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Posts Tagged ‘Trump’

Two Funny and Very Topical YouTube Comedy Skits from Ryan Long

January 21, 2021 2 comments

A few months ago, I posted a link to a funny YouTube clip about all the similarities between ‘woke’ losers and plain old racists. Here are a couple more clips from the same channel.

The first clip, from about 5 months ago, is about how liberal internet personalities (such as pro-establishment bloggers, podcasters, influencers etc) will struggle to make content about anything else once in the aftermath of a Trump defeat. This one proved to be prophetic.

The second one is about how most corporations, but especially in Silicon Valley, promote superficial and meaninglessness “diversity” which is actually a form of conformism. Says a lot about the current state of corporations involved in producing entertainment that they cannot even match output quality of moderately well-known YouTube channels.

Enjoy! Comments?

Impeaching Trump, for the Second Time, is an Even Stupider Idea

January 17, 2021 18 comments

In my previous post, I listed the major reasons why banning Trump from Twitter (and other american-owned social media platforms) was an incredibly stupid and short-sighted idea. In this one, I will go into the many reasons why trying to impeach Trump for the second time is an even stupider idea. Having said that.. I am not surprised that the delusional losers aka democrats would come up with such a brain fart. Just look at what they have been doing for the past thirty years, but especially the past five. Anyway, here are the reasons..

1] Trump received over 74 million votes in 2020 (8 million more than 2016) in spite of a huge and sustained propaganda effort by MSM over past four years which included making up many dozens of nonexistent “scandals” in addition to his highly incompetent managing of response to COVID-19 pandemic. Even after he “officially” lost the election, Trump had no problems getting tens of thousands of enthusiastic supporters to attend his rallies. Anyone who believes that this guy does not have a massive base or that his supporters will desert him in aftermath of that over-hyped January 6 riot in DC is highly delusional aka a democrat.

As I also mentioned in my previous post, it is worth noting that Trump has a far larger base of support among people who work in (or have worked in) the armed services, police and other paramilitary services. If you think that trying to impeach him a second time won’t further piss off and rile up those sorts of people, I have a bridge to sell you. When (not if) push comes to shove, I would bet on the trained guys with guns prevailing over lanyard wearing pencil-dick aspie dweebs from Northern California. Banning him from american-owned social media outlets has only helped Trump further by making him look like a martyr. Don’t be surprised if parts of this post seem similar to the previous one, because the stuff they are talking about are being driven by very similar underlying factors.

It does not help that democratic party and its associated public personalities such as MSM presstitutes, incompetent but credentialed “experts” etc have vociferously supported useless ‘lockdowns’ and school closures which have ruined the lives of many millions of younger people. Does anybody thinks that this will somehow increase the vote-share of democrats in 2022 and 2024 elections? Far more likely, democrats are going to get wiped out in 2022 elections to levels that are unthinkable to most people right now. Trying to impeach Trump, a second time, is only going to make him more popular than he is right now. And the guy who comes after Orange Man is going to be far more competent and systematic than him.

2] Trying to impeach Trump, for a second time, shows how incompetent, desperate and scared the democratic party has become. It is no secret that attempts at presidential impeachment have lost their power due to their frequent use in recent decades. Remember when they tried to impeach Clinton in late 1990s.. how did that turn out? Did it crimp his ability to make money or hurt his popularity after leaving office in early-2001? And did the first attempt to impeach Trump hurt his ability to get the republican nomination or receive a record number of votes in 2020 elections? Why would any sane person think that a second attempt at impeachment would achieve more? And it is not different this time around..

The socio-economic conditions which caused the rise of Trump have become more dominant in past four years. Trump was, if anything, a trailer for the sort of person who is going to rise to power in the next few years. If you think that more ineffectual impeachments and attempts to harass Trump by starting bogus investigations via the NY state attorney’s office is going to stop a future american Caesar, you are probably a democrat moron. Yes.. you read that right. The person who will inherit Trump’s coalition and use it to successfully grab power is not going to play by the rules of credentialed sissy-boys aka democrats. More ineffectual exercises of their imaginary powers will only speed up the appearance of an american Caesar.

To make matters worse, if that is possible, democrats have no plan or desire to address the socio-economic factors which caused the rise of Trump. Instead they are focusing on identity politic issues and virtue display bullshit which will results in them antagonizing even more voters in non-coastal states. They are just like the decrepit European royal families which were destroyed in aftermath of WW1. Also, trying to prevent Trump from running for election again will have no effect on the now almost inevitable rise of an american Caesar. In fact, Trump was accidentally the best chance of blocking an american Caesar because though he was a incompetent moron Trump had enough popular support to compete with and stop the rise of a competent fascist. Funny how these things work..

3] In the aftermath of that January 6 riot in DC, the dumbfucks (aka democrats) are trying to start another ‘War on Terror 2.0’ combined with a Patriot Act 2.0- which is darkly comic since this country lost the ‘War on Terror 1.0’. If you think otherwise, just look at how the occupation of Iraq and Afghanistan turned into a spectacular and costly defeat. The same “geniuses” who cheerlead the failed ‘war on Terror 1.0’ in middle-eastern countries are now clamoring for a domestic ‘War and Terror 2.0’. Given that they seem hell-bent on persecuting over 40% of the people in this country (and over 95% of those with military experience and guns), this cannot end well for democrats. It is almost like these delusional dummies aka establishment democrats are trying to accidentally kickstart a second civil war, but one which takes the form of a decentralized insurgency. This cannot end well..

If democrats had any brains, they would have treated the January 6 riot in DC as if it was just another poorly organized riot by a bunch of incompetent bozos- which is exactly what it was! But the dumbfucks think that pretending this poorly organized riot was some serious threat to the republic will allow them to seize power, spite Trump and persecute his supporters. The numbnuts are doing this despite the fact that a majority of republicans did not see that riot as unjustified or a “threat to democracy”. As I mentioned earlier in this post, over 74 million people voted for Trump barely two months ago and they did that in spite of a 5-year long MSM campaign against him. If the dummies in democrat party think that persecuting his supporters (aka majority of registered republican voters) does not carry the inevitable risk 0f serious blowback, they are hallucinating.

It should also be pointed that trying to impeach Trump for a second time and/or trying to persecute him through spurious legal cases filed by prosecutors in democrat-run states such as NY will almost inevitably destroy whatever little credibility those institutions have in rest of country. To put it bluntly, any path taken by democrats other than ignoring Orange Man AND addressing the broader socio-economic factors behind his rise will result in a very large-scale backlash which that decrepit party and its stooges won’t be able to handle. Based on the way things are going, it is obvious that the dumbfucks have made their choice. The next four years might be even more ‘interesting’ than the past four.

What do you think? Comments?

Banning Trump from Twitter is a Very Stupid and Short-Sighted Idea

January 9, 2021 26 comments

As all of you know by now, Trump being banned from multiple american corporate-owned social-media networks such as Twatter, FakeBook, ThotGram etc. You must also be aware that many LIEbral retards are celebrating this short-sighted decision. In any case, here is a post, written without flowery language and obscure analogies, to show you why this was an very stupid and dangerous decision with huge potential for ‘unintended consequences’.

1] Trump got almost 75 million votes in 2020 election in spite of a four-year long campaign of demonization by the MSM, Liberals and despite his inept handling of the COVID-19 pandemic. That is a pretty significant number of voters in this country and going somebody who could get than many votes in a presidential election at a time of massive political polarization is a really bad idea, because you have just created enemies out of tens of millions who did not have to pissed off any more than they already are. And let us be realistic.. Trump is, and has been, an entertaining clown or troll without the balls or mental ability to put together even a simple Munich beer-hall putsch. He almost exclusively implemented milquetoast republican policies (endless tax cuts, appointing conservative judges, trying to cut medicare/medicaid and supporting “law enforcement”) than anything which was even vaguely radical.

Banning this entertaining clown from Twitter and other american-owned social media networks makes him appear far more capable and important than he is in reality. Also, banning him provides support very strong support for his opt-repeated contention that he was the victim of a systemic deep-state and corporate LIEbral conspiracy. In my opinion, the incestous and incompetent LIEBral idiots in deep-state should have just ignored him or treated him like the entertaining troll he was. But now they have provided extensive conformation and validation to many of his more outlandish claims. Do you really think that Trump will have less credibility if you ban him from american-owned social media sites? If you do think like that, read some history and have your head examined. These actions achieve the exact opposite of the goal.

2] Trump’s followers and supporters are heavily represented in the military and law enforcement, both as ex- or current members. They are also heavily represented in people who work with their hands rather than the effeminnate keyboard jockeys, impotent code-writers in Bay Area, suburban white moms working office jobs and other diphits who don’t posses the means, background, experience or physical ability to perpetrate real violence. There is a reason why all successful revolutions in human history have been backed by men who knew how to use weapons and were not shy about killing. To put it blunty, the vast majority of people capable and willing to commit actual violence do-er types are not on the side of Democrats and LIEbrals. And this not the 1990s or early-2000s when most white conservatives believed that the government was on their side.

To make matters worse, the systemic socio-economic factors which led to rise of Trump have not gone way. In fact, the conditions of many have gotten worse, largely due to thoughtless lockdowns and school closures led by LIEbral politicians and democratic party associated unions and PMCs. In other words, things are about to get a whole lot crazier because the movement which catapulted Trump to presidency in 2016 is still there and in many ways stronger than it was in the past. Now combine that with the the fact that this group has a virtual monopoly on capability and ability for real violence. While Trump does not have the brain or balls to use his popular support and current situation, a future american Caesar will almost certainly do that very effectively and with zero qualms.

3] I have said, above and, in more than one previous post- the next person to use Trump’s coalition to seize power won’t be as stupid and incompetent as Trump. And there is a history for this dynamic throughout human history where the first attempts to overthrow a dying regime are often headed by incompetent people who fail but then they get replaced by smart and competent people who actually know how to use strategy and violence. Caesar was not the first roman consul with vision of becoming an emperor or who tried to become one. Napoleon was not the first french military general with visions of becoming emperor in aftermath of French Revolution. Mussolini and Hitler failed more than once before succeeding. I predict the next few years will see the rise a competent american Caesar- and it won’t be pretty. And make no mistake, a significant minority of american population (who have the majority of weapons and weapon training) are going to rally behind such a guy. The current democratic coalition of old black people and credentialed white paper-pushers living in a few urban and suburban areas have no real chance of prevailing against a competent american Caesar who commands the loyalty of his armed followers.

4] One of the most clever scenes from an early season of TV adaptation of “Game of Thrones” goes as follows: the much-hated juvenile idiot king aka Joffrey Lannister is shouting “I am the King” towards his uncle. At this point his grandfather (the true power behind throne) calmly tells him that “any man who must say I am the king is no true king”. The point is that anyone who has to justify their power by invoking external factors such as credentials, lineage, job-title etc has no real power. Similarly any person or entity who has to justify their power by appeals to external factors or the status-quo rather than actual control has only an illusory and tenuous grasp on power. It is no secret that current status of LIEbrals and Professional Managerial Class (PMCs) owes everything to others willing to go along with the charade.

Let me explain how this applies to the topic of our discussion. When the Chinese government censors people, ideas or opinions it does not like- it simply does it. That is possible because, unlike the corporate class in the west, it has real power and wields it appropriately. But that is only part of the story. The real reason why they have both this power and support from its population is that unlike their western counterparts, the Chinese government has been able to deliver almost magical improvements in the quality of life for its citizens in past four decades. In compassion, the past few decades in western countries (especially USA) have been marked by economic stagnation and reversal of fortunes for over 90% of their populations. To put it another way, people go along with some high-handedness only as long as the system can deliver a good lifestyle and hope of a better future.

The Chinese system also has far more internal accountability and constant fine-tuning than the american corporatist system. There is a reason why so many people have come to hate Amazon, FaceBook, Google and other software-based tech companies (Uber, Lyft, DoorDash, Yelp etc) over the past decade. While the reason for their hatred varies from loss of their small business, loss of stable jobs, high-handed behavior etc, it does not take a genius to figure out that any rising Caesar will use the growing hatred of average people for these tech monopolies and oligopolies to either nationalize them or break them up- and we are already seeing early signs of this trend on the republican side among younger legislators. Ironically, the Chinese government pursues corporate anti-monopoly practices to prevent this outcome than their impotent and corrupted western counterparts.

5] It is also worth pointing out that the poorly though lockdowns and shutdown in response to COVOD-19 pandemic have caused large long-term job losses in addition to massive damage to small- and medium- sized business. Given that these lockdowns and shutdowns were mostly championed by Democrats, LIEbrals, certain unions and the PMCs- you can bet that the rapidly building public anger will cause a lot of damage to Democratic part’s electoral prospects in 2022. If you don’t believe, just read a bit about how Democrats went from their 2008 win to an almost total complete rout in 2010. Inability to deliver on needs of voters is not a winning strategy regardless of how many non-white and female faces you put on the ballot. Trump lost in 2020 because he could not deliver on his 2016 promises and Obama barely scraped through in 2012 because the Republicans managed to nominate someone (Romney) who was even more repulsive than him.

Given the inability of Democrats to learn from history, You can bet that they will try to push highly unpopular polices ranging from criminalizing domestic dissent, new gun control laws, climate change scams, shoring up the wreck known as Obamacare and a lot of other stuff which will piss off too many people. Those idiots will also push their “diversity” and “trans-rights” bullshit scaring off even more white voters living in non-coastal areas. And they will try to do all of this without providing any serious economic relief or compensation to the tens of millions whose entire lives have been destroyed by their stupid and bad policies they had championed. If you think that non-white and non-black voters are a captive democratic constituency, you are about to have a rude awakening. You do know that the vast majority of Hispanics in this country do not see themselves as People of Color (POC).. right?

To summarize, the LIEBral corporatist establishments idea to ban Trump from major social media outlets (especially before his term ran out) was an incredibly stupid and short-sighted decision which transforms that troll clown into a legitimate political martyr who was the victim of a conspiracy to steal the election from him. These idiots have thus given Trump what he, by himself, could never have achieved- real legitimacy for his claims. In addition to this , they have accidentally cleared the pathway for the rise of a real and competent american Caesar who will end up crushing their proverbial necks when he gains power. Way to go.. dumbfucks!

What do you think? Comments?

ShitShow of Jan 6th in Washington, D.C. was Entertaining.. Wasn’t it?

January 6, 2021 16 comments

As many of you know, today’s pro-Trump protests in DC took some rather interesting turns, both literally and metaphorically. Here is a quick montage of the more infamous photographs from the shitshow floating on various social media sites. While these protests caused little real physical damage, the reputational damage to LIEbral scam promoted by this country in rest of world is considerable. These protests are also a teaser trailer of the sort of stuff we will see in 2021, because of the consequences of COVID-19 related shutdowns such as persistent high unemployment,small-business closures and bankruptcies etc.

What do you think? Comments?

Quick Thoughts on the Ongoing Aftermath of 2020 Election Shitshow

November 9, 2020 24 comments

Here is a post which I have been meaning to write for past few days, but kept delaying due to ongoing developments in that area and being busy with work. By now, you know that the MSM has declared Dementia Joe as the “victor” in the 2020 presidential election. The way I see it, this shitshow is not over till at least December 14th of this year when the the electoral college meets to cast their votes. Realistically, this show will go on even past inauguration day 2021.. into 2022 and 2024. So welcome to Hell and get comfy as you are going to here for a while.

So here are some of my very quick thoughts on the post-election shitshow, till now..

1] One of the most surprising outcomes of this election was that Trump got a few million more votes in 2020, than he did in 2016. Orange Man got more votes in 2020 than Obama got in his historical victory in 2008. Sure.. the population of this country has grown since 2008, but let me remind you that Obama in 2012 fell short of his 2008 numbers as did HRC in 2016. What makes this truly unique is that he did so in spite of the media demonizing him for past 5 years, all those failed and fake investigations in addition to his sloppy handling of response to COVID-19 pandemic. Trump getting over 71 million votes was the biggest surprise of 2020.

2] On a related note, Democrats lost seats in the house, didn’t flip any state legislatures or governorships and are almost certain to not gain their long coveted senate majority. In my opinion, this is the second most surprising outcome of 2020, since many were guessing that all of the alleged public anger against Trump would somehow translate into democrats flipping multiple senate seats, increasing their margin in house and gaining at the state level. But they did not, and is a huge warning signal to that party. Did I also mention that Democrats did not flip Texas and Florida. Which brings me to the third surprising outcome of this election.

3] Trump and Republicans actually gained non-white voters from the working class. While it is still too early to give exact numbers, it appears that Trump got the highest percentage of non-white voters for any republican president in past few decades. He also received the highest percentage of Hispanic votes of any modern Republican president, including.. I kid you not.. from Hispanic-majority counties bordering Mexico. Far less surprisingly, most of the increase in votes for Democrats came from affluent suburban and predominantly white areas. And while Trump did not win some reliably Democrat-voting coastal states such as CA, NY etc.. he did increase the number of Republican votes in those states compared to 2016.

4] The supposedly “scientific” pre-election polls were off by huge and inexcusable margins. After the 2016 debacle all these polling agencies had promised to do a far better job this time around as they had claimed to have learnt their lesson and corrected their mistakes. Turns out, this was all complete bullshit! The “errors” in state and national pre-election polls in 2020 were much higher than in 2016.In all ‘swing’ states, even the final polls were consistently off by over 10%. There are two explanations for this debacle- either polling agencies learned nothing from 2016 or they were involved in a very deliberate and coordinated operation to suppress Trump voters. And they failed.. again.

5] Which brings us to the next point.. aka the vote-counting operations in some ‘swing’ states and Democrat-run cities were shady as fuck. You might have noticed that Orange Man won all supposed ‘swing’ states which counted their votes on same day such as TX, FL and OH. But in ‘swing’ states with some democratic control, mysterious large batches of votes kept getting “discovered” and counted during early morning hours. This was especially obvious in cities under control of Democratic party. While this country has always been intentionally deficient at conducting free and fair elections, vote-counting during the 2020 election was the shadiest we have seen in living memory.

Sure.. the sudden increase of mail-in and absentee ballots was guaranteed to cause some problems, but I cannot help notice that certain states such as FL and TX handled the situation very well. Others such as WI, MI and PA did not. The deliberate slowing down of vote-counting by certain states such as NV and AZ also does not inspire confidence in the results of this election. To make a long story short, regardless of what the dying mouthpieces of MSM and internet monopolies are promoting, majority of people in this country seem to think that the elections were fixed- at least in certain ‘swing’ states.

6] Because of the very obvious shadiness of how this election was conducted in certain key states and Trump’s unwillingness to play along with certain elite bullshit such as “norms”- it is almost certain that this will be litigated for a long time, especially in the public mind. Let me remind you that partisan idiots such as MikeCA still believe that “Russia” and “Putin” stole the 2016 election for Trump without any significant amount of proof to support this accusation. You can bet that the next four years will see a similar but far larger movement centered around the idea that establishment Democrats stole the 2020 election- but this time there will be much more circumstantial evidence to support that belief.

And Trump will fan the flames of this movement since he is not a dickless neoliberal such as Al Gore. It does not help that Biden and company have already confirmed that they want to go back to the same sad identity and “wokeness” based neoliberal bullshit politics which pissed voters off and got Trump elected in 2016. Also, they have shown no willingness or possess the ability to pass large bailouts for average people. In other words, the massive economic and unemployment crisis caused by response to COVID-19 pandemic is going to get much worse- especially if they follow whatever bullshit “scientific” advice they are getting from their bunch of credentialed fuckwits.

I would not rule out even more unpleasant election-related “surprises in next two months, given that this is 2020.

What do you think? Comments?

The Dumpster Fire of 2020 Election is Eerily Reminiscent of 2016

October 20, 2020 12 comments

As I have written in more than one recent post, the 2020 election and its aftermath is almost guaranteed to be a dumpster fire of epic proportions. Then again, where else but in this “exceptional demockracy” do the two major political parties nominate a narcissistic used-car salesman to run against a guy in the early stages of senile dementia. While some features of this clusterfuck are unprecedented (at least in the previous 80-90 years), others are.. well.. strangely familiar. One could even make the case that the ongoing slow-motion train accident has more than a few similarities to its immediate predecessor, also known as the then unprecedented clusterfuck.. I mean electoral campaign and election.. of 2016. Here is why.

1] The first similarity between 2016 and 2020 comes down to the so-called “independent” and “objective” pre-election “polls”, or as I like to call them- sad and increasingly futile attempts to manipulate voter turnout for political ends. Some of you might remember that almost every single “poll” during the 2016 election cycle had Trump trailing Hillary by at least a few points. Moreover the purported “gap” between them supposedly increased to double digits after the release of those ‘Access Hollywood’ tapes in early October 2016. Even “exit polls” performed on election days showed Trump losing to Hillary in areas and states that he eventually won.

So why were all those polls, which had predicted previous electoral results, so wrong? Well.. I can think of many reasons such as people screening their calls, not telling the truth, bad data sampling and a ton of other innocent explanations. But given that many were more accurate in previous years, one has to consider the possibility that election “polls” are designed and performed to create and support a bullshit narrative rather than report the facts. And this would not be unprecedented. Consider the so-called “free” media in west. Have you noticed that almost all MSM outlets and presstitues are either grovelling stenographers for elites or manufactured opposition who are occasionally allowed to report on minor scandals.

Remember that WaterGate was a mouse fart compared to far bigger and consequential stories in that same time window such as the atrocious conduct of Vietnam War prior to Tet offensive, secret carpet-bombing bombing of Laos, support for ethnic genocide in Indonesia and much more. Remember when MSM and “respected” presstitutes kept telling you that Saddam Hussein had WMDs and connections with 9/11 hijackers? Remember when they also told you that Bin Laden had an amazing mountain lair like some villain in a James Bond movie. Or how about them telling you that the leftist leaders of Venezuela and Bolivia had no real popular support. I could go on but my point is that many people are increasingly unwilling to believe that make-believe bullshit narratives peddled by these incompetent but “credentialed” losers.

2] You might have heard Dementia Joe’ supporters tell you that they might win Texas and Georgia this time around. Funny thing.. Hillary and her supporters said something very similar in 2016. I distinctly remember them boasting how they were likely to win those two states because of “demographic changes” or some other bullshit. But wait.. Obama said something very similar to that in 2008. So how have things worked out thus far? Well.. in Texas, the percentage of non-voters, especially among the state’s Hispanic population, has remained stubbornly high. As far as Georgia is concerned, Democrats have been pushing that same bullshit dream since at least 2008, and yet every single election brings them no closer to actually winning that state. Could it happen this time? Well.. it is 2020, but I would not put down my money for making that bet.

The more interesting question is- why do Democrats think they will “eventually” win those states? Well.. according to them, the racially diverse younger generation is less conservative than their parents and are therefore somehow magically going to vote for Democrats. But why should that be the case? After all, Democrats have done nothing to address the many problems faced by younger generations such as huge student loans, high cost of housing, poorly paid and unstable jobs, nearly unaffordable quality childcare and a host of other systemic problems related to rise of neoliberalism in west. It is no secret that centrist and center-left political parties who are more obsessed with LGBTQ rights and proper pronouns rather than needs of working class have done poorly in elections over past decade.

3] Moving on.. remember how in 2016, every “respectable” MSM outlet and presstitute was constantly predicting that Trump was going to lose big and become a pariah in Republican party afterwards? So.. how has that “prediction” worked out? Need I remind you that Trump still has an over 90% approval rating among partisan Republican voters- and this after he screwed the response to COVID-19 pandemic. To be fair, so did the much more “respectable” leaders of every other major western nation. But this elite fetish for “respectability” is deeper and more comical than you might think. Consider the types of campaign ads run by Hillary in 2026. Almost 2/3 rds of them were about the poor character of Trump. How did that work out? Of course. Biden’s handlers have learnt nothing from 2016.

You might have noticed that most of their 2020 campaign ads are about how Trump is a uniquely bad character and how Biden is “normal” and “qualified”. It is as if they hired the same “campaign experts” hired by Hillary in 2016- and they very likely did. Very few of their ads give concrete and feasible sounding plans about how a Democratic administration would actually improve the lives of those who voted for them. I guess, they are being unintentionally honest- because they have zero intention of changing the status quo which led to that Orange Buffoon being elected in the first place. Isn’t that a brilliant plan? Just like their non-existent plan to fully reopen the economy, compensate tens of millions workers properly, save all those small business.. you know, actually get out of this self-inflicted hole.

4] You kept hearing “news” about how Trump’s 2020 campaign is falling apart, republican politician are deserting him and and how people in it are busy looking for alternate post-election gigs. Funny thing.. I remember MSM outlets pushing the exact same stories in 2016. It is if they cannot even recycle made-up stories without using the same scripts. Says a lot about their real levels of competence.. doesn’t it? But somehow these same presstitutes do not see eerie the similarity between lack of enthusiasm for Biden in 2020 to that for Hillary in 2016. Or the unusual similarities between the almost complete lack of public enthusiasm for Kamala Harris in 2020 to Tim Kaine in 2016. Isn’t it also interesting that both Biden and Hillary drastically cut down on their public appearances in final weeks of election because Democrats were so sure of their “inevitable triumph”.

There are many other odd and eerie similarities between the clusterfuck of 2020 campaign and election to their direct predecessors from 2016, but we are already past a thousand words. I might write a followup part, depending on the comments.

What do you think? Comments?

Recent Thoughts on Possible Outcomes for Upcoming 2020 Election

October 10, 2020 12 comments

As many of you know, over the past two months I have posted articles which bring up certain unsettling possibilities regarding outcome of 2020 election. These have included the possibility of Trump somehow cancelling or sabotaging conduct of that election, neither Trump nor Biden conceding afterwards and whether any “winner” will be seen as legitimate. If you have been following one of my twitter accounts, you also know that I have repeatedly expressed serious concerns whether this election and its aftermath will cause some serious and likely irreversible damage to the socio-economic-political status quo in this country. To be fair, it was looking pretty bad even before the COVID-19 clusterfuck- specifically the thoughtless and moronic response to the pandemic than the virus itself. But ya.. the highly ineffectual and disjointed response to COVID-19 pandemic has made an already shitty situation so much more worse.

With that in mind, let us talk about possible outcomes of the 2020 election, starting with the most obvious.. and ya, none of them are good.

1] At this point, barring a miracle of some sort, it is almost certain that the “results” of 2020 election will be litigated to a level we have never seen. The 2020 primaries have already given us a preview of how chaotic and contentious elections with heavy percentage of ‘mail in’ ballots can go.. and most of those clusterfucks occurred in so-called ‘blue’ states. Given that Trump and Republicans are already trying very hard to reduce and reject votes from areas in ‘swing’ states with large number of loyal Democrat voters, you can be assured that it will get rather ugly after November 3. But wait.. it could get worse as Democrats are also going to try to disqualify mail-in ballots from predominantly Republican areas in those ‘swing’ states. Now add in the possibility.. certainty.. that Trump calls upon his armed constituency of voters in those states to stop ‘those Democrats from stealing the election’. FYI- I am not the only person who thinks this chain of events could lead to some.. interesting outcomes.

2] Now let us talk about a much less discussed. but very realistic possibility which should give nightmares to Democrats- if they actually wanted to win. You might have noticed that many recent “polls” by MSM outlets and establishment institutions are giving Dementia Joe a 10.. 15.. or even 16 % lead over the Tangerine Idiot. Of course, once you look at their methods, specifically the percentages of each voter pool they sampled as well as Biden never breaking past 52% in most of these “polls”, it becomes obvious that they serve the same purpose as those released by these same outlets a couple of weeks before November 8, 2016. It is about creating a fake narrative and trying to suppress voter turnout for Trump- which they tried unsuccessfully four years ago. But Democrats and their media butt-boys do not want to learn anything from their failures of 2016. Having said that, this strategy is far more dangerous in 2020 than in 2016, and here is why.

A lot of people who claim to support Dementia Joe and promise to vote for him election.. are what we might call.. very soft supporters who have no enthusiasm for their candidate. To put it bluntly, if they are convinced or have an excuse to not vote for Dementia Joe, it is very likely that many of them might not do so. Publishing fake polls which show Biden “winning” by 10-16% is actually the perfect way for Democrats to suppress turnout of their own base. I can bet you that Dementia Joe is going to receive far fewer votes from young Black, Hispanics and even educated white supporters than he might otherwise simply because these fake “polls” provide them an excuse to not vote for him. In contrast, Trump’s supporters are far more enthusiastic and actually believe they have something to lose if Trump loses election. Just like 2016, these fake polls generated by idiot Democrat apparatchiks are going to drive up his turnout of both mail-in as well in-person voters.

3] It is no secret that nominating a guy with obvious dementia and neoliberal policies has not exactly electrified the younger set of voters. As some of you might recall, Democrats have long had this silly idea about how the changing racial and educational profile of the younger bunch of voters is going to magically give them a permanent majority. As you also might know, this belief hasn’t worked for the past 12 years.. which hasn’t stopped Democrats from believing in it even more fervently. The 2020 election might deal this belief a particularly cruel blow. It is no secret that the ill-advised shutdowns in response to COVID-19 pandemic have resulted in levels of unemployment beyond anything we have seen since early 1930s- an we are talking about real levels of unempleoyment, which far exceed what you see in government statistics. Anyway.. the groups which have been most hurt by this shutdown are the young (under-40s) with the profile that Democrats imagine will give endless electoral victories.

Except that it is now far less likely to occur and here is why.. You might have noticed that Democrats are very pro-lockowns, especially of the endless variety, without having the ability or willingness to adequately compensate the victims. Between endlessly repeating mindless drivel such as “believe the science”, “believe the experts” and not having a realistic plan for going back to normal, they have achieved what Republicans could have only dreamed. I am referring to the simple, if inconvenient fact, that they have made voting Republican (or not voting Democrat) the only realistic choice of those who want to open up the economy as soon as possible. Way to go.. dumbfucks! It does not help that Biden has especially poor support among the under-40 segment of Black and Hispanic voters. The points mentioned in 2] and 3] are why I think the race will far closer than many Democrats want to believe.

4] When there is is a close electoral race in a highly polarized political environment such as the one we live in today, things can go bad- and this before we factor Trump in the equation. Rest assured that Trump and Republicans are going to go to unprecedented levels of cheating to win this election. What makes the Trump factor so chaotic is that it is entirely within bounds of possibility that his diehard supporters who number in tens of millions and are armed will likely support him to levels unimaginable for other Republican candidates. In other words, I would be so not surprised if we start seeing armed groups clash with less armed groups all over country in aftermath of election. While I do not foresee a full-blown civil war, large disturbances and chronic armed clashes of the type seen in Ukraine, Pakistan etc are entirely within the realms of possibility.

Let me know what you think. I have some even more dire scenarios for the weeks leading to election and in its immediate aftermath- and all of them are fairly plausible.

What do you think? Comments?

Quick Thoughts on Short-Term Effects of Trump Catching COVID-19

October 3, 2020 19 comments

As readers know, 2020 has been a most unusual year full of all sorts of surprises. Who could have foreseen the decision by establishment Democrats to close ranks behind a frail old man with senile dementia to run against the orange idiot? Of course, not all events are unexpected even if many of their consequences might be hard to foresee. Trump catching COVID-19 is an excellent example of something which was totally predictable but whose consequences are much harder to predict. I had expected him to catch it months ago, especially given his unwillingness to hide in the basement like Dementia Joe. So it was not surprising when Trump announced yesterday that he had tested positive for COVID-19. With that on mind, let us talk about potential consequences.

1] As many of you have heard, Trump has received an infusion (8g) of two monoclonal antibiotics (REGN-COV2) manufactured by Regeneron. While this drug is currently in clinical trials, there is enough evidence that it causes a significant reduction of virus levels in body fluids. Since Trump received this drug before progressing onto the later and more serious inflammatory symptoms, it will very likely benefit him. He is also receiving a 5 day course of Remdesivir (200mg on day 1 and 100 mg on day2-5). Once again, since he received it before progressing onto inflammatory symptoms, it will benefit him far more than those who receive it after being quite ill for a number of days. While this might not cheer up MikeCA, Trump is very likely to survive this illness and be back in the White House sometime next week- ready to berate Dementia Joe again.

2] While Joe Biden had a negative COVID-19 test yesterday, this is likely to change over next few days since there is usually a 3-6 day period between infection and producing enough viruses to be detected by PCR-based tests. Since it is almost certain that Trump was in asymptomatic, but potentially infectious, stage when he shared the stage with Biden at the first debate. It does not help that more than a few of Trump’s entourage at that debate were also infectious. Did I also mention that normal cloth masks cannot stop COVID-19. Unlike Trump whose is in otherwise OK health for a 74-year old man, Biden is a very frail 78-year old in early stages of senile dementia. To make a long story short, if Biden gets COVID-19 his prognosis will be far worse than Trump. Biden might end up where many liberals and progressives are praying for Trump to end up.

3] While many talking-heads on corporate news outlet and twitter pundits are trying to demean Trump by spreading rumors and demanding an ever increasing amount of personal information about his medical status, this strategy is likely to backfire since he is now increasingly an object of sympathy as he now has something in common with an increasing number of people in this country. Many still remember how all these MSM cocksuckers kept on hyping “scandal” after “scandal” for the past four years. It is like the boy who cried wolf.. after enough false calls, the person making them loses credibility. Long story short, it is not going to hurt his poll numbers and will likely increase them as well as embolden his more determined (and armed) supporters. And as mentioned above, Biden isn’t out of the COVID-19 woods yet.

4] The case for Trump being an incompetent moron who does not deserve re-election could have been far stronger IF Democrats had presented a significantly better economic vision of future, demonstrated ability to fulfill at least some of their previous promises and selected a presidential candidate who did not have senile dementia. Instead these paid losers have decided to focus on bullshit which only appeals to white upper-middle class types such as “respectability”, bullshit about the “green new deal”, gobblygook on “extending” Obamacare, talk about banning semi-automatic guns and other “woke” cultural bullshit that nobody who does not live in certain coastal zipcodes cares about. People such as MikeCA are partisan democrats because it is about social class rather than actual belief in anything he pretends to care about.

5] Let me now repeat something which needs to repeated as long as people such as MikeCA pretend to be appalled by Trump. The orange buffoon, you see, is the result of everything which has been going wrong in this country for past four decades.. and let us not pretend that this decision was not bipartisan. Trump, or someone similar to him, was as inevitable in our era as Hitler in post-1930 Germany or Mussolini in post-WW1 Italy. People in this country have stopped believing that politicians are anything but greedy, cynical, corrupt assholes who are increasingly disconnected from the people who vote them into power. Trying to portray Trump as “uniquely bad” because he does brazenly what other politicians do more surreptitiously is not a recipe for defeating Trump. Then again.. perhaps, Democrats don’t want to defeat Trump, since they are fake opposition paid by same people as Republicans.

In summary, based on everything we know to date, Trump is very unlikely to die or even suffer prolonged hospitalization due to COVID-19. The same cannot be said about Biden, especially in next few days. The attempts by MSM outlets and Twitter pundits to defame and enjoy Trump getting sick with COVID-19 is likely to backfire on them and Democrats.

What do you think? Comments?

Will “Winner” of 2020 Presidential Election be Seen as Legitimate?

September 13, 2020 8 comments

As many of you know, 2020 has been a very interesting year. But what if I told you that it could get even more.. “interesting”. As some of you might remember, about two weeks ago I wrote a post about what might occur in case neither Trump nor Biden concedes after the 2020 election. I also wrote a post about the lack of realistic plans by Democrats if the election has uncertain or disputed results. Then there is my recent series about how the american elites, of both political parties, have lost touch with reality. Let us take all those thought experiments to the next step. Have you ever wondered what will occur if “winner” of 2020 election, assuming there is one, will be seen as legitimate. Now some of you, such as MikeCA, might say that the situation will resolve itself like it did in aftermath of the infamous 2000 election. I am not be sure about such a benign outcome and here are a few reasons for that belief.

1] People often forget that the America of 2000 was a very different place from the one we live in today. Sure.. this might not be evident by looking at photographs of downtown skylines, suburbs or even the underwear styles and pubic hair grooming of young women- we might as well be in a different country. 2000 was the peak of public acceptance of neoliberalism. That election had one of the lowest electoral turnouts in this country since WW2, and remember that the 90s had the lowest average turnout since 1940s. It also occurred at the peak of prosperity and well-being that occurred in later half of 1990s. All of this is a long winded way of saying the country was far less politically polarized, the mood was far more optimistic and people were generally much better off during at that time than they are in 2020. This is why most people did not care about GW Bush stealing the election from a lackluster neoliberal and conservative democrat such as Al Gore.

Let me remind you that Clinton42 won states in both 1992 and 1996 (LA, TN, WV, KY, AR, AZ, GA etc) which Democrats have not won for almost two decades. My point, once again, is that the public mood and degree of political polarization in late-1990s was very different from what we have today. Today things are.. much weirder than in 2000, and not in a good way. If the Bush vs Gore farce had occurred in the current political environment we would have major and prolonged riots in many cities- much worse than what we saw in past few months. And we are still talking about conventional mediocre political candidates with zero charisma or dedicated followers. In other words, a repeat of even the 2000 scenario with Trump vs Biden would make the craziness we saw in past few months look tame in comparison.

2] Let us move on the next question, namely whether partisan Republican voters will accept a “win” in a tight contest by Biden- especially if it is almost exclusively built on mail-in ballots? This is not a trivial question, since that scenario is far more likely than anybody wants to admit. What happens if Trump “wins” on election night and appears to be in the lead for a few days only to fall behind Dementia Joe after more mail-in ballots are suddenly discovered in certain swing states? Do you think Trump supporters (especially the ones with guns) are going to take this scenario lying down- especially given the unusually high levels of political polarization on top of all the disruption caused by COVID-19 shutdowns? Do you really think there won’t be street fights all over the country between Democrat supporters and armed MAGA-types? Do people such as MikeCA comprehend the significance and full consequences of this type of civil strife?

And it gets worse. Let us assume, for a moment, that Dementia Joe ends up being declared the “winner”. What are his plans to get the economy back in gear after all the job losses caused by COVID-19 shutdown? Are Democrats stupid enough to think that they can do a 180 and open everything within next week or month after inauguration? Do they think people will forget how much they were in favor of perpetual lockdowns, endless testing and all that other bullshit? Do they have the willingness and ability to pass trillions of dollars in assistance to make the 99% whole again? Do they have any plans for compensating the millions of small business which have either closed down or will do so soon? Do they have any plans to govern other than passing more “gun control” laws and endlessly talking about a “return to normality and civility”? And do they think there will be no resistance from armed MAGA fanatics?

3] Things don’t look better if Trump wins, either. For starters, he is almost guaranteed to lose the popular vote, even if he wins the electoral college. What happens if his “wins” in swing states are due to massive rejections and legal challenges of mail-in ballots? Do you think they will see him as a legitimate president, especially if he “wins” the electoral college under such circumstances? To be fair, many never saw him as a legitimate president in first place- even if they grudgingly accepted his electoral college victory in 2016. What happens if even that becomes controversial in 2020? What happens if Trump is declared as the “winner” under very shady conditions? What recourse do Democrats have? Will there be even more street protest, widespread and prolonged rioting, possible armed encounters between them and armed MAGA types? What about all those people who have become chronically unemployed or lost their small businesses due to COVID-19 shutdowns? Whose side will they take under such conditions?

What happens if nothing improves for people whose livelihood has been destroyed by COVID-19 shutdowns after Trump’s “victory”? Will that cause even more civic unrest and prolonged rioting? What happens if we start seeing occasional mass shootings at protests and clashes between protesters from different factions? What happens if Democratic-governed states decide to not open schools and universities in Winter 2021 out of spite after losing the election? Do you realize how unpredictable things can get with tens of millions of desperate,poor and unemployed people in this country right now- a statistic which is unlikely to change in near future. Now add in the risk of Trump starting a disastrous war with Iran or Venezuela just before the election or doing some other stupid shit to improve his poll numbers before election day?

In summary, 2020 can get far more ‘interesting’ than it has been so far- and this is not a good thing, to put it mildly.

What do you think? Comments?

What Happens if Neither Trump or Biden Concede the 2020 Election?

September 2, 2020 10 comments

In a previous post, I asked the question – do Democrats have a plan if election has an uncertain or disputed result? In that post, I also talked about a few scenarios including one where different political factions in swing states certify two different set of result certifications and vote counting in many states takes more than a few days. Since something like this has not occurred in living memory, especially in a highly polarized political environment, it is entirely possible that neither Trump or Biden will concede defeat leading to a very ‘interesting’ scenario where two people are claiming to have won the electoral college and thus the presidency. Turns out that I am not the only one who is seriously considering this possibility. See attached clip containing a discussion about how some of these things might go down.

The summary is that it is very likely for Trump to lead by a large margin of votes on election night, with said lead being slowly eroded and overcome once mail-in ballots are counted. But here is my question- will they be counted? What is there to stop Trump from declaring victory based on election night results and alleging massive mail-in ballot fraud? We know that his core base, which is enthusiastic and large (about 40% of voters) will go along with whatever he says. Now democrats such as MikeCA might say that their party has many high-powered lawyers, to which my counter is that Trump supporters have far more guns and willingness to wield them. It is very easy to imagine a scenario where a population that has grown to hate the COVID-19 shutdowns etc might just decide to take matters in their own hand, especially if Trump goads them on. In fact, they might do it even if Trump does not explicitly call for such action.

So what happens if neither Trump or Biden win decisively on election night and tons of mail-in ballots have yet to be counted? Or what if Trump wins decisively on election night but there are still many uncounted mail-in ballots? What happens if there are dozens or ,maybe, hundreds of parades by pro-Trump armed militias that converge on vote counting or storage locations? Do you think the local police forces will intervene? What happens if more than a few vote counting locations are set on fire or otherwise trashed by armed mobs of Trump supporters? What if they are met by mobs of Democratic party supporters? Remember that this is far more likely to occur in swing states such as FL, WI, MI ec than ‘blue states’ such as CA, NY or MA. At what point will either side relent and accept that they have lost? Or will they never admit? Will the person who ultimately takes office after inauguration day 2021 be seen as the legitimate president?

And we are not even talking about potential outbreaks of violence and intimidation by either side on and before election day. If you think that 2020 has been an exceptional year so far, it might be about to get a whole lot more ‘interesting’.

What do you think? Comments?

Do Democrats Have a Plan if Election Has Uncertain or Disputed Result?

August 30, 2020 15 comments

I was originally going to post the first part of a new series on why all the much touted “advances” in computer technology within past 25 years (hardware and software) have either not improved quality of life or actually made things worse. But due to a combination of laziness and need to fix some parts of that post, I decided to write about a fairly easy, but still important, topic. About two months ago, I wrote something about whether Democrats had a contingency plan if Trump cancelled the 2020 election. That post was inspired by Trump’s fall in relative popularity at that time combined with resurgence in COVID-19 cases. Since then Trump’s popularity seems to be increasing and the “second wave” of COVID-19 cases seems to have only a fraction of mortality as first wave. In other words, it now appears that the presidential race will be far closer than many establishment Democrats and their fanboys (such as MikeCA) had expected.

As you might also remember, in that post, I had also raised the possibility of Republicans trying to suppress voting and reduce turnout from areas with large democratic party vote-banks. Such vote suppression efforts can take various forms like shorter windows for advance voting, voter ID bullshit, reduction in number of polling centers, delays in processing postal ballots and disputing their validity. Let us also assume that Republicans will go full tilt and partially succeed in some ‘swing’ states. So, do establishment Democrats have a strategy, infrastructure and personal to handle such problems? Some of you might think, that they could be successful at defeating such efforts by Republicans. I don’t think so, and here is why.. While Democratic party could counter such efforts in a few populous states such as CA, WA, NY, NJ, MA and even in states such as NV and CO the reality is that Democratic party lacks the infrastructure and motivated personnel to do the same in swing states such as FL, MI, OH, PA, WI, MN, IA or even potential ones such as TX.

In other words, unless Dementia Joe maintains a persistent and large margin over Orange Troll from now till election day in ALL those swing states, it is very likely that Trump will carry most or all of them- thanks in no small part to Republican shenanigans. And this brings us to some very interesting possibilities. The least likely, but not totally improbable, one in 2020 concerns the possibility that both Dementia Joe and Orange Troll end up with 269 electoral college votes. FYI, 269 * 2 = 538. Does anybody here think that Trump will step down from office if we end up with a 269-269 EC vote scenario? On Twitter, many idiots aka rich coastal LIEbrals think that getting Trump to step down is as easy as the secret service agents asking him to step down. Let us, for a second, ignore the full implications of what they are dreaming about.. but ask yourself, is it even realistic.. especially if there are still tons of election-related lawsuits still going on in multiple states by inauguration day in January 2021?

And it gets worse.. what if there is a dramatic uptick in violent and lethal confrontations between AntiFa types and right-wing armed vigilantes of the type we saw in Kenosha and Portland within last few days? What happens if armed vigilantes target voting stations during early voting or on election day? Don’t believe it can’t happen in USA? Maybe.. that was the case in pre-2016 era, but it is certainly no longer true.. especially in the highly polarized and nihilistic socio-political environment of late-2020. There are too many angry, unhappy, tired, desperate people without any good prospects for future who will become enthusiastic foot-soldiers for extremist political movement at either end of political spectrum. Remember that all of this has occurred before during 1920s and early-1930s in aftermath of WW1 and the Great Depression. I have always maintained that the socio-economic dislocation caused by lockdowns etc to supposedly contain COVID-19 in combination with previous dismal economic trends seen in dying empires have the potential to cause a lot of “unforeseen consequences”.

But wait.. there is more. Given the ongoing intentional degradation of postal services + unusually high rate of postal ballot rejection and “misplacement” we have seen in recent primaries, what are the chances that this sort of bullshit won’t occur on a much larger scale during presidential election? But isn’t this identical to the electoral shenanigans which I predict Republicans will try to pull off this autumn? Well.. not quite, because intentionally delaying tabulation and certification of votes is not the same thing as preventing them from being cast in the first place. So why would it matter? Well.. because in a very close result in ‘swing’ states, we might end up two or more sets of conflicting certifications as to who won the state in question. So it is perfectly possible for the state of Wisconsin, as an example, to issue two sets of conflicting certifications- each by one set of known partisan representatives or officials. So.. do Democrats have a plan for the eventuality that more than one swing state might issue conflicting certifications of electoral tabulation?

More importantly, how long do these credentialed dummies think that people will wait for a clear electoral result before they start deciding the victor by themselves. Do they think that people will wait for a few days.. maybe a week? What about a few weeks? What happens if there are no unequivocal results as to who won election by Inauguration Day 2021? Are Democrats delusional enough to believe that Trump will concede in any situation where he hasn’t been very soundly defeated in the election? If you do.. I have a bridge to sell. Do they realize how bad the economic situation (especially job loss and unemployment benefits) could become between Election and Inauguration Day? Do they have any idea how bad this clusterfuck could become? I am sure that MikeCA will chime in at any moment to tell us how none of this come to pass and how Biden has a big and unbeatable lead over Trump. Just like 2016.. right?

What do you think? Comments?

Do Democrats Have a Contingency Plan if Trump Cancels 2020 Election?

June 26, 2020 20 comments

As many of you know, I have a tendency to think about scenarios which initially appear unlikely but often come to pass later. Today, I am going to talk about the possibility of Trump cancelling the 2020 election or otherwise rigging it in a very blatant manner. I also have a feeling that our resident partisan democrat aka MikeCA is going to have something to say about this in comment section. FYI- I first explicitly considered this possibility in Mid-April but have kept quiet about it until now because, unlike corporate media presstitues, I prefer to make speculations which are solidly grounded in reality rather than wild fantasy.

So here are a few, and not mutually exclusive, scenarios in which Trump either cancels the 2010 election on blatantly rigs it..

1] Trump cancelling the 2020 election is the most dramatic scenario. While anything is possible in 2020, I would consider this to be the least likely one. For starters, Trump is too full of himself and stupid to be any good at subverting democratic processes, a fact that MikeCA still hasn’t grasped. But if he were to do it, this is how he would do it.. Imagine a second or third wave of COVID-19 and Influenza in the fall causes another round of shutdowns. A combination of massive increase in unemployment rates and stingy financial assistance by government forments widespread social unrest. BLM type protests intensify into street battles all across the country between leftists and right-wingers leading to many people start expressing concerns about their safety on election day. And yes.. everything I have mentioned here could occur by late-September.

Under these circumstances, Trump could make a plausible case that the 2020 election has to be postponed for a few months. Some of you might mumble something about the constitution, but face it.. if the situation mentioned above came to pass it would be very hard to make the counter case- namely that free and fair election can be held on “the Tuesday next after the first Monday in the month of November” or “the first Tuesday after November 1”. While democrats have demonstrated that they can organize a million-woman ‘pussy hat’ march, they have also shown themselves to be incapable (or unwilling) to wield any real power. In other words, Trump has seen them repeatedly fold like a cheap suit under the slightest pressure and his supporters have guns while LIEbrals don’t. So.. ya, he could get away with it.

2] A second possibility is that Trump and the republicans could use such a scenario to truncate the electoral process. This one is much more likely because republicans have already shown themselves to be capable of doing it on smaller scale. I am sure some of you might have heard about the various shenanigans being pulled by Republicans in southern states after key parts of the voting rights acts were invalidated by the Supreme Court in 2013. You might also be aware of attempts to suppress votes by requiring complex ID requirements in Wisconsin, a couple other mid-western States (and also Texas?). There is also the issue of republicans legislating to reduce the number of days and places for early voting, challenging mail-in ballots and a host of other “legalistic tricks” to suppress the vote. It is perfectly rational to assume that these tactics will go into overdrive and reach unprecedented levels during the 2020 election.

I could write a lot more on this particular sub-topic, but I do not want to bore you and lets be realistic- this is almost certain to occur. Keep you eye on how states handle the issue of mail-in ballots accessibility subsequent to the COVID-19 crisis and the almost inevitable and prolonged legal challenges. So, let us move on to the 3rd scenario- which is a sequel to the 2nd one.

3] Trump could contest the electoral results after the election is over. If more than the usual number of people vote by mail-in ballots, it is inevitable that any concrete results (especially in battleground states) could take at least 2-3 weeks to be finalized with any degree of confidence. Meanwhile Trump could declare victory on election night or the day after and create a popular narrative that he had won the electoral college. MikeCA might say.. but, 50% of country won’t believe him. My response is the other 50% will, and that is the problem. The closest we came to such a scenario was in 2000, where Al Gore won popular vote and almost certainly the electoral college but was unable to find the popular support to force his case. MikeCA might say that the Supreme Court stole the election. Here is my reply.. if there were even a hundred thousand people burning down parts of DC in support of Al Gore, the Supreme Court would have chosen differently- if only to ensure their own safety.

The thing is.. given the number of CONservative judges appointed by Trump since assuming office, it might be an even harder task to litigate this matter in a speedy and satisfactory manner. We then end up in a nightmare scenario where Trump wins the electoral college by initial vote count (first 2-3 days), declares victory, subsequent counting of mail-in ballots show a Biden win leading to Trump and republicans contesting validity of mail-in ballots at various levels. This leads to prolonged litigation and fiascoes that make the ‘hanging chad’ controversy of 2000 seem almost quaint by comparison. Then Trump asks his supporters to demonstrate in Washington DC and other cities across country, causing clashes and riots with antifa types, leading to even more civil unrest- especially if real unemployment rates remain above 20-25% at that time. It does not take a rocket scientist to figure out whoever emerges from his confrontation will not be seen as legitimate by one half of the country. It will be an epic shitshow to round up an epic year.

So here is my question to MikeCA and other comfortable coastal partisan democrats- Do you, or your party, for have a feasible contingency plan (or two) to prevent or mitigate these scenarios. And don’t tell that this will be dealt through the legal system etc.. because we know, based on past occurrences, that the legal system is not behind people such as yourself. So what are your plans? Another few ineffectual million-women ‘pussy hat’ marches? More toothless protests on highways? More scolding articles in the NYT, WP or on NPR? More chest beating by Chris Cuomo and Rachel Maddow? More snarky late-night jokes by Stephen Colbert? Any ideas about how confrontations between Trump supporting hicks with guns and anti-gun leftists will end? Also, how many people will actually fight for Dementia Joe to assume office in the aftermath of a contested election? These are serious questions about very consequential events whose impact will last much longer than four years of either clown- Trump or Biden.

What do you think? Comments?

Trump is Still the Favorite for Winning the 2020 Presidential Election: 2

June 22, 2020 14 comments

I wanted to start writing a new series about why there have been no worthwhile advances in the field of computers, software, IT etc for the past 10-20 years and how the current crop of geeks is busy pretending that this is not the case. Then I got a bit lazy and decided that a follow on to my previous post about why Trump is still the favorite to win in 2020 would take far less effort and generate more clicks and “buzz”. Sad.. isn’t it. With that in mind, let us talk about the many other reasons why Trumps is still by far the favorite to win in 2020. But before we go there, here is a quick recap of that previous post. In it, I pointed out that the factors which led to the rise of Trump in 2016 and his victory are still there and in many cases have become more dire. This is analogous to how the socio-economic consequences of WW1 and the Great Depression ensured the rise of fascism and similar ideologies in Europe. If it wasn’t Hitler, Mussolini, Franco etc.. there would have been someone else very similar to them.

I went on to show how the democratic party, since late-1970s, gradually became the party of Professional Managerial Class (PMC), a transformation which was complete by 1992. Democrats like to bemoan how the white working class left them, when it is they who abandoned that group to the vagaries of deindustrialization, job outsourcing, credentialism while supporting the growth of a shitty and expensive “health care” system, over-policing of minorities and poor people, high levels of income equality etc. In other words, establishment democrats have not only lost a good portion of their previous base but have managed to piss off a good portion of the voters who allegedly have no option but to vote for them. HRC lost all those mid-western states because the white working class went for Trump while the black working class (especially those below 45) could not be bothered to show up on election day. It does not help that establishment democrats haven’t learnt a single thing from the humiliation by Trump in 2016.

1] In the previous post, I wrote about how all that incessant talk about RussiaGate, UkraineGate, Mueller Report etc by democrats and their allies in the dying corporate media have not had any measurable effect on Trumps’ popularity or lack thereof. But have you wondered why democrats keep trying to pull off crap like that, even when they know it is ineffective at best, and more likely counterproductive? The naive (willingly or otherwise) among you might think that this has something to do with democrats being interested in promoting civility, order or some other lie. Based on my observations over the years, I think otherwise. It is my opinion that democrats are actually intellectually bankrupt and unable to think beyond whatever they have learned from participating in incestuous circle jerks at “prestigious” universities and isolated social bubbles. To be fair, so are their republican counterparts- but it is easier to conceal intellectual bankruptcy when one is also in power. Now some of you might say.. what is the proof?

Well.. in addition to their utter inability to get Trump impeached or entangled in any legal scandal that would result in reliable criminal prosecution, democrats spend almost every waking moment of the day trying to find a way to “diss” Trump. These idiots keep doing all this while Trump (and his cronies) are busy electing right-wing federal judges, passing large tax breaks and bailouts for corporations, weakening laws related to voting etc, rescinding regulations on corporations and a whole lot more. Here is the most recent example.. yesterday, Trump had a campaign rally at Tulsa, Oklahoma with about 40% of the number of supporters he expected. Instead of seeing this in the correct context of it being first large campaign gathering since mid-March in USA and under the shadow of riots across country, I woke to see talentless “celebrities” such as Amy Schumer try to “diss” Trump over number of people at his first rally since COVID-19 shutdown was lifted.

Here are my thoughts, 6,200 is much more than than 100- which is the maximum size of crowds at Biden’s rallies- if you can call them that. If I were an establishment democrat, the thought that a moron who has screwed up so much could still get thousands to attend his first campaign rally in some city in a flyover state under the shadow of COVID-19 and race riots, while Biden cannot get 100 people (non-paid) even if his life depended on it would scare me about the outcome of 2020 presidential election.It does not take a rocket scientist to figure out that this is only going to make Trump redouble his efforts and successfully arrange much larger political rallies. To make matters worse, these liberal shitheads have once gain succeeded in making the orange buffoon look like a sympathetic person under constant attack from the very class most american hate with a passion. And guess what, I bet they can’t see this because their head is so far up their ass.

2] Talking about people with heads up their rears.. let us move on Joe Biden aka Dementia Joe. As many of you know, I have written more than a couple of posts about his senile dementia (link 1, link 2, link 3). Some of you might also remember his very poor performance in the very tame democratic debates. It does not take much of imagination to see how bad he would perform in even a single debate against Trump, let alone three. You might have also realized by now that Biden’s cognitive status (or the lack thereof) has already been one of the main pillars of attack ads against him. These very effective line of attacks against Dementia Joe are only going to to get far more harsher, frequent and overt once the incestuous dummies aka establishment Democrats officially select him as their presidential candidate in the next few weeks. So what is the democrat plan to defend Dementia Joe from such attacks? Well.. I don’t think they have a plan, because if they had any brains they would replaced him with someone without dementia.

But even if Trump did not go after Joe Biden’s obvious dementia (which is highly unlikely), he still has tons of ammo against Biden- given that the later has been involved in everything from militarization of police, increase in mass incarceration, preventing discharge of student loans during bankruptcy, making bankruptcy difficult, PNTR with China, NAFTA and a host of things that are super unpopular with the democratic electorate in 2020. It is very revealing that most (2/3rds) of people who claim they will vote for Joe Biden list not liking Trump as their main reason. In my opinion, this implies he has very soft and easily destructible support. In contrast to this, the majority who say they will vote for Trump will do it because they want him to win the election. That is why any pretend poll which shows Dementia Joe with a 10% lead over Trump almost 5 months from election day under such an unusual and rapidly evolving situation is not worth the paper on which it was printed. I have a feeling that MikeCA might think differently.

In the next part of this series, I will go further into why Joe Biden is an especially bad candidate for this moment in history. Will also discuss possibility of economic conditions and second wave of COVID-19 depressing or altering long-held patterns of electoral turnout.

What do you think? Comments?

Trump is Still the Favorite for Winning the 2020 Presidential Election: 1

June 17, 2020 13 comments

Many of you might have seen a slew of recent polls which claim that Dementia Joe currently has a 10-point lead over Orange Man. These polls have elicited a bunch of reactions from the “properly credentialed pundit” class. Some see them as the first definitive sign that Trump will finally lose in 2020, others as validation that 24/7 smearing by corporate MSM finally working. Yet others see them as evidence that the country is finally moving in the “right direction”, whatever that means. You might notice that one word keeps popping up in these reactions.. finally. But is that really the case or are these pundit reactions just more wishful thinking? Well, in my opinion these reactions are the later aka more wishful thinking. Here is why..

1] As late as 7 pm ET on November 8th 2016, every “serious” person was certain that HRC was going to win the presidential election. Any suggestion to the contrary was met with a haughty laugh of the type usually associated with “credentialed experts” educated at “elite universities”. Wonder how did all of that work out? Trump won by the only measure which matters according to the constitution aka the electoral college and became president. But have you ever wondered how so many polls could be so wrong? Now, sad pedants such as MikeCA will try to tell you that the polls correctly predicted the popular vote which HRC won by 2-3 million or about 3%. Let us dissect that defense of polls a bit further.. shall we.

Almost all of HRCs margin in popular votes came from two states with a large population (NY and CA). In other words, Tangerine Man won more votes in you add up the other 48 states than HRC. But let us ignore this trivial issue right now and ask a much bigger question- how does a reality show clown with a very public scandal-ridden past become the presidential nominee of one of the two parties in this country- and why would so many people vote for such a sketchy guy over the ultimate “credentialed diversity” candidate? While many are still in deep denial (MikeCA?), the majority of those who voted for Trump did so despite his numerous shortcomings because they preferred him over somebody who represented everything they hated about the system.

But.. but.. some might say, just because every pundit of any fame was wrong in 2016 does not mean they will be wrong again in 2020. Surely these “credentialed experts” must have learned something from their utter humiliation in 2016.. right? Also, wasn’t Trump positioning himself as an outsider in 2016- something he cannot do in 2020 after being a pathetic president for the past four years.. right? Well.. if you think that most people who voted for Trump did so because he was outsider with great promise, I have a bridge to sell you. And no.. the “experts” haven’t learned a damn thing, otherwise they would not be so certain and giddy about Dementia Joe 2020 prospects almost five months before election day.

So let me repeat the obvious.. again.. most people voted for Trump because he sounded, looked and behaved like them and was therefore a giant ‘FUCK YOU’ to an incestuous political system which ignored and immiserated them for the past 40 years. The conditions which led to his rise are still there and in some areas have worsened considerably since 2016. This is also why the 24/7 smear jobs by corporate media outlets, bullshit reports and impeachment hearings have had very little effect on his popularity ratings- which, face it, have always hovered around the mid-40s. Trump’s ratings are bulletproof because the majority of Americans (voters and non-voters) have lost faith in ability of current system to deliver a better future for them. And one more thing.. most people hate the Professional Managerial Class (PMC) with a passion.

2] Since we are talking about the PMC, let us also talk about the political party that represents them in modern american politics aka the Democrats. As I have written repeatedly in numerous older posts, the biggest difference between democrat and republican politicians is that the former tries to portray itself as more enlightened and of “superior breeding”. However other than such superficial differences between the two parties, they are identical and interchangeable for all practical proposes. Now this was not always the case, and upto the late-1970s, the democratic party (both pre- and post- civil rights) was a different beast from the republican party. Then the great realignment of 1968 and rise of neoliberalism occurred.

To make a very long story short, since late-1970s the upper echelon of democratic party have been increasingly populated by people who even a decade prior to that time would have identified as staunch republicans. Yes.. I am talking about the PMC, especially their coastal versions. These are the type of people who say they are fiscally conservative, but socially liberal and pretend to have a “black friend”. But why do the PMC and wannabe-PMCs matter? Well.. because the ideology and apparatchiks of democratic party (even non-white ones) are almost exclusively drawn from this class. Their ascendance in ranks of democratic party and society began in late 1970s and their stock kept rising until GFC of 2008 after which their fortunes have taken a increasingly steep downward turn. But why does these McMansion dwellers matter?

Well.. because almost every major problem facing this country from deindustrialization, job outsourcing, a shitty and expensive “health care” system, over-policing, high levels of income equality, widespread loss of institutional competence etc can be traced back to the rise of this class in american society. Remember when I said that one of the reasons many people voted for Trump over HRC even though she was the ultimate “credentialed diversity” candidate. The thing is.. HRC reminded people of the generic PMC drone who humiliated them in real life, destroyed their livelihood and profited from it. Interestingly, that is also why Romney lost to Obama in 2012. As I said before in this post, most people just hate.. hate.. PMC types.

But what does any of this have to do with Trump likely winning in 2020? Well.. for starters the VP candidate of Dementia Joe is almost certain to be a member of the PMC. Now this would not be totally disastrous if Dementia Joe did not have senile dementia, because most people who vote in presidential elections tend to focus on top of ticket. But as we all know, Joe Biden has.. should we say, serious and progressive neurological issues.The man is a shadow of what he was as late as 2016, and his declining cognitive status will become a major campaign issue and point of attack by Trump’s campaign. But as you will see in the next part of this short series, choosing Dementia Joe as their presidential candidate is a proverbial tip of the iceberg as far as the deliberate incompetence of democratic party is concerned.

In that part, I will go into how the democratic party squandered 3.5 years on fake scandals like RussiaGate, UkraineGate, Mueller Report etc while quietly going along with traditional republican (in reality, corporate) agendas. I will show you how democrats have acquiesced to almost every corrupt move by Trump and republicans- from appointing conservative judges, approving massive increases in military spending, further gutting the already threadbare social safety net, increasing militarization of police and much.. much.. more. But why does any of this matter? The very short answer is- the democratic party can only win elections at all levels in this country decisively IF they exhibit a concrete and sustained desire to differentiate them from the other party in a manner that actually matters to the average voter. I will also go into why Joe Biden is a uniquely bad candidate for 2020, albeit in a different way than HRC was in 2016.

What do you think? Comments?

Thoughts on Recent Developments in the 2020 Democratic Primaries: 2

February 28, 2020 6 comments

In the previous post of this series, I wrote about the ongoing shitshow of Iowa’s 2020 democratic primary caucus and the better-run New Hampshire primary. I also wrote a bit about the future- specifically how only Bernie, Biden and Bloomberg have any future prospects after Nevada and South Carolina. Since then, a few things have happened. Firstly, the Iowa’s shitshow still hasn’t been resolved. Yes, you is correct- it is still going on. Many of you might also know that Bernie won a resounding victory in the Nevada Caucus and ended up getting almost twice the number of votes as his nearest opponent- as well as the majority of delegates from that state. We also had the pleasure of watching mini-Mike Bloomberg implode in front of a large national audience in his first appearance at a debate. And he did not show any signs of improvement in his more recent second appearance. Of course, he is still spending dozens of million dollars per day on TV and web advertisements- which I guess is good news for the people he is currently employing.

So let us begin by talking about Bloomberg. In my opinion, he has no realistic chance of winning the presidential election against Trump. Here is why.. For starters, he has zero public presence and he just cannot help coming across as an out of touch elitist billionaire with serious personal insecurities. Even the character of Mr. Burns in ‘The Simpsons’ is far more likable that Bloomberg. In contrast, even though Trump might be worth only a couple of billion, he has a much better understanding of how average people, live, think and most importantly- want to see. It does not help that Mike Bloomberg has as many skeletons in his closet as Trump, and nowhere near the charm of Trump to let potential voters ignore them. Here is an example to help you understand what I am getting at. Ever wonder why Harvey Weinstein and Bill Cosby ended up in jail for what they did to women over these years, but equally lecherous but handsome or otherwise desirable male actors and musicians almost always get a free pass.

Yes, the public will accept and forgive people who are assholes if they are charming and open about their behavior. Many of you might remember how democrat idiots thought that the release of that “pussy grab” tape would sink Trump’s 2016 campaign. But it did not and was pretty easy to understand why- if you were not a credentialed incestuous circle-jerker. But in case a few of you don’t, let me explain. See.. the personal morality of politicians was an issue only as long as most people had a prosperous and stable life. That is why the Monica Lewinsky scandal could have only become a big issue in the late 1990s- and even then it did not hurt Bill Clinton’s image to any appreciable extent. More importantly, people stop caring about that sort of bullshit once socio-economic conditions start deteriorating. I bet you that people would have looked the other way had Obama openly cheated on his wife with multiple white women, IF he had delivered on economically populist policies. Most people care far more about outcomes than image.

Don’t believe me? Obama got 69.5 million votes in 2008, but only 65.9 million in 2012- in spite of the population of USA increasing by a few million during that time-span. And you know why.. because he failed to deliver on the populist stuff he vaguely hinted at during the 2008 electoral campaign. Even though MikeCA won’t like to hear this, the rise of Trump is best understood as the logical consequence of the unwillingness and inability of Obama to deliver on his pre-election populist promises. In fact, Obama would have lost the 2012 election if Republicans had fielded even a moderately populist candidate instead of a smug corporate asshole aka Mitt Romney. To make a long story short, corporatist candidates such as Bloomberg and even Biden (let alone Warren and Buttboy) will lose to a fake populist such as Trump in the general election.

Of course, this hasn’t stopped the incompetent democratic establishment from hatching ever more hilarious plans to stop Sanders via procedural bullshit. And mark my words, they will try to pull of such a stupid scheme even if Sanders wins over 50% of the delegates. Yes.. I am serious about that scenario and to understand why, please read the linked article above to see the incredible amount of magical thinking these idiots are capable of. One noteworthy example include recruiting Obama’s wife and some no-name senator who did not even participate in this primary as the unity nominees. At this stage, I would not be surprised if they tried to rope in Hillary Clinton and her forgettable VP candidate from 2016 as the nominees. To put it another way, they would rather have four more years of Trump than a democratic nominee who is not “centrist”, in spite of the failure of candidates such as Al Gore, John Kerry and Hillary Clinton in the past few presidential elections.

I am sure that MikeCA will jump in to tell us how this is all wrong and that the democratic establishment actually cares about the plight of average voters. Newsflash- it does not, and has not given a fuck about non-professional class voters since the mid 1970s. Since we are already close to a thousand words, I will wrap this post now. In the next part, I will talk about the results of the South Caroline primary, Joe Biden’s cognitive status and why Bernie towing the line of democratic establishment on cultural issues is such a bad idea.

What do you think? Comments?