schools and universities in USA. See.. while the vast majority of schools are pre-paid for by taxes and therefore free to attend, obtaining a university degree requires the median student to spend many tens of thousands of dollars in fees- and we haven’t even started talking about living costs in certain coastal cities. Did I mention that you cannot discharge student loans during a bankruptcy? To make a long story short, attending university in USA is a very expensive proposition with very onerous loan repayment conditions. So why do students keep attending them?

While part of the reason comes down to societal and employer pressure to obtain a university degree of some sort, a far bigger reason (for many) is that university is a place to network for future job and career opportunities. Of course, you can’t do that unless you physically attend university. To make matters worse, the online learning experience is inferior for those old CD-ROM courses offered by distance learning for-profit universities offered in the late 1990s. Did I mention that vast majority of universities have not reduced their fees since going online? To make another long story short, universities have decided to throw their student body (aka customers in USA) under the proverbial bus without considering long term consequences of such actions. Given the conditions and factors mentioned earlier in this paragraph, the medium- to long- term effect on their reputation and ability to attract paying customers (I mean.. students) is unlikely to be positive.

To make matters worse, if that is possible, universities in USA have largely gone through the large increase in student population between late-1990s and early- to mid-2010s caused by a wave of baby-boomer children. There just aren’t that many future local students for them in next decade, which is why so many of them are recruiting international students at record numbers since the early 2010s. These high-paying students (usually from China) have become an important source of income for many universities in past few years. It does not take a genius to figure out that shutting down physical university for a year is going to hurt ability of most universities to recruit rich overseas students. It does not help that many universities in this country are overloaded with useless administrative parasites and therefore barely getting by in spite of collecting record amounts of tuition from students.

Given the upcoming revenue shortfalls, I expect many of them to start cutting corners by laying of teaching staff rather than firing administrative types, thus entering a death spiral where loss of income leads to loss of reputation which leads to further loss of income. What makes this whole farce darkly comic is that the risk of death from COVID-19 among student aged people is also very low- less than 1 in 5,000 and most deaths occur in those with serious chronic conditions. I should also mention that majority of teaching duties in universities are already performed by junior teaching staff, contract and sessional instructors who are very likely to be under 50 and in good health. I mean.. we could just have had professors above 70 and those with serious chronic diseases stay at home for a few months.

In the next part of this series, I hope to go into the effects of these shutdowns and restictions on small and medium business who employ far more people than their revenues might suggest.

What do you think? Comments?

Damage Due to COVID-19 Restrictions Will Cause a Huge Backlash- 1

December 19, 2020 20 comments

For the past few weeks, I have been considering writing a post (or two) listing my predictions for 2021. Since I have some spare time right now, let me start by making an obvious series of predictions about the upcoming year. And yes.. I have tackled this topic in a previous series and other older posts. I have also written about the ineffectiveness of conventional face masks and likely issues with widespread use of any potential vaccine. Thus far, every aspect of the response in western countries to COVID-19 from damaging widespread lockdowns that have no worthwhile effects on caseloads, ineffectual facemasks policies, hamhanded and delusional vaccination policies are creating a lot of fuel for huge public backlashes in 2021.

1] The most important determinant of long-term public support for all governmental policies concerning any war, restrictions or other deprivations comes down to the simple question- how much does it inconvenience or hurt the median person? Let me remind you that american public support for Vietnam war was very high in the beginning, but declined sharply once conscription became widespread and increasing number of recruits came back in body bags or as cripples. Similarly, the Iraq War was popular towards in the beginning when many stupid muricans believed they could win it at very little personal cost. Once it became obvious that the war was creating an endless stream of brain-damaged and crippled veterans, it became far less popular. The inability to move freely in Iraq years after that failed occupation, due to multiple ongoing insurgencies, did not help its popularity either.

So how does this knowledge help us predict the now inevitable backlash against botched response to COVID-19 by western countries, especially USA. For starters, we now have tons of data from both adjacent countries and states that brain-dead measures such as lockdowns, public making, closing restaurants and other small business etc have almost no effect on the rise and fall of case numbers. While some of you might not have heard about this because of spending too much time watching CNN and MSNBC- it is now increasingly common knowledge that many measures such as public masking pushed by public health “scientists” and faceless bureaucrats are nothing more than public theater while others such as closing restaurants, small businesses and physical retail are actively harmful. In the first 2-3 months people went along with the bullshit because they were afraid of the unknown, but now too many know somebody who tested positive for COVID-19 and had an uneventful spontaneous recovery.

My point is that the number of people who know somebody who contracted COVID-19 and recovered without complications is many fold more than those who know somebody who died. And for good reason! Mortality due to that infection in the under-50 population is somewhere between 1 in 5,000- 10,000. In fact, it crosses the 1 in 1,000 figure only for people above 60 and healthy non-institutionalized old people between 70-80 have a mortality rate of about 2-3%. But why does this matter? Well.. to put it bluntly, western societies don’t care much about lives of very old and institutionalized. While they may pretend to care about such people to show others around them that they are “good people”, they cannot keep up the charade for long if it is causing them to lose lots of money. By continuously lying to people that COVID-19 is far more dangerous than it is, the public health establishment in West is is serious risk of losing any residual public credibility which it might still have.

Which brings us to the second set of reasons why things are going to go ballistic in many countries aka this shitshow has been going on for almost 9 months now.

2] As you know, most human beings are conformist cowards who will go along any stupid belief system for a short time. The real problems start once the ridiculous crap continues past a few months. At that point, people will start reevaluating their previous beliefs- especially if they think that those beliefs are causing them financial or other loss. This is why most people either don’t join cults or slowly drop out of them as things get more extreme. While west European countries have a significantly better social safety net than USA, even they cannot keep the economy going for more than a few months. Things are even worse in countries with more fragile service-based economies + low job and career security + almost non-existent social safety net such as USA. Note that the shutdowns and restrictions are causing far more unemployment and financial damage to people under 40 and 50 than those over 65-70.

The problem with public health “scientists” and politicians trying to push their ineffectual ideas about indefinite lockdowns is that in addition to exaggerating the threat of COVID-19 they have not adequately compensated the people whose businesses and livelihoods have been affected. Even European countries which have far more generous wage replacement schemes than USA have not been able to make up the income loss to affected workers, not to mention uncertainty about future of affected business. The simple fact is that there many times more people who are being deliberately pushed into poverty by lying and incompetent governments in Western countries than there are people above 80. Things are even bleaker in USA where wage support is basically nonexistent for most laid-off and furloughed workers. Did I mention that most affected small businesses in USA are fucked.

To make matters worse, in almost every single Western country including USA the center-left part and its vocal minority PMC-class supporters are in favor of indefinite lockdowns without any hope or compensation. These sinecured assholes have lost all touch with the daily reality of a much larger group in their country. I predict, with complete certainty, that this will lead to the sort of backlash which will make Brexit vote and Trump’s election in 2016 look quaint. For example- the results of 2022 election in USA, barring some miracle or extreme incompetence by Republicans, will make the previous defeats suffered by Democratic party look comically small by comparison. I also predict similar electoral carnage for many other ruling parties in Western Europe in next two years- along with significant improvements in public support for right-wing parties. History might not repeat, but it often rhymes.

3] Many of you might have also heard that many social media companies and internet monopolies in the “free” West are trying to censor “unofficial” information about COVID-19, vaccine side-effects etc. I predict that such behavior by these corporations will have two main effects. Firstly, it will greatly increase public support behind those attempting to break up and regulate those corporations. But more importantly, it will amplify the very messages and distrust in “credentialed” authority which they are trying to suppress. If you don’t believe ask anybody for pre-1989 Eastern European countries if they believed official news about their own country. And yes.. it also feeds back into the anti-establishment dynamic which I talked about in the previous paragraph. The next two years will be most interesting.

The already moribund public health establishment in Western countries will be among the biggest loser in aftermath of this backlash. For starters, they have they lost any residual public goodwill during the past 9 months due to their inability to control COVID-19. But far worse was their poorly thought decisions (not based in scientific facts) which have caused massive damage to lives of thousands of times more people than those who died from COVID-19. Their pathetic attempts to pretend that COVID-19 vaccinations are safer than natural infection in younger age-groups is almost guaranteed to start some backlash in the next few weeks. Then again, public health in the past 40 years has been largely an exercise in bullshit mathematical models and SJW beliefs with no basis in reality. Will write about the effect of backlash on public perception of schools, universities, PMCs and politicians in upcoming part.

What do you think? Comments?

Some Recent Examples of West Losing Touch with Physical Reality

December 14, 2020 13 comments

It is no secret that the so-called ‘West’ is in the midst of a terminal death spiral and there is no shortage of evidence, especially over past two decades, to supports this assertion. We can go over tons of data-points and trends ranging from changes in fertility rates, technological stagnation combined with loss of existing abilities, rise of magical thinking and cults such as environmentalism, centralization of power into hands of incompetent professional managerial class, rapidly rising inequality and many more. While it is possible to keep trudging on in the presence of one or two of these adverse trends, facing them all at once is.. to put it lightly.. not survivable in the medium to loner term. I will now add the knowing and unknowing loss of touch with physical reality to this growing list of adverse trends.

To be fair, the ‘West’ (especially USA) is the not the first empire or culture to have exhibit this particular trend. Indeed, almost every single dying empire and civilization in recorded history has exhibited such behavior pattern. The noteworthy point about this pattern is that it occurs towards the very end of that empire or culture. In other words this is a marker of imminent demise or permanent loss of status. Here are a few examples of such behavior throughout history. Towards the end of the western roman empire, specifically the last 4-5 decades, it became unable to defend even its main cities against repeated sackings by groups who the empire had successfully kept at bay for centuries. While many “academics” pretend that the end was part of a longer trend, we know they are spouting bullshit because the eastern roman empire survived centuries after its western counterpart was distant memory.

But have you ever wondered what the “elites” in western Roman Empire were thinking when all this shit was going around them? Well.. a few saw what was coming and some others tried to change with the circumstances. However a majority of them only paid lip service to the idea of substantive change while believing that all of this would blow over and things would return to the previous status quo. They also came up increasingly elaborate explanations to convince themselves of the validity of their beliefs, even if those beliefs were clearly not congruent with objective reality around them. And they were far from the only dying empire which did so. In the early 20th century and WW1, the Ottoman Empire kept behaving as if everything that was going within their domain and in the course of WW1 was not occurring or as serious as it was.

The same is true for both the Austro-Hungarian Empire and the Romanov Dynasty and their courtiers in Russia. In the first few years after WW2, Britain kept behaving as if it still was a global superpower in spite of losing all its major colonies until severe economic and military setbacks forced them to accept reality. It took getting defeated and kicked out of Algeria for France to finally accept that it was just another second-rate western military power. It took decades of defeats at hands of western power for China (century of humiliation) to finally accept that their previous system and status quo was no longer workable. And it gets worse.. a rather large percentage of Indians still haven’t accepted the reality about why they were repeatedly colonized and exploited by foreign empires and continue to labor under delusions that their myths and legends are completely factual. Crazy.. huh.

But what any of this have to with USA and the ‘West’? Well.. a couple of news items within past 2-3 days brought the issue of these countries losing touch with reality to the forefront.

The first one concerns development and recent approval of a vaccine against COVID-19. Yesterday many blue check mark dumbfucks on Twatter were busy claiming that USA was still innovative because it had developed and approved a vaccine against COVID-19 before any other country. Except that this not true. Both China and Russia have approved adenovirus-based vaccines against COVID-19 at least a couple of months ago. In fact the first Chinese vaccine has been already used to vaccinated more than a million people in multiple countries while the Russian vaccine has been used on over 200k people. I should also point out that the adenovirus-based vaccine is far closer to the kinds of vaccines we have some experience with in humans and animals. RNA-based vaccines, like those from Pfizer and Moderna, have never been previously approved for use in humans or animals.

In addition to that, they are deliberately doing slower and more deliberate rollouts to catch rare but severe side effects. Compare that to USA and ‘West’ who want to inject hundreds of millions with vaccines based on new technology for which we have no historical long-term safety data. It is also worth mentioning that China is also developing multiple protein-subunit based, whole-virus based and RNA vaccines and many of these are in Phase II or Phase III human trials as we speak. The way China has gone about developing vaccines shows a far better appreciation for issues such as not betting the farm on one new technology, concern for long-term safety and an appreciation of the logistics of production and deployment. And yet, the vast majority of “intellectuals” and “elites” in USA and ‘West’ are acting as if this reality does not exist. Mind you.. these are the same idiots who have no realistic long-term plan to control COIVID-19 spread in their own countries or just live with it.

The second recent example of western “intellectuals” and “elites” having lost touch with reality comes in the form of their response to the failed test flight of Elon Musk’s latest scam aka the “Starship” prototype. Not only is the name of that chemical-rocket powered launcher supremely delusional, but it also won’t have a significantly higher payload than Saturn V launcher from late-1960s. Yes.. you heard that right! The full-scale and developed version of that ‘Starshit’ will, even under the most optimistic conditions, not put more into low earth orbit than the upgraded Saturn V launchers NASA wanted to build in mid 1970s.. about 45 years ago. As some of you know, the most recent test of a small-scale prototype of that launcher ended in a spectacular explosion also known as a failure.

But this has not stopped many pressitutes, blue checks shitheads on Twatter and many self-anointed “experts” from claiming that a rocket flight which ended in a giant explosion was a great successes. To be clear, almost every aspect of that flight which these “experts” claimed to be a roaring success had been already demonstrated with Falcon 9- especially during some of its developmental flights. If you still believe that this is innovation, then I have a bridge to sell you. But what is especially troubling to me is that so many people who should have known better were going overboard pretending that the delusional emperor was wearing clothes. Given that Musk is not constantly paying these idiots to pretend that his failures are smashing successes, one has to consider the other option- namely, that they are willingly deluding themselves into seeing what they want to believe.

But why do they want to willingly believe in something which is not real. Could it be yet another sign that “elites” in West have lost touch with physical reality?

What do you think? Comments?

The Connection Between Fake ‘Innovation’ and Late Capitalism

December 10, 2020 16 comments

My previous post about the ongoing crapification of personal computing and series about how the computing “revolution” of past two decades has been a showy failure lead us to a seldom asked question. While it can be phrased in many ways, here is the simplest version- Why do so many who are rich, in power or aspire to either keep incessantly talking about “innovation”, “paradigm shifts” and “disruption” when we clearly live in an age of profound technological stagnation. Why do people pretend that Apple is an innovative company when the last time they did anything remotely innovative was 2007? Why do so many fanboys celebrate every fart emanating from Elon Musk? What is innovative about Uber, DoorDash or any other service which replicates the services already available in third-world countries full of poor and desperate people? What is innovative about the plantation-lite work environment of Amazon?

Now let us get back to the central question- why do so many people want to believe in fake “innovation”? What is the upside of celebrating fake “innovation” even when it is results in regression rather than progress? Consider user interfaces design for personal computers or software. What is the gain from producing and pimping increasingly shittier “redesigns” and “upgrades” which make the interface or program less useful, slower, buggier and resource intensive? Also, why did user interfaces remain fairly constant for over two decades (mid-1980s to mid-2000s before starting to become progressively shittier? Or take automobiles.. why hasn’t the reliability, safety and longevity not improves since late 1990s- even though their “complexity” has? Why are automobiles from non-Japanese manufacturers (and Nissan) full of progressively bad design choices in everything from layout of engine and powertrain components to increasingly gimmicky but dangerous design choices for driver control panels?

The same can be said for the increasingly shitty style of management of retail store chains which has caused many to go out of business in past decade or Boeing building progressively worse versions of their older airliners. Why do multi-million dollars homes in western countries look bland, formulaic and ugly. Are you seeing a common thread running through all of them and what does any of this have to with the strong connection between fake “innovation” and late capitalism aka neoliberalism aka financialism? To understand what I am going to talk about next, we have to first go into the pillars holding the unstable edifice of late capitalism. As I have mentioned in some previous posts, one of these pillars is credentialism. But how does it work in practice? Well.. the real function of credentialism is to cultivate incestuous insider networks with other “elites” by going to the same “elite” educational institutions. But how does this lead to fake “innovation” and actual regression of technological progress?

It comes down to its interaction with another pillar of late capitalism. Have you noticed that every corporation and rich person seems to have unusually high levels of investment in how they are allegedly perceived by the public? But who are they trying to impress? Do average people buy into the bullshit about “caring” and “socially responsible” corporations anymore than they believe that the HR person at work is on their side? If average people don’t give a fuck about the “social liberal” causes which are heavily supported by corporations, who are they trying to impress anyway? The simple answer is that all of these virtue displays, fake philanthropy and show of social liberalism by “elites” are about oneuping each other. But hasn’t this always been the case? Haven’t the “elites” of all societies throughout history spent too much time trying to oneup each other? So what is different now?

Well.. in previous eras, the “elites” of those societies did not pretend to have reached their positions because they were competent or actually good at whatever they were supposed to be doing. They were quite honest that being an “elite” was about being born to the right parents, married to the right person or being good at violence. Consequently, they left the actual work of getting things done to competent people employed by them. That is why, for example, the Medici family of Renaissance Italy stuck to the business of merchant banking and political influence while being great patrons of art rather than pretending to be great artists themselves. That is also why a lot of the industrial and banking dynasties of late 19th and 20th century Europe and USA stuck to their original vocations rather than seriously dabble in stuff which would make them look liberal, hip or “progressive”.

So what happens when incompetent but rich people try to do stuff at which they suck? Ask Nicholas II of Russia of the erstwhile Russian Empire who decided to personally take charge of military operations during the later stages of WW1 in Russia? Or what about Enver Pasha of the erstwhile Ottoman Empire who decided to cosplay as a military leader during WW1. The same hold true for thousands of generals and officers who gained their pre-WW1 positions in French Army through connections, bribery and kissing the right behinds. Long story short, when incompetent but powerful people enter roles they are not capable of fulfilling.. things go to shit. While this is especially obvious during acute crises such as large wars or economic meltdowns, it still occurs in times without obvious crises- albeit at a slower pace. The point I am trying to make is that “elites” who seriously dabble in real work almost always end up as massive and spectacular failures.

The reason this is a far bigger problem today than in past is that nobody expected “elites” or aspirational elites to do anything beyond being idle or playing insider games of the type seen in royal courts of yore. However the ideology of late capitalism aka neoliberalism is built around the concept of “meritocracy” which require participants to act as if they are involved in doing important work. It is even worse for aspirational elites, who in previous eras just had to play long with these insider court games or marry the right person. This results in people with power and money but no intellectual ability or competence pretending they are geniuses- with predictable results. It is even worse for aspirational elites, who now have to pretend even harder to be competent and brilliant people than the greedy power grabbers they really are.

The only way to succeed in institutions (including corporations) dominated by “elites” who subscribe to the ideology of neoliberalism is to fake the appearance of progress even if it destroys all of the real progress made in the past. That is why people who push bad ideas like Windoze 8 and 10 will be promoted over those who wanted to improve Windows 7. It is also why developing more fragile phones and computers protected by increasing amounts of hardware DRM is now the business model of Apple. Now you know why the UI of Gmail, Google Maps and MS Office, to name a few, has become worse with each iteration. This is also why people celebrate frauds such as Elon Musk who are pretending that technological capabilities which were refined 50 years ago are the result of recent “innovation”. And guess what.. you don’t even have to possess any actual technology to fake “disruption”- just ask that Theranos woman. It is all about appearance and style, not substance.

To summarize. the rise of fake “innovation” under late capitalism has much to with a toxic combination of financial incentives, “elites” and aspirational “elites” being out of their depth in a culture which very strongly favors the appearance of work as measured by “metrics” rather than anything close to the real thing. Might write more about this topic in future, based on comments and responses.

What do you think? Comments?

Recent Articles about Ongoing Crapification of Personal Computing

December 3, 2020 20 comments

While browsing the intertubes in past few weeks, I came across a few articles about ongoing crapification of personal computing. As you know, this is interesting to me since I am also writing a short series about the computing “revolution of past two decades has been a showy failure. Hope to finish the next part in that series sometime soon. But till then, have a look at these posts by other people making similar observations.

Bring back the ease of 80s and 90s personal computing

Back in time when things were easy: You could opt into purchasing major (feature) upgrades every 2–3 years, and got minor (quality) updates for free very infrequently (say, 1–2 times a year). You made a conscious decision whether and when to apply upgrades or updates, and to which applications. You usually applied updates only if there was a specific reason (e.g., a feature you wanted or a bug you were running into and needed to be fixed). Systems typically ran on the exact same software configuration for months if not years.

Contrast this with today: Systems increasingly become “moving targets” because both the operating system and the applications change by updating themselves at will, without conscious decisions by the user. The absolute perversion of this are “forced automatic updates” as are common in some organizations, where users have no choice but to accept that updates are installed on the machine (even requiring reboots of the machine) whenever some central system administrator decides that it is time to do so.

Computer latency: 1977-2017

It’s a bit absurd that a modern gaming machine running at 4,000x the speed of an apple 2, with a CPU that has 500,000x as many transistors (with a GPU that has 2,000,000x as many transistors) can maybe manage the same latency as an apple 2 in very carefully coded applications if we have a monitor with nearly 3x the refresh rate. It’s perhaps even more absurd that the default configuration of the powerspec g405, which had the fastest single-threaded performance you could get until October 2017, had more latency from keyboard-to-screen (approximately 3 feet, maybe 10 feet of actual cabling) than sending a packet around the world (16187 mi from NYC to Tokyo to London back to NYC, more due to the cost of running the shortest possible length of fiber).

On the bright side, we’re arguably emerging from the latency dark ages and it’s now possible to assemble a computer or buy a tablet with latency that’s in the same range as you could get off-the-shelf in the 70s and 80s. This reminds me a bit of the screen resolution & density dark ages, where CRTs from the 90s offered better resolution and higher pixel density than affordable non-laptop LCDs until relatively recently. 4k displays have now become normal and affordable 8k displays are on the horizon, blowing past anything we saw on consumer CRTs. I don’t know that we’ll see the same kind improvement with respect to latency, but one can hope.

Things are so bad that a google search for ‘why is windows 10 so bad‘ yields hundreds of results, including long discussions threads on multiple subreddits and official Microsoft support newsgroups. You can get almost the same number of hits for asking ‘why is office 365 so bad. And it is not just Microsoft as you can find similar opinions past few iterations of Mac OS X and iOS. In case you are wondering, Android has always been a shitshow, though it is a little better than the older versions. Did I mention that even widely used google services such as Google Maps and web version of Gmail has become significantly worse and inconsistent over past few years. And then there are the numerous poorly executed design updates by Amazon, FakeBook, Twatter, InstaCrack etc. My point is that is an industry-wide phenomena.

What do you think? Comments?

Financialization is Cause of Decline in Brick-and-Mortar Retail in USA

November 27, 2020 20 comments

Here is another topic I have been thinking about writing for past few years. As most readers know, there is no shortage of evidence that physical retail outlets have been on an irreversible decline in USA and other parts of Anglosphere for at least the past decade. In fact, most idiots in this group of countries seems to believe that the rise of Amazon and other online retail outlets was a cosmic inevitability. Except, that this is not true. The thing is.. physical retail outlets are in very good shape in every part of the world that is not an Anglosphere country. Even more curiously, countries with a very well-developed online retail sector such as China still have a much bigger and dominant physical retail sector. It is as if online retail outlets can coexist and complement physical retail in all countries that are not part of the Anglopshere.

So what is going on? Why is the retail sector, also, in free fall throughout the Anglosphere. As you will soon see, the factors driving demise of physical retail in this group of countries are almost identical to those which previously led to widespread de-industrialization, privatization of public goods, episodes of financial austerity, rise in precarity of jobs and careers and much more. It comes down to late capitalism aka neoliberalism aka financialization. To understand what I am talking about, let me ask you a simple question. How do physical retailers in the West manage to go under while their equivalents in other countries remain strong or grow. This is especially hard to explain when you realize that people still need the products which they sell ranging from clothes and shoes to furniture, appliances and musical instruments.

Let me try explaining the changes I have witnessed in this sector over the past two decades. As some might remember, I moved here when I was 20 in the late 1990s. At that time the physical retail sector in West, while having gone through a few prior contractions, was still quite healthy. The shops and department stores were well stocked with a diversity of products that people wanted, there were always enough salespeople around and businesses were still making a steady but decent profit. So what changed between late 1990s and today? Well.. for starters, there has been a shrinkage in amount of disposable income for most people in West. But this, by itself, does not explain why physical retail is still doing very well in Continental Europe, East Asia and every other part of world. Also, many products sold in West have become relatively less expensive due to outsourcing from China and Mexico.

And yet retail stores in the West, large and small, have been going out of business at a much higher rate than at any time since WW2. More problematically, the ones going out of business are not being replaced with others of similar size. Even many large chains which survived the great depression have recently gone bust or are on the verge of going tits up. What makes Western physical retail so fragile when compared to its Asian or European counterparts? Here is my partial explanation, based on what I saw over past two decades. Let us start by talking about three large departmental store chains, which shall remain unnamed. Out of these three, two went belly up during past decade while the other one is on life support. I am using these three as examples because I used to frequent them and bought tons of stuff from them over the years.

See.. in the late 1990s, all three chains were doing very well. They sold tons of stuff which people wanted, had knowledgeable sales staff and paid attention to the quality of products they were selling. Sure, they were more expensive to shop at than WalMart but they had no problems attracting customers and making a steady decent profit. The demise of first chain, which used to be a family name in party of country I live in, began once a management style took over in the mid- to late- 1990s. Under the guise of increasing shareholder value, the new management started doing short-sighted shit such as selling their ownership off their coveted physical retail space and renting it back, laying off older experienced employees, flooding their shelves and racks with items of lesser quality and making their remaining employees push credit cards and extended warranties. A brand name which was once synonymous with good quality, reasonable prices and experienced salespeople increasingly became associated with poor customer experience and shitty products.

Increasingly, decisions about which products to stock were exclusively made by a bunch of MBAs and other assorted bottom-feeders in their ‘headquarters’. They had no interest in the feedback of their employees who understood their local markets and customer tastes far better than the greedy assholes at HQ. To make matters worse, they spent all their short-term financial gains on giving themselves hefty bonuses rather than spending that money on updating their stores. You can guess how all of this ended. After a decade of such bold and innovative changes in management style, a large chain which was once a household name in that part of the country went under. Oh.. and they stiffed their employee pensions on the way out. If all of this sounds familiar, it should be because this is the rough template followed by almost every retail chain that has gone under or is in the process of doing so.

The next chain I am going to talk about is Sears, and most of you know how that shit went down. While Sears was being mismanaged for at least two or three decades, things went especially bad towards the end (link 1, link 2, link 3 and link 4). So let us move on and talk about another large and well-known departmental store chain which is not dead yet but is pretty close. Once again, it went down the same pathway of “new management styles” which led to under-staffing, selling inferior products, trying to push products which nobody wants to buy, spending little to no money on updating stores, an incredibly bad online sales portal and treating both its employees and customers like shit while helping themselves to tons of money in the form of performance bonuses.

But you know what is truly surprising? The pattern of management malpractice and looting remains constant in the Anglosphere whether the afflicted corporation was selling clothes, shoes, appliances, electronics, toys, guitars or making appliances, cars and aircraft. Their demise was not, therefore, due to business conditions in that sector. Rather, it was due to a very specific style of management which gained primacy in Anglosphere starting in the 1980s. To put it another way, the management of western corporations has become the functional equivalent of viruses that infect cells, extract all the resources they can and then move on to infect other cells to continue this cycle. The poor adoption of this parasitic ideology outside the Anglosphere is also why Asian companies remain dominant in Automobile manufacturing, continental Europe still retains a decent percentage of its manufacturing infrastructure and physical retail outlets outside the Anglosphere are still doing just fine.

What do you think? Comments?