Archive

Posts Tagged ‘incompetence’

COVID-19 Pandemic has Bared Intellectual Bankruptcy of LIEbrals: 2

May 16, 2020 5 comments

In the previous part, I wrote about how the especially disastrous response to COVID-19 pandemic has exposed the intellectual bankruptcy of LIEbrals. To summarize the gist of that post, the most ardent supporters of LIEbralism in west come in two main flavors- the very rich (billionaires and multi-millionaires) and their professional managerial class (PMC) lackeys. Sure.. more than a few partisan followers of these two groups do also self-identify as LIEbrals- but are largely irrelevant since they have little real power. I also promised to talk about how LIEbral mental shortcomings can explain their disastrous response to this pandemic. These include, in no particular order, the LIEbral obsession with ineffective lock-downs which have far more to maintaining the appearance of action than making a real difference. As you will, later on in this series, the shortcomings are a result of the peculiar mental gymnastics necessary to maintain belief in LIEbralism.

But before we go that far, let us talk about the most obvious but deliberately ignored question- namely, is the response to this pandemic justified by its mortality rate? If you have watched any of the fake corporate “news” outlets, you might have seen what can be best described as a ‘death clock’ which shows how many people have allegedly died of the pandemic to date. Oddly enough, those bullshit counters do not show you the age distribution of those who have been diagnosed with that infection vs those who with very adverse outcomes such as ending up in the ICU and death. But why does that matter and what does it have to with LIEbral intellectual bankruptcy? As it turns out.. a whole fucking lot! See.. much of the statistics these LIEbrals are peddling on corporate media have no basis in reality. To understand what I am talking about, let us quickly go over a few basic concepts in statistics as it applies to epidemiology.

Infectious diseases come in two flavors- one in which almost every successful infection results in a clinically evident illness and another in which most infections result in an asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic disease. Examples in the first category include diseases such as smallpox, chickenpox, measles, herpes, influenza, ebola etc. Examples in second category include diseases such as polio (especially in children under 8), meningococcal meningitis (surprisingly!) and infectious mononucleosis (another surprise) etc. Infections which cause an asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic disease do so in people who were not previously immune. A superficially similar but mechanistically different phenomena known as mild self-limiting infections occurs if you are immune to a closely related strain of the offending virus and is the basis of vaccines for rotavirus infections and genital warts. With that out of the way, let us talk about COVID-19..

Everything we know thus far about COVID-19 suggests that it clearly falls in the second category. And here is where it is important to understand which type of epidemiological data allows you to make what sort of conclusions. See.. calculating the Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) for any disease with a high percentage of asymptomatic cases requires different criteria from one in which almost every successful infection causes an symptomatic illness. In the later, we can assume that total number of cases = total number of people with specific set of symptoms. For the former, we cannot make that assumption and this has huge consequences for calculating the IFR. In the case of COVID-19, the number of positive PCR-tests from areas with high rates of positive test suggest that not enough testing has been done. So places with 30-50% positive tests such as NYC, Detroit, Northern Italy at beginning of epidemic etc are totally useless for calculating IFR.

To make a long story short, even the most basic calculation of a disease with a known high rate of asymptomatic illness requires test positive rates of below 10%, preferably less than 5%. Luckily there are certain areas of the world where the positive test rates have seldom exceeded 10% and are usually around 5%. These include the western provinces of Canada, Germany and South Korea. We also know that these jurisdictions have done a decent amount of testing since the majority of positive cases are between 20-60 years of age. Based on data from these three well-tested populations we can make a determination of the upper limit of IFR by age group. It is as follows: 0-10 = 0.0%, 10-20 = 0%, 20-30 = 0.1%, 30-40 = 0.1%, 40-50 =0.1%, 50-60 = 0.2%, 60-70 = 0.3-0.5%, 70-80 = 3-5%, 80+ = 5-20% (more in institutionalized people).

In other words, death rate for anybody between 0-50 years of age with COVID-19 is less than 0.1% or 1 in 1000. For those between 50-60, it is less than 0.2% or 1 in 500, and upto 1 in 200 for people between 70-80 who are not institutionalized. And remember.. these are the maximum rates. What we know from serological tests done around the world suggest that there are 10-50x undiagnosed and spontaneously cured infections for everyone caught in the act by PCR-based tests. Even if we take a conservative 5X multiplier, the IFR of COVID-19 now becomes less than 0.02% (1 in 5,000) for those between 0-50, 0.04% or (1 in 2,500) for those between 50-60, and a maximum of 0.1% (i in 1,000) for those between 70-80 who are not institutionalized.

In other words, we can readily identify those at greatest risk from bad outcomes based on age, general health status and certain pre-existing conditions (poorly controlled type II diabetes, serious obesity, COPD, recent treatment for cancer etc). Some of you might say.. but what about our hospitals getting overwhelmed? Well.. as it turns out the risk of hospitalization for each age group, based on PCR-test only, is as follows: 0-50 = less than 2%, 50-60 = 3-5%, 60-70 = ~ 5-10%, 70-80 = ~ 20%. If we use the serological test 5x multiplier, only those above 60 have a hospitalization rate than exceeds 1%. But what about rates of ICU use? Well.. once again using the PCR-only data, only 0.2-0.5% (1 in 500 to 1 in 200) of patients below 50 end up in the ICU- and most of them have serious pre-existing illnesses. For those between 50-70, it is about 1-2% (1 in 100 to 1 in 50)- again mostly with serious pre-existing conditions.

It is only once you get in the 70-80 group, that ICU use starts reaching 10%. And remember.. this is based on PCR-positive cases. You can divide those numbers by 5 to get an estimate based on serological tests. To put in another way, for anybody below 50, COVID-19 poses a lower risk than yearly Influenza A epidemics. For those between 50-70, the risk is about what you might expect in a bad influenza season. It is only once you reach the 80+ age cohort, especially those in very poor general health that the mortality due to COVID-19 starts looking gnarly. But, you see, there is a much easier way to protect that group and others with high-risk co-morbidities. We could provide them good protection by staffing nursing homes adequately, testing the staff who work there frequently, maybe give free face masks and hand sanitizers to everybody over 65. Perhaps we could give free restaurant and grocery delivery to those over 65.

My point is that there are many ways to protect the most vulnerable in our society without shutting down the economy, causing 30-40% unemployment rates and all its attendant socio-economic and political sequelae. But the problem, you see, is that LIEbrals are incapable of objective analysis and rational response, because they do not fit the fashionable “consensus”. It does not take a genius to figure out within next few weeks to months, it will be obvious to most people that COVID-19 is no more lethal than Influenza for those below 65. It is at that time, and with unemployment north of 30%, many will start asking whether all these interminable lock-downs, massive job losses, career-ruining turns and social distancing bullshit was worth it. I don’t think LIEberals have thought that far, because they are intellectually bankrupt. But the 30-40% of those without jobs or a future won’t stop asking them and it won’t be a pretty sight.

In the next part, I will go into why the LIEbral opposition to use of Hydroxychloroquine to treat COVID-19 was such an incredibly bad and stupid idea. Will go into why the promotion by Remdesivir by that stupid conman.. I mean Fauci.. is going to haunt them. Hope to also discuss antibody tests- specifically their specificity and sensitivity for detection antibodies to COVID-19.

What do you think? Comments?

COVID-19 Pandemic has Bared Intellectual Bankruptcy of LIEbrals: 1

May 14, 2020 5 comments

Most of you will have read my previous posts in which I predict that the disastrous response to COVID-19 pandemic will ultimately destroy residual credibility of mainstream corporate media in this country, increase political divisions, have a large effect on the 2020 elections and very likely hurt the democratic party’s prospects in that election and the one in 2022. While writing those posts, and reading them later, I noticed an interesting thread which ran through all those posts and even a prior series I had written. To make a long story short, the horrifyingly inept response of western countries (and to fair, even many east-Asian ones such as China) represent a failure of the ideology of LIEbralism and its institutions. But before we go further, let us talk about what LIEbralism is and is not. This will allow us to get a better grasp of the ideology rather than talk about it by invoking totally wrong stereotypes as done by most idiots in this country.

Firstly, LIEbralism is NOT Socialism, Communism or any combination of them. In fact, LIEbralism does not require democracy, as 18th and 19th century England was a LIEbral society without having anything close to universal suffrage. Similarly openly slave-owning societies such as pre-1865 USA were LIEbral societies. Pre-1945 France, Netherlands, Portugal with their colonies in Asia and Africa were also LIEbral societies. So how do we define LIEbralism? How can LIEbralism exist without democracy and alongside slavery and racism? LIEbralism is best understood as the successor ideology to CONservatism which in turn succeeded Feudalism. The biggest difference between CONservatism and LIEbralism has to do with the rationale given by those in power to justify their position. Under CONservatism, elites justify their existence by invoking tradition and history. Under LIEbralism, elites justify their position and ill gotten gains by claiming that they are somehow “better” and “more deserving”.

To bolster those claims, they support lots of token causes which sound nice such as individual rights, rule of law, meritocracy, religious tolerance and equality. Of course, none of this means that they actually give a shit about making the world a better place- though they frequently claim this to be their goal. A better understanding of LIEbralism can be gained by examining what it actually supports in the economic realm. LIEbrals are strong believers in limited government, “free trade” and “free markets”. This is why, for example, it is was possible for wretched parasitic and highly unequal societies such as as 18th and 19th century UK to correctly call themselves LIEbral. Similarly, the founders of USA could write a nice sounding constitution and still be perfectly OK with slavery. Countries such as Belgium could claim to be civilized and LIEbral societies while simultaneously exploiting and killing millions of people in west Africa. LIEbralism is best understood as a worse form of CONservatism, but with secular humanistic facade and tons of double-think to justify its existence.

With that out of the way, let us focus on why the response to current COVID-19 pandemic will be incredibly damaging for LIEbralism in the west- including its most current incarnation aka neo-LIEbralism. So who are most prominent supporters of LIEbralism in the west? Well.. the most prominent and ardent supporters of that ideology fall into two groups- the very rich and those in sinecured professions and jobs. Let me expand on that a bit. When I am talking about the very rich, I am talking about those who will be bailed out of any financial loss by the government. So, that includes billionaires, multi-millionaires in certain sectors, top management of most large corporations.. basically anyone who personally call up elected politicians to bail them out- directly or indirectly. Somebody like Bill Gates, your average CEO of a multinational, large shareholders in Disney etc. Notably, it does not include the vast majority of people who operate small- and medium- sized business and we shall see why that matters later on.

The other group which supports LIEbralism most vocally is the PMC (professional managerial class). This group is defined by being credentialed at “prestigious” educational institutions, inhabiting the ‘right’ social circles and being employed in secure professions or positions with a highly subjective and elitist entry barrier. Fauci is a good example of such a creature, since he has been effectively a senior bureaucrat (and not a scientist) for the past four decades. Other examples of such critters include the vast majority of upper-level management-types in corporations, universities, hospitals etc throughout this country. While they lack the same type of access to government largess at billionaires and other really rich people, they make up for that by being far more numerous than the very rich. Members of this group are defined by a carefully cultivated image of competence alongside a simultaneous and shocking lack of even minimal competence in their supposed areas of expertise.

So why do I think that the ongoing botched response to COVID-19 pandemic will expose the intellectual bankruptcy of LIEbrals to an hitherto unthinkable extent? To understand that, we have to first understand why CONservatism lost the battle to LIEbralism, Communism and Fascism a century ago. You might remember that me saying that the people making decisions about public health measures during this pandemic remind me of the horribly incompetent generals who led armies during WW1. As it turns out, the vast majority of incompetent generals, political leaders and all the others who led the world into that disastrous war were outspoken supporters of CONservatism. This was especially the case in countries which suffered tons of casualties during WW1 (France, German Empire, Austria-Hungary, Russian Empire, Ottoman Empire, Italy). Consequently, CONservatism lost the battle for public relations in those countries and the old regimes were replaced by ones who subscribed to other ideologies.

Since we are at almost a thousand words, I will continue this discussion in the next part of this series- which I hope to post within next couple of days. In it, I will show you how LIEbral mental pathologies and shortcomings can explain their disastrous response to this pandemic. You will, for example, see how the desire of LIEbrals to continue lock-downs has a lot to do with them trying to avoid looking incompetent rather than any real objective measure of efficacy. You wills also see how the mental pathologies and double-think inherent in LIEbralism can explain why its most vocal exponents avoid talking about the need to temporarily cancel rent collections of all types. I will also show you how their unwillingness to honestly and objectively assess risks has a lot to do with their real-life incompetence. And we also talk about the various strains of secular apocalypticism which pervades the mind of LIEbrals under late-capitalism in the declining west.

What do you think? Comments?

Recent Iowa Democrat Caucus was the 737-MAX of Electoral Primaries

February 5, 2020 22 comments

By now, all of you might must have heard that the democrat party presidential primary caucus for 2020 in Iowa was an epic shitshow. At the time of writing this brief post, the “official” results had not even crossed the 75% mark (74.79% to be precise)– and it has been almost three days after the shitshow was over. It is clear to me that the Iowa democratic party (IDP) is trying to delay the final results as long as possible to make sociopathic Pete Buttboy look like the “winner”, even though it is obvious that Bernie Sanders won it. It goes without saying that dying and discredited corporate media outlets such as CNN and MSNBC are also fully into this scam. To that end, the DNC and its local people at the IDP are intentionally delaying announcing the results of specific large caucus locations known to be very favorable to Bernie Sanders.

Have a look at this post from the Intercept about how the last-minute “App” developed for official data collection in this state caucus was a product of democratic establishment insiders. Read about how the specific person behind the appropriately (and ironically) named ‘Shadow’ app was a controversial and very pro-establishment figure in the democratic party. Did I mention that this person, a certain Tara McGowan, was a big supporter of Pete Buttboy’s presidential campaign? It is also rather interesting that she is married to Michael Halle, a political consultant who worked as a lead organizer in Iowa for Hillary Clinton in 2016 and is a senior strategist for Pete Buttboy. Incompetent credentialed losers live and breathe in small incestuous circles, don’t they?

But it gets better. The team of incompetent credentialed insider losers who were responsible for this app were neither software experts or good at anything beyond deep-kissing establishment democrat ass. They were all part of Hillary Clinton’s unsuccessful 2016 presidential campaign.. you know, the one here she lost a election to a lecherous reality-show host. Of course, there has been no official explanation as to why a small team of incompetent political operatives were paid hundreds of thousands to develop an app that nobody needed and which was not tested under anything approaching real-life conditions- if at all. Oh.. and the backup phone-based system to communicate results to party headwaters was mysteriously not working properly on that day.

But it gets even better. Sociopath Pete Buttboy’s campaign was a very recent donor to the make-believe “corporation” which made the shitty app that was unnecessary and misreported numbers- if it even worked. While there are those who attribute this still ongoing shitshow to terminal institutional incompetence on the part of democratic establishment, it is my opinion that more than a little malice was also involved. Michael Tracey makes a very good argument that the Iowa Caucus results should be voided, since any results that come out of this epic clusterfuck with oodles of malice are unlikely to be trusted by most people- especially those voting in upcoming democratic primaries. Did I mention that Iowa caucus turnout was mediocre this year, though younger than previous years. Apparently, the Trump impeachment bullshit isn’t selling in Iowa.

The fact that democrat party establishment could screw up their own primary caucus in the same week as they failed to get Trump removed from office tells you all you need to know about the state of that party. Then again, what can you expect from a party which (just like its republican counterpart) is still living in a world that no longer exists. I am sure we will hear more about how this fiasco went down by this weekend and it likely wont be the last one in 2020.

What do you think? Comments?

Watch Joe Rogan Expose Adam CONover as an Incompetent SJW Fraud

April 23, 2019 2 comments

While I prefer to write my own posts rather than link to stuff found on the internet, occasionally the later is simply too good or funny to not repost. Many of you already know about The Joe Rogan Experience, which is an almost daily audio and video podcast. While I do not watch every single episode or agree with the guy on many topics, it is highly entertaining. To make a long story short, each episode consists of long interviews with one or more (and often controversial) personalities. I am sure many of you must have seen a recent, and now infamous, clip of Elon Musk smoking a spliff on that show. Recently, some SJW idiots have started complaining that JRE is some sort of “gateway” to the “alt-right”. Then again, these are the same LIEbral idiots who pretend that the violence and imagery in video-games causes real-life violence and “misogyny”- which sounds suspiciously like what senile CONservative idiots in the late 1980s and early 1990s claimed about them. Says a lot about the modern LIEbral and SJW movement, doesn’t it?

Couple of days ago, Adam CONover (of Adam Ruins Everything fame) went on the show and got exposed as the pathetic and incompetent SJW fraud that I have always imagined him to be in real life. While his stand on topics such as ‘alpha/beta men’, social media censorship etc are hilarious in their own right, the pinnacle of his disastrous appearance on that show involved him taking about transgenderism- specifically his support for transitioning pre-pubescent children. As regular readers of my blog might remember, I have maintained that the ideology of transgenderism is likely to suffer an irreversible public setback once they start trying to legitimize medico-surgical transitioning of “gender-atypical” children. It does not take a genius to figure out that using the guise of authority and respectability to permanently mutilate children is likely to invite a huge and harsh pushback from almost everybody who actually have children.

But all those “trans-right” advocates and SJWs, in their infinite arrogance and fatal stupidity, believe they can push around the vast majority of people to go along with their latest brainfarts. It is doubly funny that they believe it to be possible in an era where public opinion on “credentialed” professions, academic experts” and other charlatans is already at a record low and sinking further. Then again, people who believe in religions (traditional or secular) aren’t exactly the sharpest tool in the shed.. or even right in the head. Watch this clip from the interview and marvel at Adam CONover’s incompetence, stupidity and capacity for self-delusion. It is especially funny to watch him keep digging himself into ever deeper holes, given that the conversation starts with trans-athletes and ends with CONover trying to justify irreversible mutilation of children’s bodies through drugs and surgery because some activists and “experts” say it is good. And, don’t forget to read comments to this clip, because are hilarious.

What do you think? Comments?

Thoughts on Uproar in American Media over Jamal Khashoggi Killing

October 18, 2018 7 comments

As anybody not living under a rock knows by now, the american media is in uproar over killing of Jamal Khashoggi by a team of Saudi “assassins” inside the Saudi consulate in Istanbul, Turkey. While there are many things one can say about the level of mental retardation displayed by the idiot who ordered this killing and those who carried it out, I will focus on the parts relevant to the rest of this (hopefully short) post. For starters, it is pretty obvious that this killing was ordered by the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, Mohammad bin Salman. So let me start by giving you a brief overview of this remarkably bizarre character with the quintessential anti-Midas touch.

The Clown Prince, Mohammad bin Salman aka MBS and henceforth referred to as Mohammad Bone Saw reached his current position because his old father ended up as the King through some complicated rules of royal succession in 2015. It is relevant to mention the fact that his 82-year old father is suffering from senile dementia. Long story short, Mohammad Bone Saw used this opportunity to put himself as crown prince, remove many other members of that extended family from their position and torture his relatives to extort about 100 billion dollars out of them.

He has also embarked on a series of failed misadventures such as his failed attempt to bully the almost as loathsome regime in Qatar not to mention the still ongoing attempts to win the “war” in Yemen which has been really an attempt at Genocide for at least last two years. To put it another way, Mohammad Bone Saw is the quintessential failson but one displaying far higher levels of narcissism, overt sociopathy and incompetence. But why does this matter? Hasn’t that “royal” family had many fuckups like him, within their ranks, before?

Well.. yes, he is certainly not the first fuckup born within that family. However the communal nature of that family and how it spread power throughout the extended family ensured that a few fuckups could not screw things up.. at least, too much. Mohammad Bone Saw, on the other hand, under the “tutelage” of the ruler of UAE has decided to run that country as a one man show. To that end- he has eliminated, imprisoned or scared other members of his extended family to give up their money and positions within administration. In other words, what was once a distributed and reasonably de-centralized (albeit hereditary) system has become a one man shitshow.

None of this would have mattered to the rest of world if Mohammad Bone Saw was the ruler of some unimportant and impoverished country. But that is not the case, as Saudi Arabia is one of three largest global producers of crude oil since the 1950s or 1960s. In other words, having a delusional and incompetent person becoming defacto leader of such a country has serious consequences. It does not help that their economy is not doing too well, because of the especially stupid decision made in early 2010s to increase their crude oil production to lower its price.

The original idea behind that particularly disastrous decision was that lower crude oil prices would make fracking (in countries like USA) noncompetitive. While it did some short-term effect, the fracking industry found ways to make that process more cost-effective. Now Saudi Arabia is stuck with low crude oil prices, no alternative source of revenue and a government full of greedy losers who owe their very existence to continued support for USA. Having a large youth population without decent jobs due to high fertility rates during prior decades also does not help things.

The point of this long preamble is as follows: While Mohammad Bone Saw is an exceptionally narcissistic and incompetent idiot, even by the standards of that country, many of the problems faced by Saudi Arabia today began decades ago. It is just the case that they were able to keep papering over them with progressively larger amounts of money and repression. To make matters worse, many of the ‘clever’ decisions they have made over the past decade have backfired pretty badly. Here is a quick list of those self-inflicted disasters..

It is no secret that Saudi Arabia along with UAE, Qatar and Turkey were the biggest funders and facilitators of Islamic terrorism in countries around them. And yes, they had full support of the Obama administration. Groups such as ISIL and the other extremist Sunni groups in Syria are almost entirely their creation. The list of reasons why they did this is long, but centers around their long-time rivalry with Shia Iran and location of oilfields. Hilariously, every attempt made by Saudi Arabia (and others) to support these groups have either failed or blown up in their faces.

Readers might wonder about what any of this has to with the Jamal Khashoggi killing? Well.. it is an indirect and second order link. Faced with obvious setbacks and visible blows to their public image due to events outside their countries, the notoriously petty and narcissistic rulers of these countries have resorted to unusually high levels of internal repression to show their subjects that they are still in charge and not impotent on the international stage.

This is the reason Mohammad Bone Saw was itching to invade Qatar last year, even though he had closely worked with them to support ISIL and other murderous religious nutcases in Syria as recently as early-2017. That is why he spent so much money on buying positive media coverage and fawning editorials from himself in the West. This is also why he is still so eager to prosecute the unwinnable war in Yemen, even as it turns into a genocide. Like many idiots, he is trying to win back what he lost on his previous round of poker by placing an even larger bet.

But why did he think that it was possible to get away with having Jamal Khashoggi murdered inside the Saudi consulate in Istanbul? Long story short, because western governments and media types had so far been unusually willing to cover up his atrocities and defend him in public. Think about it, how much have you heard about the widespread death, starvation and disease caused by his still unwinnable war in Yemen? How about very little to nothing! Did they even pretend to care about Qatar when he tried and failed to roll over that country in 2017?

How many “mainstream” western media outlets have investigated the billions in money and weapons that he (and his predecessors) gave to ISIL and similar groups operating in Syria and Iraq? Did they condemn him for imprisonment, torture and extortion of his extended family after he came to power? Are you starting to see a pattern? In case you aren’t, here is the pattern: Mohammad Bone Saw does some stupid and horrible thing, western governments and media go quiet about it but keep praising him due to all cash they received. Rinse and repeat..

So what caused the “mainstream” western media types to suddenly sit up and take notice of his multiple failings after the Khashoggi killing? A few things.. firstly, Mohammad Bone Saw associated himself a bit too closely with Trump and Kushner- an especially dumb move at this time. Secondly, he went after a guy who himself came from a very rich and connected family with deep connections both in the West and Saudi Arabia. Need I remind you that his grandfather was the personal physician of Ibn Saud, yes that one. Here are a couple of his more famous relatives: Dodi Fayed and Adnan Khashoggi. Did I also mention that his extended family is on first name terms with members of ruling families in surrounding Arab countries?

Thirdly, and most importantly, he did this stupid thing after suffering multiple public failures and humilaitions. The thing is.. many people will support a successful asshole and murderer, but very few will continue doing so if they see him continuously failing on multiple fronts. It was, therefore, a peculiar combination of circumstances which finally made the phony and self-righteous western “mainstream” media sit up and take notice of something they should have noticed and covered, at least a couple of years ago.

What do you think? Comments?

Thoughts on Official and Media Silence about 2017 Las Vegas Shooting

December 4, 2017 7 comments

About two months ago, Stephen Paddock committed the largest solo mass shooting (so far) in the history of USA. While there is no doubt that some other guy will, in the near future, break Paddock’s record of 58 deaths and 546 injuries- it is still worth talking about certain peculiar aspects of this event and its aftermath. As some of you know, I did write a few posts (Link 1, Link 2 and Link 3) about that event in the first few days after it occurred.

To make a long story short, nothing about Stephen Paddock’s known behavior in the previous 60-something years of his life marks him out as someone who would end up as a mass shooter. The guy was very smart, had tons of money, no known terminal illness and no criminal record of any significance. He also had a non-ugly girlfriend and apparently also paid for sex on the side. In other words, he had no conventional reason to do what he did- but he did it, nevertheless.

However this post is not about further speculation on what less-than-conventional reasons drove him to commit that act. Instead, I will focus on the rather odd behavior of “law enforcement” officials and the MSM in the aftermath of that shooting. Specifically, let us talk about why news about further investigations into that incident seems to have largely vanished from the public sphere- at least on the national level. I am certainly not the only person to find the almost total absence of more recent reports on the investigation a bit odd.

As is usually the case, there are a number of explanations for the troubling lack of followup on this story floating around the internet. They range from allegations that it was an elaborate setup by the PTB for swaying public opinion towards gun control or the accidental unraveling of a complex government-sanctioned gun running operation to the result of secret mind-control experiments by the government. It is noteworthy that all these explanations rely on the government and “elite” being highly competent, professional and organised.

Let put forth an alternative explanation- one that is far more plausible and a better fit for available data. The short version of my explanation is as follows: The LVPD and other law enforcement personnel who responded to that incident made a series of bad and amateurish mistakes and decisions, revelations of which would be highly embarrassing and likely result in costly lawsuits from the family of those who were killed or injured. But why is a series of screwups a better explanation for the glacial pace of that investigation than say.. it being a large ‘double-secret’ conspiracy.

Well.. for one, gross incompetence is far more likely to cause bad outcomes than careful malice because the former is simply much more common, especially in larger organisations. Malice requires a lot of planning, effort and luck to succeed while incompetence grows wild and requires little deliberate effort to manifest itself. This is especially true when organisations with large budgets and little accountability respond to situations that are beyond their abilities.

We have seen this time and again, all over the world and in USA. Remember how average Americans believed that they would win the Korean war in 1951, or how they thought they would win the Vietnam war in the late-1960s, the Iraq and Afghanistan wars in the early-2000s. You get my point. Less well-known is that the american establishment, including the agencies implementing these ideas, also believed that those outcomes were inevitable.

But what does any of this have to do with the oddly slow investigation into the 2017 Lag Vegas shooting?

As it turns out a lot. Agencies with large budgets and zero accountability keep things that way by making outrageous public claims about their utility and necessity. That is why the military-industrial complex USA is always trying to start new ‘wars’ against ridiculously hyped enemies. That is also why the incarceration-policing complex is so eager to hype every small incident of crime and “crime”. People employed in these industries would be perpetually jobless if it became obvious that they are just incompetent parasites.

The main function of the police and “law enforcement” apparatus in USA is to harass, imprison and killing non-whites and poorer white people. They do all of this under the garb of protecting the “public” from “criminals” and other “evil-doers”. They justify public support for their continued funding by trying to provide a facade of competence, professionalism and readiness. While the normal course of events does not tear large holes in that facade, less common events such as the 2017 LV mass shooting expose the rather limited nature of their abilities.

I am sure many of you remember how the official timelines for the police response to that incident kept on changing and changing. Then there is a question about which sequence of events is accurate. Oddly enough, this lack of certainty about the exact sequence of events and response occurred in one of the most surveilled cities and locations in USA. Some of you might see all of this as a dark conspiracy. I just see a lot of the involved and liable parties (hotels, police etc) trying to cover up their incompetence.

What do you think? Comments?