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Quick Thoughts on the Ongoing Aftermath of 2020 Election Shitshow

November 9, 2020 24 comments

Here is a post which I have been meaning to write for past few days, but kept delaying due to ongoing developments in that area and being busy with work. By now, you know that the MSM has declared Dementia Joe as the “victor” in the 2020 presidential election. The way I see it, this shitshow is not over till at least December 14th of this year when the the electoral college meets to cast their votes. Realistically, this show will go on even past inauguration day 2021.. into 2022 and 2024. So welcome to Hell and get comfy as you are going to here for a while.

So here are some of my very quick thoughts on the post-election shitshow, till now..

1] One of the most surprising outcomes of this election was that Trump got a few million more votes in 2020, than he did in 2016. Orange Man got more votes in 2020 than Obama got in his historical victory in 2008. Sure.. the population of this country has grown since 2008, but let me remind you that Obama in 2012 fell short of his 2008 numbers as did HRC in 2016. What makes this truly unique is that he did so in spite of the media demonizing him for past 5 years, all those failed and fake investigations in addition to his sloppy handling of response to COVID-19 pandemic. Trump getting over 71 million votes was the biggest surprise of 2020.

2] On a related note, Democrats lost seats in the house, didn’t flip any state legislatures or governorships and are almost certain to not gain their long coveted senate majority. In my opinion, this is the second most surprising outcome of 2020, since many were guessing that all of the alleged public anger against Trump would somehow translate into democrats flipping multiple senate seats, increasing their margin in house and gaining at the state level. But they did not, and is a huge warning signal to that party. Did I also mention that Democrats did not flip Texas and Florida. Which brings me to the third surprising outcome of this election.

3] Trump and Republicans actually gained non-white voters from the working class. While it is still too early to give exact numbers, it appears that Trump got the highest percentage of non-white voters for any republican president in past few decades. He also received the highest percentage of Hispanic votes of any modern Republican president, including.. I kid you not.. from Hispanic-majority counties bordering Mexico. Far less surprisingly, most of the increase in votes for Democrats came from affluent suburban and predominantly white areas. And while Trump did not win some reliably Democrat-voting coastal states such as CA, NY etc.. he did increase the number of Republican votes in those states compared to 2016.

4] The supposedly “scientific” pre-election polls were off by huge and inexcusable margins. After the 2016 debacle all these polling agencies had promised to do a far better job this time around as they had claimed to have learnt their lesson and corrected their mistakes. Turns out, this was all complete bullshit! The “errors” in state and national pre-election polls in 2020 were much higher than in 2016.In all ‘swing’ states, even the final polls were consistently off by over 10%. There are two explanations for this debacle- either polling agencies learned nothing from 2016 or they were involved in a very deliberate and coordinated operation to suppress Trump voters. And they failed.. again.

5] Which brings us to the next point.. aka the vote-counting operations in some ‘swing’ states and Democrat-run cities were shady as fuck. You might have noticed that Orange Man won all supposed ‘swing’ states which counted their votes on same day such as TX, FL and OH. But in ‘swing’ states with some democratic control, mysterious large batches of votes kept getting “discovered” and counted during early morning hours. This was especially obvious in cities under control of Democratic party. While this country has always been intentionally deficient at conducting free and fair elections, vote-counting during the 2020 election was the shadiest we have seen in living memory.

Sure.. the sudden increase of mail-in and absentee ballots was guaranteed to cause some problems, but I cannot help notice that certain states such as FL and TX handled the situation very well. Others such as WI, MI and PA did not. The deliberate slowing down of vote-counting by certain states such as NV and AZ also does not inspire confidence in the results of this election. To make a long story short, regardless of what the dying mouthpieces of MSM and internet monopolies are promoting, majority of people in this country seem to think that the elections were fixed- at least in certain ‘swing’ states.

6] Because of the very obvious shadiness of how this election was conducted in certain key states and Trump’s unwillingness to play along with certain elite bullshit such as “norms”- it is almost certain that this will be litigated for a long time, especially in the public mind. Let me remind you that partisan idiots such as MikeCA still believe that “Russia” and “Putin” stole the 2016 election for Trump without any significant amount of proof to support this accusation. You can bet that the next four years will see a similar but far larger movement centered around the idea that establishment Democrats stole the 2020 election- but this time there will be much more circumstantial evidence to support that belief.

And Trump will fan the flames of this movement since he is not a dickless neoliberal such as Al Gore. It does not help that Biden and company have already confirmed that they want to go back to the same sad identity and “wokeness” based neoliberal bullshit politics which pissed voters off and got Trump elected in 2016. Also, they have shown no willingness or possess the ability to pass large bailouts for average people. In other words, the massive economic and unemployment crisis caused by response to COVID-19 pandemic is going to get much worse- especially if they follow whatever bullshit “scientific” advice they are getting from their bunch of credentialed fuckwits.

I would not rule out even more unpleasant election-related “surprises in next two months, given that this is 2020.

What do you think? Comments?

The Dumpster Fire of 2020 Election is Eerily Reminiscent of 2016

October 20, 2020 12 comments

As I have written in more than one recent post, the 2020 election and its aftermath is almost guaranteed to be a dumpster fire of epic proportions. Then again, where else but in this “exceptional demockracy” do the two major political parties nominate a narcissistic used-car salesman to run against a guy in the early stages of senile dementia. While some features of this clusterfuck are unprecedented (at least in the previous 80-90 years), others are.. well.. strangely familiar. One could even make the case that the ongoing slow-motion train accident has more than a few similarities to its immediate predecessor, also known as the then unprecedented clusterfuck.. I mean electoral campaign and election.. of 2016. Here is why.

1] The first similarity between 2016 and 2020 comes down to the so-called “independent” and “objective” pre-election “polls”, or as I like to call them- sad and increasingly futile attempts to manipulate voter turnout for political ends. Some of you might remember that almost every single “poll” during the 2016 election cycle had Trump trailing Hillary by at least a few points. Moreover the purported “gap” between them supposedly increased to double digits after the release of those ‘Access Hollywood’ tapes in early October 2016. Even “exit polls” performed on election days showed Trump losing to Hillary in areas and states that he eventually won.

So why were all those polls, which had predicted previous electoral results, so wrong? Well.. I can think of many reasons such as people screening their calls, not telling the truth, bad data sampling and a ton of other innocent explanations. But given that many were more accurate in previous years, one has to consider the possibility that election “polls” are designed and performed to create and support a bullshit narrative rather than report the facts. And this would not be unprecedented. Consider the so-called “free” media in west. Have you noticed that almost all MSM outlets and presstitues are either grovelling stenographers for elites or manufactured opposition who are occasionally allowed to report on minor scandals.

Remember that WaterGate was a mouse fart compared to far bigger and consequential stories in that same time window such as the atrocious conduct of Vietnam War prior to Tet offensive, secret carpet-bombing bombing of Laos, support for ethnic genocide in Indonesia and much more. Remember when MSM and “respected” presstitutes kept telling you that Saddam Hussein had WMDs and connections with 9/11 hijackers? Remember when they also told you that Bin Laden had an amazing mountain lair like some villain in a James Bond movie. Or how about them telling you that the leftist leaders of Venezuela and Bolivia had no real popular support. I could go on but my point is that many people are increasingly unwilling to believe that make-believe bullshit narratives peddled by these incompetent but “credentialed” losers.

2] You might have heard Dementia Joe’ supporters tell you that they might win Texas and Georgia this time around. Funny thing.. Hillary and her supporters said something very similar in 2016. I distinctly remember them boasting how they were likely to win those two states because of “demographic changes” or some other bullshit. But wait.. Obama said something very similar to that in 2008. So how have things worked out thus far? Well.. in Texas, the percentage of non-voters, especially among the state’s Hispanic population, has remained stubbornly high. As far as Georgia is concerned, Democrats have been pushing that same bullshit dream since at least 2008, and yet every single election brings them no closer to actually winning that state. Could it happen this time? Well.. it is 2020, but I would not put down my money for making that bet.

The more interesting question is- why do Democrats think they will “eventually” win those states? Well.. according to them, the racially diverse younger generation is less conservative than their parents and are therefore somehow magically going to vote for Democrats. But why should that be the case? After all, Democrats have done nothing to address the many problems faced by younger generations such as huge student loans, high cost of housing, poorly paid and unstable jobs, nearly unaffordable quality childcare and a host of other systemic problems related to rise of neoliberalism in west. It is no secret that centrist and center-left political parties who are more obsessed with LGBTQ rights and proper pronouns rather than needs of working class have done poorly in elections over past decade.

3] Moving on.. remember how in 2016, every “respectable” MSM outlet and presstitute was constantly predicting that Trump was going to lose big and become a pariah in Republican party afterwards? So.. how has that “prediction” worked out? Need I remind you that Trump still has an over 90% approval rating among partisan Republican voters- and this after he screwed the response to COVID-19 pandemic. To be fair, so did the much more “respectable” leaders of every other major western nation. But this elite fetish for “respectability” is deeper and more comical than you might think. Consider the types of campaign ads run by Hillary in 2026. Almost 2/3 rds of them were about the poor character of Trump. How did that work out? Of course. Biden’s handlers have learnt nothing from 2016.

You might have noticed that most of their 2020 campaign ads are about how Trump is a uniquely bad character and how Biden is “normal” and “qualified”. It is as if they hired the same “campaign experts” hired by Hillary in 2016- and they very likely did. Very few of their ads give concrete and feasible sounding plans about how a Democratic administration would actually improve the lives of those who voted for them. I guess, they are being unintentionally honest- because they have zero intention of changing the status quo which led to that Orange Buffoon being elected in the first place. Isn’t that a brilliant plan? Just like their non-existent plan to fully reopen the economy, compensate tens of millions workers properly, save all those small business.. you know, actually get out of this self-inflicted hole.

4] You kept hearing “news” about how Trump’s 2020 campaign is falling apart, republican politician are deserting him and and how people in it are busy looking for alternate post-election gigs. Funny thing.. I remember MSM outlets pushing the exact same stories in 2016. It is if they cannot even recycle made-up stories without using the same scripts. Says a lot about their real levels of competence.. doesn’t it? But somehow these same presstitutes do not see eerie the similarity between lack of enthusiasm for Biden in 2020 to that for Hillary in 2016. Or the unusual similarities between the almost complete lack of public enthusiasm for Kamala Harris in 2020 to Tim Kaine in 2016. Isn’t it also interesting that both Biden and Hillary drastically cut down on their public appearances in final weeks of election because Democrats were so sure of their “inevitable triumph”.

There are many other odd and eerie similarities between the clusterfuck of 2020 campaign and election to their direct predecessors from 2016, but we are already past a thousand words. I might write a followup part, depending on the comments.

What do you think? Comments?

Recent Thoughts on Possible Outcomes for Upcoming 2020 Election

October 10, 2020 12 comments

As many of you know, over the past two months I have posted articles which bring up certain unsettling possibilities regarding outcome of 2020 election. These have included the possibility of Trump somehow cancelling or sabotaging conduct of that election, neither Trump nor Biden conceding afterwards and whether any “winner” will be seen as legitimate. If you have been following one of my twitter accounts, you also know that I have repeatedly expressed serious concerns whether this election and its aftermath will cause some serious and likely irreversible damage to the socio-economic-political status quo in this country. To be fair, it was looking pretty bad even before the COVID-19 clusterfuck- specifically the thoughtless and moronic response to the pandemic than the virus itself. But ya.. the highly ineffectual and disjointed response to COVID-19 pandemic has made an already shitty situation so much more worse.

With that in mind, let us talk about possible outcomes of the 2020 election, starting with the most obvious.. and ya, none of them are good.

1] At this point, barring a miracle of some sort, it is almost certain that the “results” of 2020 election will be litigated to a level we have never seen. The 2020 primaries have already given us a preview of how chaotic and contentious elections with heavy percentage of ‘mail in’ ballots can go.. and most of those clusterfucks occurred in so-called ‘blue’ states. Given that Trump and Republicans are already trying very hard to reduce and reject votes from areas in ‘swing’ states with large number of loyal Democrat voters, you can be assured that it will get rather ugly after November 3. But wait.. it could get worse as Democrats are also going to try to disqualify mail-in ballots from predominantly Republican areas in those ‘swing’ states. Now add in the possibility.. certainty.. that Trump calls upon his armed constituency of voters in those states to stop ‘those Democrats from stealing the election’. FYI- I am not the only person who thinks this chain of events could lead to some.. interesting outcomes.

2] Now let us talk about a much less discussed. but very realistic possibility which should give nightmares to Democrats- if they actually wanted to win. You might have noticed that many recent “polls” by MSM outlets and establishment institutions are giving Dementia Joe a 10.. 15.. or even 16 % lead over the Tangerine Idiot. Of course, once you look at their methods, specifically the percentages of each voter pool they sampled as well as Biden never breaking past 52% in most of these “polls”, it becomes obvious that they serve the same purpose as those released by these same outlets a couple of weeks before November 8, 2016. It is about creating a fake narrative and trying to suppress voter turnout for Trump- which they tried unsuccessfully four years ago. But Democrats and their media butt-boys do not want to learn anything from their failures of 2016. Having said that, this strategy is far more dangerous in 2020 than in 2016, and here is why.

A lot of people who claim to support Dementia Joe and promise to vote for him election.. are what we might call.. very soft supporters who have no enthusiasm for their candidate. To put it bluntly, if they are convinced or have an excuse to not vote for Dementia Joe, it is very likely that many of them might not do so. Publishing fake polls which show Biden “winning” by 10-16% is actually the perfect way for Democrats to suppress turnout of their own base. I can bet you that Dementia Joe is going to receive far fewer votes from young Black, Hispanics and even educated white supporters than he might otherwise simply because these fake “polls” provide them an excuse to not vote for him. In contrast, Trump’s supporters are far more enthusiastic and actually believe they have something to lose if Trump loses election. Just like 2016, these fake polls generated by idiot Democrat apparatchiks are going to drive up his turnout of both mail-in as well in-person voters.

3] It is no secret that nominating a guy with obvious dementia and neoliberal policies has not exactly electrified the younger set of voters. As some of you might recall, Democrats have long had this silly idea about how the changing racial and educational profile of the younger bunch of voters is going to magically give them a permanent majority. As you also might know, this belief hasn’t worked for the past 12 years.. which hasn’t stopped Democrats from believing in it even more fervently. The 2020 election might deal this belief a particularly cruel blow. It is no secret that the ill-advised shutdowns in response to COVID-19 pandemic have resulted in levels of unemployment beyond anything we have seen since early 1930s- an we are talking about real levels of unempleoyment, which far exceed what you see in government statistics. Anyway.. the groups which have been most hurt by this shutdown are the young (under-40s) with the profile that Democrats imagine will give endless electoral victories.

Except that it is now far less likely to occur and here is why.. You might have noticed that Democrats are very pro-lockowns, especially of the endless variety, without having the ability or willingness to adequately compensate the victims. Between endlessly repeating mindless drivel such as “believe the science”, “believe the experts” and not having a realistic plan for going back to normal, they have achieved what Republicans could have only dreamed. I am referring to the simple, if inconvenient fact, that they have made voting Republican (or not voting Democrat) the only realistic choice of those who want to open up the economy as soon as possible. Way to go.. dumbfucks! It does not help that Biden has especially poor support among the under-40 segment of Black and Hispanic voters. The points mentioned in 2] and 3] are why I think the race will far closer than many Democrats want to believe.

4] When there is is a close electoral race in a highly polarized political environment such as the one we live in today, things can go bad- and this before we factor Trump in the equation. Rest assured that Trump and Republicans are going to go to unprecedented levels of cheating to win this election. What makes the Trump factor so chaotic is that it is entirely within bounds of possibility that his diehard supporters who number in tens of millions and are armed will likely support him to levels unimaginable for other Republican candidates. In other words, I would be so not surprised if we start seeing armed groups clash with less armed groups all over country in aftermath of election. While I do not foresee a full-blown civil war, large disturbances and chronic armed clashes of the type seen in Ukraine, Pakistan etc are entirely within the realms of possibility.

Let me know what you think. I have some even more dire scenarios for the weeks leading to election and in its immediate aftermath- and all of them are fairly plausible.

What do you think? Comments?

Quick Thoughts on Short-Term Effects of Trump Catching COVID-19

October 3, 2020 19 comments

As readers know, 2020 has been a most unusual year full of all sorts of surprises. Who could have foreseen the decision by establishment Democrats to close ranks behind a frail old man with senile dementia to run against the orange idiot? Of course, not all events are unexpected even if many of their consequences might be hard to foresee. Trump catching COVID-19 is an excellent example of something which was totally predictable but whose consequences are much harder to predict. I had expected him to catch it months ago, especially given his unwillingness to hide in the basement like Dementia Joe. So it was not surprising when Trump announced yesterday that he had tested positive for COVID-19. With that on mind, let us talk about potential consequences.

1] As many of you have heard, Trump has received an infusion (8g) of two monoclonal antibiotics (REGN-COV2) manufactured by Regeneron. While this drug is currently in clinical trials, there is enough evidence that it causes a significant reduction of virus levels in body fluids. Since Trump received this drug before progressing onto the later and more serious inflammatory symptoms, it will very likely benefit him. He is also receiving a 5 day course of Remdesivir (200mg on day 1 and 100 mg on day2-5). Once again, since he received it before progressing onto inflammatory symptoms, it will benefit him far more than those who receive it after being quite ill for a number of days. While this might not cheer up MikeCA, Trump is very likely to survive this illness and be back in the White House sometime next week- ready to berate Dementia Joe again.

2] While Joe Biden had a negative COVID-19 test yesterday, this is likely to change over next few days since there is usually a 3-6 day period between infection and producing enough viruses to be detected by PCR-based tests. Since it is almost certain that Trump was in asymptomatic, but potentially infectious, stage when he shared the stage with Biden at the first debate. It does not help that more than a few of Trump’s entourage at that debate were also infectious. Did I also mention that normal cloth masks cannot stop COVID-19. Unlike Trump whose is in otherwise OK health for a 74-year old man, Biden is a very frail 78-year old in early stages of senile dementia. To make a long story short, if Biden gets COVID-19 his prognosis will be far worse than Trump. Biden might end up where many liberals and progressives are praying for Trump to end up.

3] While many talking-heads on corporate news outlet and twitter pundits are trying to demean Trump by spreading rumors and demanding an ever increasing amount of personal information about his medical status, this strategy is likely to backfire since he is now increasingly an object of sympathy as he now has something in common with an increasing number of people in this country. Many still remember how all these MSM cocksuckers kept on hyping “scandal” after “scandal” for the past four years. It is like the boy who cried wolf.. after enough false calls, the person making them loses credibility. Long story short, it is not going to hurt his poll numbers and will likely increase them as well as embolden his more determined (and armed) supporters. And as mentioned above, Biden isn’t out of the COVID-19 woods yet.

4] The case for Trump being an incompetent moron who does not deserve re-election could have been far stronger IF Democrats had presented a significantly better economic vision of future, demonstrated ability to fulfill at least some of their previous promises and selected a presidential candidate who did not have senile dementia. Instead these paid losers have decided to focus on bullshit which only appeals to white upper-middle class types such as “respectability”, bullshit about the “green new deal”, gobblygook on “extending” Obamacare, talk about banning semi-automatic guns and other “woke” cultural bullshit that nobody who does not live in certain coastal zipcodes cares about. People such as MikeCA are partisan democrats because it is about social class rather than actual belief in anything he pretends to care about.

5] Let me now repeat something which needs to repeated as long as people such as MikeCA pretend to be appalled by Trump. The orange buffoon, you see, is the result of everything which has been going wrong in this country for past four decades.. and let us not pretend that this decision was not bipartisan. Trump, or someone similar to him, was as inevitable in our era as Hitler in post-1930 Germany or Mussolini in post-WW1 Italy. People in this country have stopped believing that politicians are anything but greedy, cynical, corrupt assholes who are increasingly disconnected from the people who vote them into power. Trying to portray Trump as “uniquely bad” because he does brazenly what other politicians do more surreptitiously is not a recipe for defeating Trump. Then again.. perhaps, Democrats don’t want to defeat Trump, since they are fake opposition paid by same people as Republicans.

In summary, based on everything we know to date, Trump is very unlikely to die or even suffer prolonged hospitalization due to COVID-19. The same cannot be said about Biden, especially in next few days. The attempts by MSM outlets and Twitter pundits to defame and enjoy Trump getting sick with COVID-19 is likely to backfire on them and Democrats.

What do you think? Comments?

Will “Winner” of 2020 Presidential Election be Seen as Legitimate?

September 13, 2020 8 comments

As many of you know, 2020 has been a very interesting year. But what if I told you that it could get even more.. “interesting”. As some of you might remember, about two weeks ago I wrote a post about what might occur in case neither Trump nor Biden concedes after the 2020 election. I also wrote a post about the lack of realistic plans by Democrats if the election has uncertain or disputed results. Then there is my recent series about how the american elites, of both political parties, have lost touch with reality. Let us take all those thought experiments to the next step. Have you ever wondered what will occur if “winner” of 2020 election, assuming there is one, will be seen as legitimate. Now some of you, such as MikeCA, might say that the situation will resolve itself like it did in aftermath of the infamous 2000 election. I am not be sure about such a benign outcome and here are a few reasons for that belief.

1] People often forget that the America of 2000 was a very different place from the one we live in today. Sure.. this might not be evident by looking at photographs of downtown skylines, suburbs or even the underwear styles and pubic hair grooming of young women- we might as well be in a different country. 2000 was the peak of public acceptance of neoliberalism. That election had one of the lowest electoral turnouts in this country since WW2, and remember that the 90s had the lowest average turnout since 1940s. It also occurred at the peak of prosperity and well-being that occurred in later half of 1990s. All of this is a long winded way of saying the country was far less politically polarized, the mood was far more optimistic and people were generally much better off during at that time than they are in 2020. This is why most people did not care about GW Bush stealing the election from a lackluster neoliberal and conservative democrat such as Al Gore.

Let me remind you that Clinton42 won states in both 1992 and 1996 (LA, TN, WV, KY, AR, AZ, GA etc) which Democrats have not won for almost two decades. My point, once again, is that the public mood and degree of political polarization in late-1990s was very different from what we have today. Today things are.. much weirder than in 2000, and not in a good way. If the Bush vs Gore farce had occurred in the current political environment we would have major and prolonged riots in many cities- much worse than what we saw in past few months. And we are still talking about conventional mediocre political candidates with zero charisma or dedicated followers. In other words, a repeat of even the 2000 scenario with Trump vs Biden would make the craziness we saw in past few months look tame in comparison.

2] Let us move on the next question, namely whether partisan Republican voters will accept a “win” in a tight contest by Biden- especially if it is almost exclusively built on mail-in ballots? This is not a trivial question, since that scenario is far more likely than anybody wants to admit. What happens if Trump “wins” on election night and appears to be in the lead for a few days only to fall behind Dementia Joe after more mail-in ballots are suddenly discovered in certain swing states? Do you think Trump supporters (especially the ones with guns) are going to take this scenario lying down- especially given the unusually high levels of political polarization on top of all the disruption caused by COVID-19 shutdowns? Do you really think there won’t be street fights all over the country between Democrat supporters and armed MAGA-types? Do people such as MikeCA comprehend the significance and full consequences of this type of civil strife?

And it gets worse. Let us assume, for a moment, that Dementia Joe ends up being declared the “winner”. What are his plans to get the economy back in gear after all the job losses caused by COVID-19 shutdown? Are Democrats stupid enough to think that they can do a 180 and open everything within next week or month after inauguration? Do they think people will forget how much they were in favor of perpetual lockdowns, endless testing and all that other bullshit? Do they have the willingness and ability to pass trillions of dollars in assistance to make the 99% whole again? Do they have any plans for compensating the millions of small business which have either closed down or will do so soon? Do they have any plans to govern other than passing more “gun control” laws and endlessly talking about a “return to normality and civility”? And do they think there will be no resistance from armed MAGA fanatics?

3] Things don’t look better if Trump wins, either. For starters, he is almost guaranteed to lose the popular vote, even if he wins the electoral college. What happens if his “wins” in swing states are due to massive rejections and legal challenges of mail-in ballots? Do you think they will see him as a legitimate president, especially if he “wins” the electoral college under such circumstances? To be fair, many never saw him as a legitimate president in first place- even if they grudgingly accepted his electoral college victory in 2016. What happens if even that becomes controversial in 2020? What happens if Trump is declared as the “winner” under very shady conditions? What recourse do Democrats have? Will there be even more street protest, widespread and prolonged rioting, possible armed encounters between them and armed MAGA types? What about all those people who have become chronically unemployed or lost their small businesses due to COVID-19 shutdowns? Whose side will they take under such conditions?

What happens if nothing improves for people whose livelihood has been destroyed by COVID-19 shutdowns after Trump’s “victory”? Will that cause even more civic unrest and prolonged rioting? What happens if we start seeing occasional mass shootings at protests and clashes between protesters from different factions? What happens if Democratic-governed states decide to not open schools and universities in Winter 2021 out of spite after losing the election? Do you realize how unpredictable things can get with tens of millions of desperate,poor and unemployed people in this country right now- a statistic which is unlikely to change in near future. Now add in the risk of Trump starting a disastrous war with Iran or Venezuela just before the election or doing some other stupid shit to improve his poll numbers before election day?

In summary, 2020 can get far more ‘interesting’ than it has been so far- and this is not a good thing, to put it mildly.

What do you think? Comments?

What Happens if Neither Trump or Biden Concede the 2020 Election?

September 2, 2020 10 comments

In a previous post, I asked the question – do Democrats have a plan if election has an uncertain or disputed result? In that post, I also talked about a few scenarios including one where different political factions in swing states certify two different set of result certifications and vote counting in many states takes more than a few days. Since something like this has not occurred in living memory, especially in a highly polarized political environment, it is entirely possible that neither Trump or Biden will concede defeat leading to a very ‘interesting’ scenario where two people are claiming to have won the electoral college and thus the presidency. Turns out that I am not the only one who is seriously considering this possibility. See attached clip containing a discussion about how some of these things might go down.

The summary is that it is very likely for Trump to lead by a large margin of votes on election night, with said lead being slowly eroded and overcome once mail-in ballots are counted. But here is my question- will they be counted? What is there to stop Trump from declaring victory based on election night results and alleging massive mail-in ballot fraud? We know that his core base, which is enthusiastic and large (about 40% of voters) will go along with whatever he says. Now democrats such as MikeCA might say that their party has many high-powered lawyers, to which my counter is that Trump supporters have far more guns and willingness to wield them. It is very easy to imagine a scenario where a population that has grown to hate the COVID-19 shutdowns etc might just decide to take matters in their own hand, especially if Trump goads them on. In fact, they might do it even if Trump does not explicitly call for such action.

So what happens if neither Trump or Biden win decisively on election night and tons of mail-in ballots have yet to be counted? Or what if Trump wins decisively on election night but there are still many uncounted mail-in ballots? What happens if there are dozens or ,maybe, hundreds of parades by pro-Trump armed militias that converge on vote counting or storage locations? Do you think the local police forces will intervene? What happens if more than a few vote counting locations are set on fire or otherwise trashed by armed mobs of Trump supporters? What if they are met by mobs of Democratic party supporters? Remember that this is far more likely to occur in swing states such as FL, WI, MI ec than ‘blue states’ such as CA, NY or MA. At what point will either side relent and accept that they have lost? Or will they never admit? Will the person who ultimately takes office after inauguration day 2021 be seen as the legitimate president?

And we are not even talking about potential outbreaks of violence and intimidation by either side on and before election day. If you think that 2020 has been an exceptional year so far, it might be about to get a whole lot more ‘interesting’.

What do you think? Comments?

Do Democrats Have a Plan if Election Has Uncertain or Disputed Result?

August 30, 2020 15 comments

I was originally going to post the first part of a new series on why all the much touted “advances” in computer technology within past 25 years (hardware and software) have either not improved quality of life or actually made things worse. But due to a combination of laziness and need to fix some parts of that post, I decided to write about a fairly easy, but still important, topic. About two months ago, I wrote something about whether Democrats had a contingency plan if Trump cancelled the 2020 election. That post was inspired by Trump’s fall in relative popularity at that time combined with resurgence in COVID-19 cases. Since then Trump’s popularity seems to be increasing and the “second wave” of COVID-19 cases seems to have only a fraction of mortality as first wave. In other words, it now appears that the presidential race will be far closer than many establishment Democrats and their fanboys (such as MikeCA) had expected.

As you might also remember, in that post, I had also raised the possibility of Republicans trying to suppress voting and reduce turnout from areas with large democratic party vote-banks. Such vote suppression efforts can take various forms like shorter windows for advance voting, voter ID bullshit, reduction in number of polling centers, delays in processing postal ballots and disputing their validity. Let us also assume that Republicans will go full tilt and partially succeed in some ‘swing’ states. So, do establishment Democrats have a strategy, infrastructure and personal to handle such problems? Some of you might think, that they could be successful at defeating such efforts by Republicans. I don’t think so, and here is why.. While Democratic party could counter such efforts in a few populous states such as CA, WA, NY, NJ, MA and even in states such as NV and CO the reality is that Democratic party lacks the infrastructure and motivated personnel to do the same in swing states such as FL, MI, OH, PA, WI, MN, IA or even potential ones such as TX.

In other words, unless Dementia Joe maintains a persistent and large margin over Orange Troll from now till election day in ALL those swing states, it is very likely that Trump will carry most or all of them- thanks in no small part to Republican shenanigans. And this brings us to some very interesting possibilities. The least likely, but not totally improbable, one in 2020 concerns the possibility that both Dementia Joe and Orange Troll end up with 269 electoral college votes. FYI, 269 * 2 = 538. Does anybody here think that Trump will step down from office if we end up with a 269-269 EC vote scenario? On Twitter, many idiots aka rich coastal LIEbrals think that getting Trump to step down is as easy as the secret service agents asking him to step down. Let us, for a second, ignore the full implications of what they are dreaming about.. but ask yourself, is it even realistic.. especially if there are still tons of election-related lawsuits still going on in multiple states by inauguration day in January 2021?

And it gets worse.. what if there is a dramatic uptick in violent and lethal confrontations between AntiFa types and right-wing armed vigilantes of the type we saw in Kenosha and Portland within last few days? What happens if armed vigilantes target voting stations during early voting or on election day? Don’t believe it can’t happen in USA? Maybe.. that was the case in pre-2016 era, but it is certainly no longer true.. especially in the highly polarized and nihilistic socio-political environment of late-2020. There are too many angry, unhappy, tired, desperate people without any good prospects for future who will become enthusiastic foot-soldiers for extremist political movement at either end of political spectrum. Remember that all of this has occurred before during 1920s and early-1930s in aftermath of WW1 and the Great Depression. I have always maintained that the socio-economic dislocation caused by lockdowns etc to supposedly contain COVID-19 in combination with previous dismal economic trends seen in dying empires have the potential to cause a lot of “unforeseen consequences”.

But wait.. there is more. Given the ongoing intentional degradation of postal services + unusually high rate of postal ballot rejection and “misplacement” we have seen in recent primaries, what are the chances that this sort of bullshit won’t occur on a much larger scale during presidential election? But isn’t this identical to the electoral shenanigans which I predict Republicans will try to pull off this autumn? Well.. not quite, because intentionally delaying tabulation and certification of votes is not the same thing as preventing them from being cast in the first place. So why would it matter? Well.. because in a very close result in ‘swing’ states, we might end up two or more sets of conflicting certifications as to who won the state in question. So it is perfectly possible for the state of Wisconsin, as an example, to issue two sets of conflicting certifications- each by one set of known partisan representatives or officials. So.. do Democrats have a plan for the eventuality that more than one swing state might issue conflicting certifications of electoral tabulation?

More importantly, how long do these credentialed dummies think that people will wait for a clear electoral result before they start deciding the victor by themselves. Do they think that people will wait for a few days.. maybe a week? What about a few weeks? What happens if there are no unequivocal results as to who won election by Inauguration Day 2021? Are Democrats delusional enough to believe that Trump will concede in any situation where he hasn’t been very soundly defeated in the election? If you do.. I have a bridge to sell. Do they realize how bad the economic situation (especially job loss and unemployment benefits) could become between Election and Inauguration Day? Do they have any idea how bad this clusterfuck could become? I am sure that MikeCA will chime in at any moment to tell us how none of this come to pass and how Biden has a big and unbeatable lead over Trump. Just like 2016.. right?

What do you think? Comments?

Do Democrats Have a Contingency Plan if Trump Cancels 2020 Election?

June 26, 2020 20 comments

As many of you know, I have a tendency to think about scenarios which initially appear unlikely but often come to pass later. Today, I am going to talk about the possibility of Trump cancelling the 2020 election or otherwise rigging it in a very blatant manner. I also have a feeling that our resident partisan democrat aka MikeCA is going to have something to say about this in comment section. FYI- I first explicitly considered this possibility in Mid-April but have kept quiet about it until now because, unlike corporate media presstitues, I prefer to make speculations which are solidly grounded in reality rather than wild fantasy.

So here are a few, and not mutually exclusive, scenarios in which Trump either cancels the 2010 election on blatantly rigs it..

1] Trump cancelling the 2020 election is the most dramatic scenario. While anything is possible in 2020, I would consider this to be the least likely one. For starters, Trump is too full of himself and stupid to be any good at subverting democratic processes, a fact that MikeCA still hasn’t grasped. But if he were to do it, this is how he would do it.. Imagine a second or third wave of COVID-19 and Influenza in the fall causes another round of shutdowns. A combination of massive increase in unemployment rates and stingy financial assistance by government forments widespread social unrest. BLM type protests intensify into street battles all across the country between leftists and right-wingers leading to many people start expressing concerns about their safety on election day. And yes.. everything I have mentioned here could occur by late-September.

Under these circumstances, Trump could make a plausible case that the 2020 election has to be postponed for a few months. Some of you might mumble something about the constitution, but face it.. if the situation mentioned above came to pass it would be very hard to make the counter case- namely that free and fair election can be held on “the Tuesday next after the first Monday in the month of November” or “the first Tuesday after November 1”. While democrats have demonstrated that they can organize a million-woman ‘pussy hat’ march, they have also shown themselves to be incapable (or unwilling) to wield any real power. In other words, Trump has seen them repeatedly fold like a cheap suit under the slightest pressure and his supporters have guns while LIEbrals don’t. So.. ya, he could get away with it.

2] A second possibility is that Trump and the republicans could use such a scenario to truncate the electoral process. This one is much more likely because republicans have already shown themselves to be capable of doing it on smaller scale. I am sure some of you might have heard about the various shenanigans being pulled by Republicans in southern states after key parts of the voting rights acts were invalidated by the Supreme Court in 2013. You might also be aware of attempts to suppress votes by requiring complex ID requirements in Wisconsin, a couple other mid-western States (and also Texas?). There is also the issue of republicans legislating to reduce the number of days and places for early voting, challenging mail-in ballots and a host of other “legalistic tricks” to suppress the vote. It is perfectly rational to assume that these tactics will go into overdrive and reach unprecedented levels during the 2020 election.

I could write a lot more on this particular sub-topic, but I do not want to bore you and lets be realistic- this is almost certain to occur. Keep you eye on how states handle the issue of mail-in ballots accessibility subsequent to the COVID-19 crisis and the almost inevitable and prolonged legal challenges. So, let us move on to the 3rd scenario- which is a sequel to the 2nd one.

3] Trump could contest the electoral results after the election is over. If more than the usual number of people vote by mail-in ballots, it is inevitable that any concrete results (especially in battleground states) could take at least 2-3 weeks to be finalized with any degree of confidence. Meanwhile Trump could declare victory on election night or the day after and create a popular narrative that he had won the electoral college. MikeCA might say.. but, 50% of country won’t believe him. My response is the other 50% will, and that is the problem. The closest we came to such a scenario was in 2000, where Al Gore won popular vote and almost certainly the electoral college but was unable to find the popular support to force his case. MikeCA might say that the Supreme Court stole the election. Here is my reply.. if there were even a hundred thousand people burning down parts of DC in support of Al Gore, the Supreme Court would have chosen differently- if only to ensure their own safety.

The thing is.. given the number of CONservative judges appointed by Trump since assuming office, it might be an even harder task to litigate this matter in a speedy and satisfactory manner. We then end up in a nightmare scenario where Trump wins the electoral college by initial vote count (first 2-3 days), declares victory, subsequent counting of mail-in ballots show a Biden win leading to Trump and republicans contesting validity of mail-in ballots at various levels. This leads to prolonged litigation and fiascoes that make the ‘hanging chad’ controversy of 2000 seem almost quaint by comparison. Then Trump asks his supporters to demonstrate in Washington DC and other cities across country, causing clashes and riots with antifa types, leading to even more civil unrest- especially if real unemployment rates remain above 20-25% at that time. It does not take a rocket scientist to figure out whoever emerges from his confrontation will not be seen as legitimate by one half of the country. It will be an epic shitshow to round up an epic year.

So here is my question to MikeCA and other comfortable coastal partisan democrats- Do you, or your party, for have a feasible contingency plan (or two) to prevent or mitigate these scenarios. And don’t tell that this will be dealt through the legal system etc.. because we know, based on past occurrences, that the legal system is not behind people such as yourself. So what are your plans? Another few ineffectual million-women ‘pussy hat’ marches? More toothless protests on highways? More scolding articles in the NYT, WP or on NPR? More chest beating by Chris Cuomo and Rachel Maddow? More snarky late-night jokes by Stephen Colbert? Any ideas about how confrontations between Trump supporting hicks with guns and anti-gun leftists will end? Also, how many people will actually fight for Dementia Joe to assume office in the aftermath of a contested election? These are serious questions about very consequential events whose impact will last much longer than four years of either clown- Trump or Biden.

What do you think? Comments?

Thoughts on Recent Developments in the 2020 Democratic Primaries: 3

March 3, 2020 15 comments

In the previous post of this series, I promised to write about how the results of South Carolina’s democrat primary would be used by the party establishment to try and push the candidacy of an old guy with vascular dementia aka Joe Biden. Yes, you heard that right- it is my opinion that Joe Biden displays symptoms consistent with cerebrovascular dementia. In case you didn’t know, this is a sub-type of senile dementia in which neuronal dysfunction and death is largely caused by micro- and macro- vascular dysfunction in the brain, rather than pathological changes associated with Alzheimer’s Disease. It should be noted that most patients with senile dementia have some combination of cerebrovascular dysfunction and pathological changes seen in Alzheimer’s disease. So what makes me think that Joe Biden’s obvious dementia is of the vascular type?

Well.. due to his medical history. Patients with the more classical version of Alzheimer’s tend to be female and in their late 70s or older. Vascular dementia type pathology, on the other hand, is more common in men- especially those with a history of previous vascular dysfunction, a history of previous traumatic brain injury or prior neurosurgery. As some of you might know, Biden had a couple of surgeries in the late 1980s to repair two particularly nasty aneurysms in his brain. While those surgeries saved his life, it should be noted that somebody with multiple aneurysms (even after repair) is far more likely to develop other cerebrovascular issues later on in their life than somebody who never had them. To quickly summarize, Biden rapid and obvious cognitive decline since 2012-2015 is most likely the result of (predominantly) vascular dementia.

But why does this matter and what does it have to do with future of democratic primary? As it turns out a lot. Let me explain. See.. Biden has gone down in the polls since his entry into the race for two main reasons. Firstly, the Bernie’s campaign cleverly dug up his long record of support for cuts to Social Security and Medicare. But even more importantly, because Biden’s staff kept his media or public appearances to a bare minimum because they rightly understood that he was displaying too many symptoms of dementia for potential voters to look the other way. This is also why rich donors were willing to put far more money behind other turncoat candidates such as McKinsey Buttboy and Lying Liz. This is why DNC’s original plan to deny Bernie the nomination- which was based on flooding the field with many candidates who were expected to take votes away from Bernie- but not Biden backfired, spectacularly.

To be fair, Bloomberg’s unanticipated entry into the race and his spending over 500 million on advertising to project himself as the centrist alternative was the killer blow for Biden- which is ironic since Bloomberg was trying to stop Bernie, not Biden. I could write multiple posts on why McKinsey Buttboy and Amy Binderthrower got steamrolled in the primaries, but they are no longer relevant. The very short version is that the number of partisan democrats who want 90s-style centrists is declining as more babyboomers keep dying. You might have seen the grifting piece of shit aka Barack Obama was able to get Buttboy and Binderthrower to drop out yesterday and endorse Biden. As I have written in the past Obama is the political equivalent of Bill Cosby and his presidency was a disaster for establishment democrats, which makes their continued worship of him even more pathetic. I am sure MikeCA will disagree with this assessment.

Since we cannot change the past, so let us talk about the future- specifically my predictions about how the democratic primary will evolve. FYI- I am not concerned about the results of Super Tuesday voting since Obama’s last minute scam does not change the overall direction of this contest. Having said that it changes something further down the line. Let me explain..

1] Any person who is not an establishment democrat or partisan worshiper (MikeCA?) will tell you that the party has experienced a pretty steep decline in many parts of the country within the past decade. To be fair it has been on a generally downward path for the past twenty years, but it is undeniable that this slow-motion collapse sped up after Obama took office in early-2009. But why? Well.. the short answer is that Obama got elected by pretending to a populist reformer, but ended up continuing and intensifying neoliberal policies once in office. There is a reason why it took the incredible ineptitude of Trump for democrats, in 2018, to even partially reverse their decade-long streak of losses. However, thus far, no political figure of any fame has openly said that Obama was a shitty president and the proximal cause of Trump’s rise.

Even Bernie Sanders, whose private critique of Obama is well known, has so far not criticized the later openly. However the dumb meddling that Obama pulled off yesterday is almost certain to make Bernie’s campaign reconsider their previous reticence to criticize him. This is especially likely since they now understand that older black voters in the south are not going to vote for a Jew under any condition. Also, after Super Tuesday there are no big states full of older black voters coming up for some time- if at all. So expect the Bernie campaign, especially surrogates to start going after the many problematic legacies of Obama’s presidency. While Bernie would have had to do this at a later stage anyway, Obama’s meddling in the primary removes the one reason they had not done so till now.

2] While Lying Liz has pretended to be a progressive, nobody with half-a-brain and even a brief overview of her career believed that lie. However, Bernie foolishly refrained from criticizing her once the election campaign began. Given her actions since then, especially in the past month- I am guessing that many in his campaign were eager to tear her a new one. Now that she has publicly admitted her role as a DNC-appointed spoiler for progressive voters- expect the Bernie campaign to go after her. And they will have to, because there is no realistic option to that course of action. Of course, Bernie could be stupid (or cynical) enough to not challenge her bullshit- but realistically we are all going to gothere, whether he likes it or not.

3] Bernie has also refrained from any attacks on Joe Biden’s cognitive ability or talking about how the Biden family enriched themselves because of the various political offices he held. While this was kinda acceptable when Biden was slowly sinking in the polls and the centrist vote was split, they just cannot afford to do this now. While it is far more likely that most of the attacking on these issues will be done by Bernie surrogates, sooner or later things will reach a point when Biden’s obvious dementia will be an issue for open public discussion. Once again, even if Bernie does not want to there- he has no recourse. More importantly, his second-order surrogates are already going after Biden’s cognitive status. And you can bet that Trump is going to push those two narratives on a massive scale, even if Bernie does not. One way or the other, both issues will enter the domain of political campaigning in a big way. The general direction, as they say, is set.

It is of course possible that Bernie does not do any of this and ends up losing like he did in 2016. However doing so in 2020 carries very different implications from doing it four years ago. In the first campaign, he was the relatively unknown newcomer who was talking about ideas that were popular but almost never mentioned by other politicians. 2020 is likely the last time he will run for the nomination and presidency. To put it another way, if he is not seen as putting everything in this campaign, he will lose the following he has built and have no legacy- at least of the type he seems to crave. He has no option but to go on the offensive now..

I am curious to see how Bloomberg performs in the Super Tuesday states today. Will he keep sucking votes from Biden? Will he stay in the race after tomorrow. Who knows? Will write about my analysis of today’s primaries in the next part.

What do you think? Comments?

Why Do Certain Ethno-Cultural Groups Have Bad Political Instincts?

July 29, 2019 14 comments

As regular readers know, in the past I have written more than a few posts about certain odd and self-damaging patterns of behavior exhibited by blacks in USA. To be very clear, these patterns are very different from those conjured up by racist white losers of all ideological persuasions. For example, it is my opinion that excessive religiosity among black community and a strong desire to attain respectability and “acceptance” from whites has greatly hurt their ability to attain real legal equality. Then there is the issue of the black leadership class who still enjoy considerable support among black people even though they haven’t done shit all to improve the lives of their most enthusiastic supporters. We also cannot forget that most black people (especially from the older generation) are indifferent to the murders of black men by police.

The question, then, is as follows: why have all of the post-WW2 civil rights movements achieved so little? Now, I am sure that some of you might counter that by pointing out that mob lynching has ceased to exist since the 1950s or that Barack Obama was elected president, twice. While I certainly don’t deny that there have been some improvements in the area of racial equality since the 1950s, most of them occurred in the 1960s and early 1970s. In other words, systemic racism in USA has not diminished much beyond 1974. Don’t believe me? Look at the massive increase in mass incarceration (predominantly of black men) since the early 1980s, but especially during the 1990s and 2000s. What about the continued and abject neglect of black-majority areas within large cities, often run by democrats.. many of whom are also black.

Policies such as ‘stop and frisk’ in NYC have always targeted black men, despite that city being a democratic party stronghold. Similar policies and much worse was implemented in LA during the 1980s and 1990s, which ultimately led to LA riots and the OJ Simpson verdict. Are you starting to see what I am getting at.. the democratic party has not delivered to the one group of voters who are its strongest supporters. To be clear, I am not suggesting a Blexit or some bullshit spouted by black CONservative puppets. To make matters worse, the democratic party and its leaders have done more than just ignoring the demands of their black supporters. As some might remember, most of the laws which caused the massive spike in mass incarceration during the 1990s were passed by a democratic president and co-written by democrats such as Joe Biden.

And things didn’t get much better after Obama was elected in late-2008. For starters, he was the literal embodiment of neoliberal black respectability politics. His administration went out its way to preferentially screw over black homeowners who were underwater on their mortgages. Though he lived in Chicago for many years prior to becoming president, Obama did not even bother to address issues such as police brutality towards black men until cheap smartphones and social media made it to impossible to ignore. He belittled concerns of predominantly black cities such as Flint, Michigan, but always had tons of time for carefully scripted photo-ops with rich black celebrities and a few token blacks. And even after leaving office, he can’t seem to stop being the political version of Bill Cosby. And yet, he allegedly still has extremely high approval ratings among blacks, especially the older ones. So, what is going on?

Why does a black president who did as much for blacks as Reagan did for gays dying of AIDS manage to still enjoy this degree of popularity among blacks? Do you think a closeted president who ignored gays in the 1980s like Reagan did, be similarly forgiven let alone be celebrated by the gay community? Even though the Indian community in USA is not known for high levels of self-respect, the names of people such as Nikki Haley and Booby Jindal are usually uttered with contempt, nor praise or forgiveness. Have you seen Arab Muslims celebrate co-ethnics who turn traitors against their community? And yet, Obama enjoys record high approval among the black community- especially those born before 1970. How exactly does a guy who did less than nothing for the community which he pretends to represent still be celebrated by that community.

His ex-VP, Joe Biden is the lead choice for black voters in the ongoing democratic primary in spite of being the driving force behind legislation such as the 1994 crime bill, 1996 welfare reform bill, 2005 bankruptcy bill and many others which have destroyed the lives of millions of black people. Do you think holocaust survivors would vote for a concentration camp commandant? Seriously.. what the fuck is going on? Do older black people have such low standards for their leaders that they would gladly vote for somebody promises to kick them less often than the other one? This attitude is even more remarkable once you realize that democratic party is incapable of winning a national election without their vote. What is stopping black people in USA from demanding their rightful share in the aftermath of an electoral victory by the democratic party?

What do you think? Comments?

Democrat Attempts to Impeach Trump Will Help Him Get Re-Elected

June 18, 2019 4 comments

Today, I came across a couple of news items that increase the likelihood of Trump winning the 2020 presidential election. The first was a ‘leaked’ poll which allegedly showed that more than a few democrats could defeat Trump. The second was a speech by Biden in which he used this poll to promise that he would beat Trump, not only in mid-western states which Hillary lost in 2016 but also, in others such as Georgia, Texas and South Carolina. So why do I think that these two apparently positive bits of news for democrats are harbingers of a likely Trump victory in 2020? Well.. because I remember 2016, or more precisely how polls done as late at October of that year strongly suggested Hillary would won states such as Georgia and South Carolina. We all know how that turned out. But why do I think 2020 could be like 2016?

Let me start by restating the obvious. Establishment democrats haven’t learnt anything from their defeat in the 2016 election. Even worse, they seem to to have interpreted their meager gains in the 2018 election as evidence of an electorate which now hates Trump, rather than a reaction to his comically inept attempts at destroying Obamacare in addition to being unable to deliver on his election promises about reversing outsourcing etc. They seem to believe that promising a return to “norms”, throwing a bit more money at Obamacare and making some noises about education and job training will guarantee a win in 2020. In other words, they are still desperately clinging to the idea that Trump is an aberration and things will magically go back to the way ‘they used to be’ before the fateful midnight of November 8, 2016.

As many of you know, I do not think Trump is an aberration (link 1, link 2). In fact, I blame the deliberate failure of the previous neoliberal grifter-in-chief aka Obama to deliver real substantive reform in aftermath of 2008 global financial crisis as the most important reason for rise of Trump. Think about it.. would a character like that orange buffoon have gotten any traction in national politics, let alone won the presidency against all odds, if the majority of people still had any faith in the establishment and institutions of this country? Trump is therefore best understood as the crazy clown who appeared viable to a majority only because the vision and choices offered by the establishment were rotten. Some of you might remember that Hillary’s unfavorability ratings during the 2016 electoral season were often higher than Trump.

Now let us talk about how the establishment democrat obsession with Trump getting impeached will likely help him to win the 2020 election. As many of you know, establishment democrats and their supporters in media, hollywood etc spent about two years hallucinating about a future where the “Mueller Report” would magically implicate Trump in some high crime that would lead to his immediate impeachment and arrest. Well.. the report has been out for almost two months and it was unable to find evidence that Trump or his gang of idiots colluded with Russia or indeed “obstructed” justice in a manner which would stand in a court of law. The report, on which establishment democrats and public LIEbrals put so much hope, turned out to be damp squib. Of course, this did not change the narrative of establishment democrats and their MSM cronies.

To make matters worse, partisan democrat voters (who are over-represented in primaries) have become even more convinced and vocal about the need to impeach Trump despite the lack of evidence that he is anything more than a greedy and lecherous troll who used to be real-estate developer. We are now seeing a rapidly increasing amount of pressure on Pelosi and other democrat leaders to ‘do something’ and impeach Trump, or at least start the pre-impeachment investigation. While the wheels on that shitshow have not started moving yet, it is becoming increasingly likely that we will see some action on that front by the end of this year. But why is demanding the impeachment of Trump, or even starting the pre-impeachment farce.. I mean ‘investigation’.. such a bad idea? What could go wrong?

Well.. how about the fact that a non-stop barrage of intentional negative reporting by MSM on Trump has not moved his poll numbers much- either way. Such reporting has, if anything, destroyed whatever residual credibility they used to have prior to his election. It is telling that the MSM has remained focused on “collusion”. “Putin” and “Russia” (and now “obstruction of justice”) while ignoring all the other shady and outright illegal stuff which Trump had done- and it is one long list. From making up false valuations for his properties to either get loans or dodge taxes, promoting his DC hotel to earn extra income from foreign countries, having a son-in-law with really shady business dealings, being bought off by MBS and that guy who currently rules UAE to bend all sorts of rules for them and a whole lot more.

My point is that Trump has done enough shady and illegal things to get himself impeached and locked up- but colluding with Russia and Putin is not one of them. It is therefore incredibly stupid for democrats to focus on the one crime of which he is not guilty. Then again, they may be doing so because they are out of ideas and live in a “ivy-league” bubble full of other disconnected and incompetent elites. Either way, these dumbfucks don’t seem to understand or care that the vast majority of voters are far more concerned about whether they can afford whatever passes for healthcare in USA, have a job that pays and is stable enough to keep them going for the next year, whether they can ever afford a half-decent house or car etc. Only a section of primary voters (mostly baby-boomers) give a fuck about the whole Russia-Putin fairytale.

Unfortunately, these accursed boomers are over-represented in democratic primaries. We can therefore expect all the presidential candidates to make increasingly shrill and comic promises about impeaching Trump for “collusion” and “obstruction of justice”- in spite of there being no legally sound evidence for either. This stupid competition to out-hawk each other on this issue is going to eclipse the discussion of other more relevant issues. Eventually, we will reach a point when the public platform for most democratic candidates is centered around Trump- whether it is impeaching him, repeatedly telling us that “he is a bad bad man” and invoking the “norms fairy” aka how things will go back to normal once he is gone. While this might win somebody the primary, it is unlikely to ensure a high turnout in the general election.. like 2016.

More problematically, accusing Trump of the one or two crimes he did not commit (while ignoring the many others he did) makes him look like the victim of an establishment conspiracy. It is not secret than the MSM has no credibility beyond partisan democrats and a few affluent republicans. Harping on fictional crimes, without strong corroborative evidence, is going to further alienate their non-partisan audience and allow Trump to successfully spin his persecution by the MSM as martyrdom. Between this and selecting an establishment hack with little popular support beyond partisan democrats (Biden, McKinsey Buttboy, Harris, Warren), it seems increasingly likely that 2020 will be a replay of the 2016 shitshow- albeit on a much bigger scale.

What do you think? Comments?